NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	83		Excitement	8.8 [162]		MVP	Ronald Dupree (DET): +12.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	86		Comeback	1.4 [882]		LVP	Carlos Arroyo (DET): -34.1%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronald Dupree	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12	0.02	0.10	0.00	8	53%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Goldwire	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01	-0.00	-0.04	-0.02	15	52%	0.08	2	-0.10	1	0%	-0.04
Ben Wallace	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	11	44%	0.01	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.05
Darvin Ham	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	-0.00	12	26%	-0.16	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Antonio McDyess	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	7	33%	-0.13	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.07
Chauncey Billups	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.24,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	20	45%	-0.08	3	-0.13	9	89%	0.03
Carlos Arroyo	-0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.34	-0.12	-0.23	-0.00	10	42%	-0.23	4	-0.11	4	50%	-0.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	-0.00	3	90%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.07
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.15,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.01	14	63%	0.06	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.04
John Thomas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.05	0.00	10	54%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.05
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	6	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.01	-0.01	6	45%	-0.02	2	-0.05	10	80%	0.04
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	7	44%	-0.08	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	14	47%	-0.07	4	-0.08	4	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.5	29.6	15.7	28.5	1.6	35.5	137.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +2.8%

MIN +39.7%

MIN +2.5%

MIN +4.6%

MIN +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	MIN	NBA	DET	MIN	NBA
this game	17.4	16.4	15.5	96.5	102.4	104.0
season	16.7	15.8		103.5	106.2
opponent	15.9	15.9		104.6	98.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.9	18.2	18.2	16.5	17.4
MIN	15.0	16.0	16.1	18.7	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Goldwire	4	4	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.00	6	-9	15	17.0	17.5	-0.46	19.0	16.3	2.70
Tayshaun Prince	7	7	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-5	7	14.1	17.7	-3.59	16.0	16.5	-0.47
Lindsey Hunter	46	44	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.12	3	-6	9	18.4	16.4	1.99	17.8	14.9	2.87
Darvin Ham	27	24	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.06	-6	3	-9	16.7	17.8	-1.08	12.0	18.2	-6.20
Ronald Dupree	50	49	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.31	2	-5	7	17.9	16.8	1.09	18.1	14.0	4.11
Ben Wallace	69	67	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.39	3	-6	9	17.6	17.0	0.55	17.4	12.6	4.74
Antonio McDyess	37	36	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-6	3	-9	17.6	17.3	0.32	15.0	17.5	-2.45
Rasheed Wallace	64	64	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.29	-5	2	-7	17.3	17.9	-0.63	16.4	16.6	-0.22
Chauncey Billups	76	74	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.45	-4	1	-5	17.2	19.1	-1.88	16.3	17.3	-0.99
Carlos Arroyo	50	51	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.38	-10	7	-17	17.3	17.7	-0.39	15.5	17.8	-2.34

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	70	71	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.41	6	-3	9	16.8	14.4	2.40	17.5	17.3	0.13
Trenton Hassell	43	43	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.43	2	1	1	18.3	14.5	3.84	18.0	16.8	1.21
Eddie Griffin	57	57	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.43	2	1	1	15.7	17.9	-2.15	17.0	18.3	-1.26
Wally Szczerbiak	62	64	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.36	3	0	3	16.5	16.2	0.27	17.4	17.5	-0.08
Anthony Carter	51	51	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.45	-2	5	-7	16.2	16.8	-0.69	17.1	17.9	-0.84
Fred Hoiberg	37	39	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	-1	5	13.4	18.8	-5.45	16.4	18.3	-1.93
Troy Hudson	33	35	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	-2	7	16.8	16.2	0.69	17.9	17.1	0.84
Ervin Johnson	24	25	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	3	-3	17.3	16.1	1.27	18.4	17.0	1.35
Latrell Sprewell	26	26	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.02	-3	6	-9	17.5	15.9	1.55	18.1	17.2	0.91
John Thomas	17	19	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.03	-2	5	-7	15.8	16.6	-0.76	17.4	17.5	-0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.76,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.6,0.78,0.53,0.64,0.69,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 90, LAC 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.41,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.77,1	91.9%
SAS 84, MIA 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.84,1	91.8%
BOS 96, IND 99	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.79,0.85,0.96,1	91.6%