NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	90		Excitement	8.7 [121]		MVP	Ruben Patterson (SEA): +23.2%
Seattle SuperSonics	93		Comeback	3.4 [365]		LVP	Steve Francis (HOU): -37.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.19,0.19	0.04	0.14	-0.01	14	59%	0.21	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.01
Walt Williams	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.14	-0.04	0.00	15	77%	0.17	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Rogers	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.00	12	58%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Colson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0.01	3	67%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	5	44%	-0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Kenny Thomas	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	3	67%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	4	10%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Francis	-0.38	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,-0.38	-0.11	-0.27	-0.00	12	35%	-0.28	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.08

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.23	0.23	0.06	0.17	-0.00	14	64%	0.27	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.03
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.2,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.08	-0.01	13	41%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.01	5	70%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	0.01	10	55%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olumide Oyedeji	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	-0.00	3	83%	0.05	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Emanual Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.01,-0.17,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.05	-0.22	-0.01	24	42%	-0.18	1	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.8	1.8	29.0	14.8	26.2	1.7	38.7	143.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +34.1%

HOU -9.8%

SEA +28.3%

SEA +0.2%

HOU -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SEA	NBA	HOU	SEA	NBA
this game	16.7	17.8	15.5	107.1	112.0	100.9
season	16.3	15.2		104.6	103.8
opponent	15.7	14.9		103.5	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.5	17.3	17.5	16.4	16.7
SEA	18.0	17.0	16.8	19.6	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Bullard	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-3	3	22.0	16.6	5.40	31.0	17.7	13.33
Sean Colson	1	0	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-1	-1	1.0	16.9	-15.86	0.0	17.8	-17.83
Carlos Rogers	28	27	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-3	3	16.0	17.0	-1.00	19.4	17.1	2.39
Shandon Anderson	29	29	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.00	-4	1	-5	18.0	16.0	1.98	18.3	17.6	0.79
Kelvin Cato	27	27	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	0	-3	16.7	16.6	0.11	16.4	18.5	-2.06
Walt Williams	54	54	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.22	3	-6	9	16.1	17.7	-1.56	17.6	18.3	-0.79
Kenny Thomas	41	41	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.35	4	-7	11	16.9	16.5	0.37	18.3	17.4	0.86
Moochie Norris	37	38	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.38	2	-5	7	16.5	16.8	-0.27	17.6	18.0	-0.47
Maurice Taylor	55	53	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.26	-6	3	-9	17.2	15.6	1.65	17.0	19.4	-2.40
Cuttino Mobley	75	73	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.39	-5	2	-7	16.9	14.8	2.12	17.7	18.8	-1.10
Steve Francis	72	72	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.45	-4	1	-5	16.2	19.2	-3.01	18.2	15.3	2.95

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton	70	72	0.89	-0.39	1.27	0.48	14	-11	25	17.6	19.2	-1.66	17.4	12.4	4.96
Ruben Patterson	56	56	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.66	4	-1	5	17.2	19.1	-1.90	16.1	17.8	-1.68
Vin Baker	43	45	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.41	6	-3	9	19.0	16.6	2.42	17.2	16.1	1.05
Emanual Davis	63	62	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.32	2	1	1	17.0	20.6	-3.65	16.2	17.9	-1.62
Rashard Lewis	55	56	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.22	3	0	3	17.5	18.5	-0.96	16.2	17.6	-1.41
Jelani McCoy	59	57	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	1	1	17.2	19.5	-2.35	16.9	16.3	0.60
Desmond Mason	13	13	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	8	-13	18.5	17.7	0.75	16.8	16.6	0.12
Olumide Oyedeji	3	3	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.02	-4	7	-11	27.0	17.5	9.51	19.3	16.6	2.77
Brent Barry	39	41	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.07	-3	6	-9	19.6	16.2	3.41	17.1	16.2	0.89
Shammond Williams	14	15	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.06	-4	7	-11	18.5	17.7	0.80	14.8	17.1	-2.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.52,0.66,0.66,0.53,0.72,0.58,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.71,0.65,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 88, CHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.63,0.47,0.26,0.34,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.42,1	91.5%
PHX 107, MIN 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.66,0.71,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.61,0.38,0.46,0.55,0.69,1	90.8%
DET 79, MIN 80	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.47,0.71,0.55,0.42,1	90.7%