inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 89 Excitement5.1 [488] MVPP.J. Brown (MIA): +14.6%
Indiana Pacers 78 Comeback1.3 [135] LVPMark Jackson (IND): -16.9%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
P.J. Brown0.150,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.100.080.031565%0.1500.00450%-0.02
Dan Majerle0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.030.04-0.03756%0.1000.00250%0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.02275%0.0200.004100%0.02
Terry Porter0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.02-0.00-0.03753%0.041-0.04560%-0.00
Blue Edwards-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Mark Strickland-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Rex Walters-0.020,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.00-0.010.01450%-0.0200.002100%0.02
Alonzo Mourning-0.070,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.000.011453%0.023-0.08837%-0.08
Tim Hardaway-0.090,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.05-0.031943%-0.062-0.03475%0.00

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Austin Croshere0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.010.002125%0.0700.0000%0.00
Rik Smits0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.070.020.041164%0.0500.0000%0.00
Chris Mullin0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.020.021164%0.072-0.053100%0.01
Fred Hoiberg0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Sam Perkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.00175%0.011-0.02250%-0.01
Dale Davis0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01540%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Reggie Miller0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.010.00950%-0.003-0.08475%-0.01
Jalen Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.06-0.041641%-0.042-0.062100%0.01
Travis Best0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.06-0.060.00625%-0.091-0.0300%0.00
Antonio Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.13-0.04-0.03612%-0.111-0.03450%0.01
Mark Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.11-0.06-0.00922%-0.102-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.51.726.118.423.42.532.4126.0
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +41.4%
MIA +0.1%
IND -9.6%
MIA +16.3%
MIA +1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAINDNBAMIAINDNBA
this game16.218.915.8107.296.399.6
season16.616.4101.3105.4
opponent16.016.7101.296.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA13.417.916.817.116.2
IND20.318.119.218.018.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dan Majerle64620.58-0.080.660.0817-62315.319.2-3.8819.118.30.81
P.J. Brown70660.56-0.060.630.1514-31715.619.5-3.9419.018.70.33
Rex Walters41420.56-0.060.630.0119-82715.317.1-1.7820.017.72.30
Tim Hardaway69670.350.150.190.1183515.818.4-2.6619.118.30.79
Alonzo Mourning74730.240.26-0.020.0956-116.117.0-0.8818.622.4-3.81
Terry Porter51480.230.27-0.040.23011-1117.514.23.2018.120.2-2.10
Clar. Weatherspoon22230.190.31-0.110.1138-518.515.43.1120.018.51.42
Mark Strickland1010-0.080.58-0.660.04-415-1920.715.65.1016.719.3-2.55
Blue Edwards1414-0.140.64-0.780.07-718-2517.416.01.4618.619.0-0.36

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Austin Croshere15150.13-0.630.76-0.046-172317.719.2-1.4819.915.44.54
Sam Perkins15160.11-0.610.72-0.076-172317.719.2-1.4818.715.63.14
Fred Hoiberg56-0.00-0.500.50-0.031-121311.619.4-7.829.816.7-6.88
Antonio Davis4547-0.23-0.270.05-0.230-111118.519.5-1.0617.214.92.35
Travis Best3941-0.23-0.270.03-0.17-2-9718.619.3-0.6718.014.53.43
Mark Jackson4242-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.00-9-2-719.318.60.6714.518.0-3.43
Reggie Miller5656-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.00-110-1119.916.83.0416.016.6-0.61
Jalen Rose4244-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.24-4-7318.020.0-2.0516.515.90.65
Dale Davis5454-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.04-110-1120.016.73.3015.717.1-1.42
Chris Mullin4445-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.04-143-1719.917.82.1815.816.7-0.96
Rik Smits4849-0.520.02-0.54-0.02-176-2318.519.5-1.0215.018.0-3.07


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.55,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.52,0.38,0.26,0.25,0.14,0.15,0.26,0.15,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 95, CHI 850.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,093.5%
PHX 115, SAC 1060.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.35,0.23,0.28,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.34,0.19,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,093.4%
NJN 112, WAS 1000.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.46,0.43,0.33,0.24,0.28,0.11,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,093.3%