NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	116		Excitement	7.2 [355]		MVP	Joe Smith (DET): +19.7%
Chicago Bulls	110		Comeback	1.3 [798]		LVP	Metta World Peace (CHI): -20.6%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Smith	0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.10	0.09	-0.01	11	72%	0.20	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.00
Chucky Atkins	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.05	0.11	0.00	4	75%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	0.00	4	89%	0.13	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Dana Barros	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	10	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Billy Owens	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mateen Cleaves	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.02	6	83%	0.08	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.02
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.01	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	25	55%	0.06	2	-0.07	16	100%	0.12
Ben Wallace	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.05	-0.01	8	22%	-0.12	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.23,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.16	-0.01	-0.00	23	67%	0.19	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Khalid El-Amin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.00	4	87%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.00	7	80%	0.12	2	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Dragan Tarlac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	1	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Corey Benjamin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.05	0.01	15	64%	0.08	2	-0.09	9	78%	-0.03
Bryce Drew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	9	45%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.05
Brad Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.04	-0.02	9	59%	0.01	2	-0.05	9	67%	-0.05
Metta World Peace	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.16	-0.05	-0.00	10	21%	-0.15	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	282.1	1.8	32.0	15.8	28.6	2.0	31.2	393.4
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +13.7%

DET +19.7%

DET +16.5%

DET +4.7%

CHI -4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CHI	NBA	DET	CHI	NBA
this game	15.2	15.2	15.5	120.8	118.3	100.9
season	14.3	16.4		97.9	95.2
opponent	15.1	15.4		104.9	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	17.9	13.5	14.9	15.0	15.2
CHI	14.8	13.7	14.5	18.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Smith	73	69	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.29	9	-3	12	14.0	19.2	-5.23	15.1	15.7	-0.69
Jerry Stackhouse	90	87	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.34	6	0	6	15.5	11.5	3.99	15.1	17.8	-2.78
Mateen Cleaves	55	52	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.32	5	1	4	15.2	15.3	-0.05	15.3	15.1	0.16
Ben Wallace	66	65	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.22	8	-2	10	15.4	14.9	0.45	14.8	16.2	-1.40
Dana Barros	40	41	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.19	4	2	2	14.7	15.6	-0.97	17.2	13.7	3.46
Michael Curry	48	45	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.08	5	1	4	15.0	15.5	-0.44	15.6	14.9	0.66
Chucky Atkins	22	21	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	5	-4	14.6	15.4	-0.78	14.0	15.6	-1.60
Mikki Moore	28	28	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	6	-6	18.0	14.1	3.90	14.9	15.4	-0.49
Billy Owens	16	16	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	8	-10	12.4	15.8	-3.36	11.2	16.1	-4.81
Eric Montross	25	24	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.09	-5	11	-16	15.4	15.2	0.27	17.3	14.5	2.77
Jud Buechler	17	17	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.04	-1	7	-8	19.4	14.4	5.00	15.6	15.1	0.50

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Khalid El-Amin	13	13	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.00	2	-8	10	15.9	15.1	0.80	14.6	15.3	-0.72
Dragan Tarlac	20	19	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-4	2	14.7	15.4	-0.68	13.9	15.6	-1.68
Metta World Peace	50	52	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	0	-6	15.5	14.9	0.61	14.3	16.4	-2.08
Fred Hoiberg	57	59	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.18	-5	-1	-4	15.8	14.4	1.38	16.0	14.0	2.06
Ron Mercer	80	81	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.38	-2	-4	2	15.2	15.5	-0.35	15.5	13.7	1.79
Elton Brand	90	93	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.29	-5	-1	-4	15.5	8.3	7.13	15.4	11.7	3.69
Brad Miller	76	80	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.30	-5	-1	-4	15.1	15.8	-0.72	15.4	14.3	1.11
Bryce Drew	79	83	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.35	-7	1	-8	14.6	18.8	-4.18	15.1	16.2	-1.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.56,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.24,0.27,0.36,0.36,0.22,0.31,0.06,0.15,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 91, MIA 84	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.3,0.38,0.53,0.34,0.19,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.02,0	93.9%
LAL 108, OKC 104	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.49,0.48,0.37,0.27,0.36,0.29,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.13,0.15,0.01,0,0,0	93.3%
UTA 115, SAS 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.31,0.35,0.28,0.39,0.29,0.14,0,0	92.9%