NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	81		Excitement	8.6 [154]		MVP	Larry Johnson (NYK): +39.4%
New York Knicks	83		Comeback	5.4 [233]		LVP	Rik Smits (IND): -43.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mullin	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	4	89%	0.07	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Travis Best	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	5	57%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Mark Jackson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	81%	0.11	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Reggie Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	7	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.10
Dale Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	9	52%	0.03	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Sam Perkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	12	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	5	33%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Austin Croshere	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	6	21%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rik Smits	-0.43	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.2,-0.08,-0.43	-0.12	-0.32	-0.01	12	40%	-0.24	3	-0.20	6	33%	-0.28

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.39	0.39	0.06	0.33	-0.00	13	61%	0.43	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.36	0.36	0.02	0.33	-0.00	16	57%	0.41	2	-0.06	3	67%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	4	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	14	67%	0.18	4	-0.18	2	100%	0.01
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	4	25%	-0.06	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.09	0.00	5	20%	-0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.29	-0.29	-0.10	-0.20	-0.01	17	35%	-0.23	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.8	29.8	18.8	25.3	2.7	43.5	144.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +69.0%

IND -6.3%

IND -22.7%

NYK +9.7%

NYK +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NYK	NBA	IND	NYK	NBA
this game	15.5	16.2	15.2	88.0	92.2	101.7
season	15.4	16.1		106.5	100.0
opponent	15.8	15.1		98.8	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.3	17.0	15.9	17.3	15.5
NYK	16.0	15.8	16.8	16.1	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Jackson	55	55	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.01	2	-4	6	13.9	17.9	-4.02	15.8	16.7	-0.94
Chris Mullin	23	23	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.02	1	-3	4	14.5	15.8	-1.29	17.2	15.8	1.35
Rik Smits	59	58	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.04	3	-5	8	14.5	17.2	-2.73	15.9	16.7	-0.76
Austin Croshere	26	25	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.12	-2	0	-2	18.2	14.4	3.82	17.0	15.8	1.21
Sam Perkins	32	32	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.15	-3	1	-4	17.7	14.3	3.42	16.7	15.9	0.76
Derrick McKey	45	43	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.27	-2	0	-2	16.4	14.6	1.83	15.7	16.6	-0.90
Dale Davis	65	63	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.33	0	-2	2	14.3	18.4	-4.13	15.8	17.0	-1.14
Jalen Rose	54	54	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.49	0	-2	2	15.1	16.1	-1.05	16.6	15.6	1.02
Reggie Miller	64	62	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.39	-5	3	-8	15.5	15.6	-0.12	15.8	17.1	-1.31
Travis Best	37	35	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.43	-4	2	-6	17.9	13.9	4.02	16.7	15.8	0.94

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allan Houston	55	61	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.48	7	-5	12	16.0	16.4	-0.43	14.4	17.5	-3.11
Latrell Sprewell	84	84	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.50	4	-2	6	15.8	21.5	-5.71	15.4	16.2	-0.83
Chris Childs	46	48	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.43	6	-4	10	15.8	16.5	-0.74	17.3	13.5	3.86
Patrick Ewing	67	69	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.35	4	-2	6	15.8	17.2	-1.35	14.7	17.9	-3.17
Larry Johnson	68	69	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.43	-2	4	-6	16.8	14.1	2.69	15.6	15.2	0.36
Kurt Thomas	26	25	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	3	-4	17.3	15.7	1.55	18.0	14.6	3.45
Charlie Ward	44	44	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	6	-10	16.5	15.8	0.74	13.5	17.3	-3.86
Marcus Camby	60	60	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.04	-4	6	-10	16.0	16.5	-0.45	16.4	13.7	2.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.56,0.44,0.38,0.32,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.52,0.37,0.53,0.4,0.34,0.45,0.63,0.59,0.28,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 91, TOR 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.62,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.62,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.53,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.28,1	92.1%
CHI 74, PHI 77	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.75,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.45,0.68,0.58,1	90.8%
HOU 98, SAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.33,0.36,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.28,0.32,0.37,0.34,0.42,1	90.7%