NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	79		Excitement	8.5 [148]		MVP	Mehmet Okur (DET): +28.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves	80		Comeback	2.5 [641]		LVP	Chauncey Billups (DET): -70.5%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0.28	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.28	0.13	0.15	0.00	9	87%	0.36	1	-0.07	6	100%	0.05
Bob Sura	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	1	83%	0.05	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.04,-0.02,0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	16	38%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	7	56%	0.01	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Elden Campbell	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	6	31%	-0.08	2	-0.07	4	25%	-0.05
Chauncey Billups	-0.70	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.22,-0.7	-0.12	-0.59	-0.01	19	42%	-0.21	4	-0.49	5	100%	0.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Oliver Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.04	0.00	1	100%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	9	50%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	4	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.08	0.00	5	83%	0.04	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.28,-0.28,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.00	0.01	22	39%	-0.01	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	15	30%	-0.08	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,0.04,-0.1,-0.21,-0.3	-0.30	-0.11	-0.20	-0.02	23	42%	-0.20	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	25.0	15.5	25.6	2.4	27.5	121.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET -22.0%

MIN +6.2%

MIN +19.8%

MIN +46.2%

DET -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	MIN	NBA	DET	MIN	NBA
this game	15.7	16.5	15.7	88.8	88.9	100.5
season	16.2	15.6		99.2	103.2
opponent	16.1	16.0		98.4	92.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	19.4	13.9	14.8	14.8	15.7
MIN	14.9	17.4	17.1	16.5	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chucky Atkins	47	46	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.04	1	-2	3	15.3	16.1	-0.75	15.9	17.1	-1.20
Elden Campbell	28	29	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.03	0	-1	1	15.6	15.7	-0.10	15.3	17.1	-1.76
Bob Sura	21	22	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	1	-3	15.8	15.6	0.11	13.6	17.4	-3.85
Corliss Williamson	33	34	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.11	-3	2	-5	15.2	15.9	-0.73	15.7	17.0	-1.32
Mehmet Okur	65	66	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.46	2	-3	5	15.3	16.7	-1.47	16.8	15.8	0.97
Richard Hamilton	68	71	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.47	1	-2	3	15.8	15.3	0.51	17.1	14.4	2.64
Tayshaun Prince	43	42	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.36	-4	3	-7	16.5	14.9	1.53	17.1	16.0	1.07
Ben Wallace	73	73	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.52	1	-2	3	16.0	14.4	1.58	16.7	15.6	1.05
Chauncey Billups	67	67	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.55	-1	0	-1	15.6	15.9	-0.31	17.4	14.0	3.42

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Cassell	66	67	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.49	4	-3	7	16.4	16.7	-0.34	15.6	16.0	-0.49
Latrell Sprewell	71	69	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.37	7	-6	13	16.2	17.7	-1.57	16.1	14.0	2.09
Kevin Garnett	74	73	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.47	3	-2	5	16.4	17.1	-0.76	16.0	14.4	1.58
Mark Madsen	66	67	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.53	-2	3	-5	17.3	14.2	3.18	15.1	17.5	-2.36
Trenton Hassell	45	46	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.32	3	-2	5	16.2	16.8	-0.69	16.6	14.7	1.93
Fred Hoiberg	35	34	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.15	-2	3	-5	17.0	16.2	0.82	15.2	16.0	-0.81
Gary Trent	20	18	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	1	-1	16.8	16.4	0.45	13.6	16.2	-2.59
Oliver Miller	30	29	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.09	1	0	1	14.7	17.4	-2.75	16.7	15.2	1.51
Troy Hudson	43	42	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.10	-9	10	-19	17.2	15.9	1.31	15.1	16.2	-1.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.47,0.71,0.55,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 85, MIA 90	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.68,0.61,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.8,0.73,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.55,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.41,0.54,0.55,0.72,0.67,0.57,1	93.4%
CLE 84, CHA 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.85,0.81,0.71,0.62,0.49,0.64,0.71,0.6,0.69,0.63,0.57,0.58,1	91.9%
ATL 82, BOS 83	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.45,0.58,1	91.6%