NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	95		Excitement	6.4 [555]		MVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): +10.7%
Chicago Bulls	85		Comeback	1.2 [351]		LVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): -11.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0.11	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	-0.00	0.07	-0.04	13	53%	0.13	2	-0.02	10	50%	-0.01
Mehmet Okur	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	-0.00	18	51%	0.10	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Matt Harpring	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.06	0.01	8	55%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Jarron Collins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.06	2	-0.07	8	75%	0.01
Gordan Giricek	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	12	50%	0.06	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.01	0.03	11	45%	-0.02	3	-0.08	9	89%	0.05

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	15	52%	0.09	3	-0.07	12	75%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.02	7	53%	0.05	3	-0.09	1	0%	-0.02
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	6	56%	-0.00	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02
P.J. Brown	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	7	29%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.05	0.02	14	40%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	20	45%	-0.00	4	-0.11	11	82%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.8	31.0	16.4	33.3	1.8	36.4	143.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +30.4%

UTA +9.8%

CHI -6.9%

UTA +10.3%

UTA +6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	CHI	NBA	UTA	CHI	NBA
this game	16.1	12.3	15.4	91.3	86.7	104.5
season	15.9	14.5		107.4	103.1
opponent	15.9	15.0		98.1	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.7	16.8	13.2	17.2	16.1
CHI	11.8	13.7	13.5	10.2	12.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	94	89	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.21	13	-3	16	15.7	19.7	-3.97	12.6	9.6	3.01
Carlos Boozer	84	79	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.13	7	3	4	16.1	16.3	-0.29	11.3	16.6	-5.33
Paul Millsap	28	26	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.16	5	5	0	16.9	15.8	1.02	15.3	11.2	4.06
Matt Harpring	43	40	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.12	5	5	0	16.1	16.1	0.00	12.7	12.0	0.74
Deron Williams	69	66	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.21	1	9	-8	17.1	14.1	3.06	11.8	13.4	-1.62
Andrei Kirilenko	72	67	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.04	6	4	2	15.6	17.2	-1.64	11.3	14.4	-3.07
Jarron Collins	21	20	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.09	4	6	-2	18.7	15.5	3.26	14.6	11.7	2.97
Gordan Giricek	34	32	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.04	5	5	0	16.1	16.1	0.05	14.1	11.4	2.68
Mehmet Okur	75	71	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	6	-2	15.2	18.6	-3.38	11.7	13.9	-2.21

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thabo Sefolosha	7	8	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-7	4	18.3	11.8	6.46	16.4	16.1	0.28
Tyrus Thomas	23	21	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-7	4	13.6	11.9	1.67	18.0	15.6	2.42
Michael Sweetney	14	14	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-8	6	17.5	11.4	6.08	14.6	16.3	-1.70
Chris Duhon	19	19	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.02	-8	-2	-6	14.7	11.7	2.98	14.6	16.5	-1.88
Luol Deng	74	79	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-5	-5	0	11.5	14.6	-3.04	15.5	18.0	-2.48
P.J. Brown	56	62	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.18	-4	-6	2	12.1	12.6	-0.50	16.9	15.0	1.95
Kirk Hinrich	88	94	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.25	-3	-7	4	11.8	16.2	-4.36	16.3	14.4	1.90
Andres Nocioni	45	48	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.14	-7	-3	-4	12.7	11.9	0.79	16.2	16.1	0.13
Ben Gordon	82	87	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.21	-6	-4	-2	11.7	15.3	-3.62	16.2	15.5	0.70
Ben Wallace	82	88	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.16	-9	-1	-8	11.6	15.7	-4.07	15.8	17.7	-1.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 112, CHI 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.59,0.31,0.4,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.18,0.25,0.19,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0	95.1%
MIA 88, MIL 77	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.28,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
UTA 118, SEA 109	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.55,0.56,0.44,0.37,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.16,0.23,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	94.8%