NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	96		Excitement	9.3 [121]		MVP	Otto Porter Jr. (WAS): +32.7%
Washington Wizards	102		Comeback	4.2 [254]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -25.1%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.16	0.02	0.02	14	74%	0.23	2	-0.06	10	80%	0.01
Steven Adams	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1	-0.02	0.11	-0.01	11	55%	0.23	4	-0.13	7	57%	-0.03
Alex Abrines	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	0.00	4	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jerami Grant	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.01	4	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Terrance Ferguson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	4	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Patrick Patterson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Josh Huestis	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.12	0.00	-0.12	0.00	2	75%	0.07	1	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.18	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,-0.07,-0.18	-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	21	40%	-0.07	3	-0.11	5	60%	-0.02
Russell Westbrook	-0.25	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.24,-0.29,-0.29,-0.33,-0.4,-0.4,-0.25,-0.25	-0.21	-0.08	-0.04	18	34%	-0.02	7	-0.23	2	100%	0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.27,0.33	0.33	0.15	0.19	0.01	13	74%	0.38	1	-0.05	8	100%	0.07
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.12	0.03	14	58%	0.17	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.09	0.00	4	33%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.09
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	10	41%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.04	0.00	19	49%	0.13	3	-0.13	5	60%	-0.02
Tim Frazier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	-0.00	7	56%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	12	41%	-0.05	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.3	30.8	14.7	36.3	1.6	30.7	143.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC -4.1%

WAS +20.6%

OKC -20.4%

WAS +47.0%

WAS +6.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	WAS	NBA	OKC	WAS	NBA
this game	13.1	15.3	14.7	95.0	100.0	107.5
season	14.2	14.8		109.4	108.2
opponent	14.7	15.3		107.9	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	16.6	10.2	12.5	13.7	13.1
WAS	14.1	15.5	17.0	14.5	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Abrines	28	29	0.30	-0.80	1.09	0.03	9	-15	24	11.9	13.5	-1.59	15.9	15.1	0.81
Patrick Patterson	25	25	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.02	6	-12	18	12.4	13.3	-0.85	16.1	15.0	1.05
Raymond Felton	27	29	0.15	-0.65	0.81	-0.02	6	-12	18	13.6	12.9	0.75	16.2	14.9	1.24
Jerami Grant	34	37	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.04	-1	-5	4	12.3	13.5	-1.14	16.0	14.9	1.12
Josh Huestis	44	45	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.30	0	-6	6	13.3	12.9	0.34	14.8	15.7	-0.87
Terrance Ferguson	37	36	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.02	-11	5	-16	15.5	11.7	3.76	15.4	15.2	0.16
Steven Adams	84	83	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.29	-6	0	-6	12.8	14.3	-1.46	15.0	16.7	-1.72
Russell Westbrook	79	78	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.31	-7	1	-8	12.6	15.0	-2.40	15.0	16.1	-1.10
Carmelo Anthony	72	72	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.31	-11	5	-16	13.1	12.9	0.21	15.1	15.8	-0.78
Paul George	75	76	-0.83	0.33	-1.15	-0.39	-15	9	-24	13.3	12.3	1.04	15.2	15.6	-0.39

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcin Gortat	54	55	1.05	-0.55	1.60	0.38	23	-17	40	14.8	15.9	-1.08	13.1	13.1	0.03
Tomas Satoransky	64	65	1.00	-0.50	1.50	0.39	21	-15	36	14.7	16.3	-1.60	13.3	12.6	0.68
Otto Porter Jr.	70	70	0.87	-0.37	1.25	0.26	21	-15	36	15.1	15.7	-0.63	13.6	11.9	1.74
Bradley Beal	87	86	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.29	15	-9	24	15.2	15.9	-0.68	13.3	12.0	1.27
Markieff Morris	81	79	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.29	6	0	6	15.2	15.6	-0.36	12.7	14.4	-1.64
Ian Mahinmi	20	20	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.01	-4	10	-14	14.2	15.5	-1.29	14.6	12.7	1.96
Jodie Meeks	17	16	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.03	-9	15	-24	16.9	15.0	1.92	11.6	13.4	-1.73
Tim Frazier	31	30	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.08	-11	17	-28	15.9	15.0	0.89	13.0	13.1	-0.11
Mike Scott	37	36	-0.47	0.97	-1.43	-0.03	-15	21	-36	16.5	14.6	1.89	12.6	13.4	-0.77
Kelly Oubre Jr.	49	48	-0.56	1.06	-1.63	-0.07	-17	23	-40	15.8	14.8	0.95	12.5	13.6	-1.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.46,0.44,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.65,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.55,0.43,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 81, NYK 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.56,0.44,0.38,0.32,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.52,0.37,0.53,0.4,0.34,0.45,0.63,0.59,0.28,1	90.7%
MEM 92, BOS 95	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.67,0.6,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.33,0.47,0.36,0.32,0.42,1	90.3%
HOU 90, SEA 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.52,0.66,0.66,0.53,0.72,0.58,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.71,0.65,0.42,1	89.9%