NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	103		Excitement	11.5 [20]		MVP	Doug McDermott (NYK): +49.4%
Miami Heat	107		Comeback	4.0 [448]		LVP	Jarrett Jack (NYK): -43.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug McDermott	0.49	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49	0.05	0.44	-0.00	6	69%	0.53	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Michael Beasley	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.00	11	80%	0.42	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.09
Enes Kanter	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	7	87%	0.16	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Ron Baker	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kristaps Porzingis	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,0.07,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	14	47%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.06
Frank Ntilikina	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	3	20%	-0.03	1	-0.07	4	50%	-0.04
Lance Thomas	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Courtney Lee	-0.11	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0,0,-0.1,-0.11	0.06	-0.15	0.02	16	65%	0.00	4	-0.11	5	100%	0.03
Jarrett Jack	-0.43	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,-0.43	-0.11	-0.33	-0.01	12	33%	-0.17	3	-0.26	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Richardson	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.36	0.36	0.07	0.30	0.01	12	58%	0.38	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.19
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.12	0.17	-0.02	19	63%	0.33	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.04	0.11	0.00	18	53%	0.19	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Bam Adebayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	14	48%	-0.00	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	11	55%	0.08	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	10	45%	0.10	2	-0.14	2	100%	0.09
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.26,-0.26,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.29	-0.29	-0.09	-0.20	0.00	7	22%	-0.27	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.2	2.3	26.4	14.4	26.6	1.8	35.5	1.6	16.3	148.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	3.2	17.5	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK -26.5%

MIA +21.0%

MIA +29.2%

MIA +30.0%

NYK -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIA	NBA	NYK	MIA	NBA
this game	16.2	15.4	14.7	103.0	105.9	107.5
season	14.9	15.1		105.9	105.4
opponent	14.6	14.5		105.8	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NYK	16.2	16.1	12.6	18.8	19.8	16.2
MIA	14.3	13.3	18.7	17.2	12.2	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug McDermott	34	35	0.63	-1.13	1.75	0.42	7	-11	18	16.5	16.0	0.50	17.3	14.5	2.77
Ron Baker	21	21	0.35	-0.85	1.20	0.15	7	-11	18	17.1	16.0	1.13	17.3	15.0	2.32
Kyle O'Quinn	30	29	0.30	-0.80	1.10	0.12	6	-10	16	16.5	16.1	0.38	17.7	14.5	3.20
Frank Ntilikina	44	43	0.16	-0.66	0.83	0.07	3	-7	10	16.6	15.9	0.74	18.4	13.3	5.14
Michael Beasley	42	42	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.10	5	-9	14	17.1	15.6	1.50	16.3	14.8	1.52
Enes Kanter	50	50	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-2	0	14.8	17.6	-2.72	14.9	15.9	-1.00
Courtney Lee	77	78	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.54	-8	4	-12	15.8	17.4	-1.55	14.8	17.5	-2.63
Jarrett Jack	65	67	-0.81	0.31	-1.11	-0.48	-11	7	-18	16.3	16.0	0.26	14.2	17.9	-3.72
Kristaps Porzingis	72	74	-0.82	0.32	-1.14	-0.50	-11	7	-18	16.1	16.5	-0.42	14.6	17.9	-3.28
Lance Thomas	56	56	-0.99	0.49	-1.49	-0.64	-12	8	-20	15.7	16.8	-1.10	14.0	17.2	-3.16

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Goran Dragic	77	75	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.51	9	-5	14	14.9	17.3	-2.48	16.4	15.7	0.64
Kelly Olynyk	66	67	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.43	7	-3	10	15.1	16.1	-0.98	16.5	15.6	0.84
James Johnson	61	58	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.37	4	0	4	15.6	15.2	0.41	17.3	14.7	2.64
Wayne Ellington	67	64	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.37	3	1	2	16.2	14.0	2.18	17.0	14.8	2.22
Josh Richardson	78	78	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.35	3	1	2	14.8	17.5	-2.69	16.4	15.3	1.13
Derrick Jones Jr.	18	18	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.02	4	0	4	16.7	15.2	1.49	15.5	16.4	-0.85
Hassan Whiteside	47	48	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.01	2	2	0	14.4	16.3	-1.87	15.0	17.3	-2.27
Bam Adebayo	28	27	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.02	-5	9	-14	17.6	14.6	2.94	15.2	16.6	-1.34
Tyler Johnson	63	65	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	-0.06	-7	11	-18	15.8	14.9	0.93	15.1	18.2	-3.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.7,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.6,0.66,0.48,0.43,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.4,0.45,0.37,0.55,0.74,0.46,0.53,0.64,0.66,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 95, SAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.61,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.43,0.29,0.24,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.67,0.72,1	89.1%
DET 87, CLE 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.52,0.36,0.32,0.42,0.46,0.61,0.63,0.33,0.28,1	88.9%
MEM 103, MIL 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.6,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.27,0.25,0.46,0.45,0.85,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.68,0.58,1	88.8%