NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	85		Excitement	9.0 [152]		MVP	Josh Richardson (MIA): +40.8%
Miami Heat	90		Comeback	2.0 [683]		LVP	Jawun Evans (LAC): -26.0%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Montrezl Harrell	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	0.00	10	68%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
C.J. Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	7	64%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Willie Reed	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamil Wilson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01	0.06	-0.05	0.00	7	64%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	-0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Milos Teodosic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.06,0,0.06,0,0.06,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	14	43%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.04
Lou Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.2,-0.23,-0.26,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.03,-0.04	-0.20	0.13	-0.03	16	36%	0.13	7	-0.16	4	100%	0.03
DeAndre Jordan	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.06	0.02	9	55%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.12
Sam Dekker	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	4	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sindarius Thornwell	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Jawun Evans	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.26	-0.07	-0.19	0.00	7	50%	0.04	4	-0.30	2	50%	-0.02

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.4,0.4,0.29,0.41	0.41	0.20	0.20	-0.00	16	82%	0.45	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.05
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.05,0,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	-0.01	0.13	-0.02	10	48%	0.20	1	-0.06	3	67%	0.01
Jordan Mickey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.00	6	60%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.09,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.03	0.00	11	40%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02
James Johnson	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Bam Adebayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.01	7	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Dion Waiters	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.06	0.01	11	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	9	47%	-0.02	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Tyler Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.16	-0.06	-0.02	9	0%	-0.17	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.8	23.2	13.8	27.8	1.8	36.2	130.6
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -3.0%

MIA +29.8%

LAC -36.1%

MIA +39.2%

MIA +20.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MIA	NBA	LAC	MIA	NBA
this game	15.8	17.0	14.7	96.6	102.3	107.5
season	14.2	15.1		109.2	105.4
opponent	14.6	14.6		105.8	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.3	16.9	13.8	16.3	15.8
MIA	13.7	18.2	17.5	18.9	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
C.J. Williams	50	49	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.05	5	-10	15	16.7	14.5	2.27	17.1	16.8	0.35
Sam Dekker	36	35	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-7	9	16.7	15.1	1.53	16.6	17.2	-0.65
Montrezl Harrell	29	29	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-5	5	15.9	15.7	0.15	18.6	16.2	2.47
Willie Reed	6	7	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.03	-2	-3	1	18.2	15.6	2.58	16.4	17.0	-0.58
Wesley Johnson	24	24	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.08	-8	3	-11	14.7	16.2	-1.51	15.7	17.5	-1.79
Sindarius Thornwell	24	25	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.11	-3	-2	-1	16.1	15.6	0.44	18.2	16.5	1.67
Jamil Wilson	43	43	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	-4	3	14.8	16.6	-1.81	17.2	16.8	0.39
Jawun Evans	48	47	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.35	2	-7	9	15.4	16.2	-0.85	17.5	16.3	1.21
Lou Williams	68	68	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.42	-2	-3	1	15.9	15.4	0.40	16.4	19.0	-2.70
DeAndre Jordan	62	62	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.36	-7	2	-9	15.6	16.2	-0.56	16.3	18.5	-2.12
Milos Teodosic	50	51	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.26	-11	6	-17	15.4	16.2	-0.84	17.1	16.7	0.41

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Richardson	68	66	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.36	8	-3	11	17.3	15.9	1.38	15.3	17.0	-1.71
Kelly Olynyk	64	64	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.31	7	-2	9	16.8	17.3	-0.51	15.9	15.5	0.36
Dion Waiters	56	56	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.36	3	2	1	16.9	17.1	-0.20	15.2	16.7	-1.55
Tyler Johnson	44	45	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.31	0	5	-5	16.4	17.5	-1.07	16.2	15.3	0.90
Goran Dragic	54	55	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.06	5	0	5	17.1	16.7	0.42	15.9	15.6	0.30
Bam Adebayo	50	49	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.33	-5	10	-15	18.0	15.6	2.39	16.1	15.4	0.68
Wayne Ellington	43	44	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.06	3	2	1	16.6	17.3	-0.75	16.2	15.3	0.84
James Johnson	13	13	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.07	7	-2	9	13.8	17.5	-3.66	13.8	16.1	-2.25
Jordan Mickey	48	48	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	8	-11	17.2	16.7	0.53	16.2	15.3	0.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.68,0.61,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.8,0.73,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.55,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.41,0.54,0.55,0.72,0.67,0.57,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 79, MIN 80	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.47,0.71,0.55,0.42,1	93.4%
UTA 94, DAL 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.62,0.58,0.67,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.78,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.73,1	92.0%
DET 83, MIN 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.76,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.6,0.78,0.53,0.64,0.69,0.74,1	91.0%