NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	116		Excitement	9.3 [117]		MVP	Dennis Smith Jr. (DAL): +52.4%
Oklahoma City Thunder	113		Comeback	2.9 [242]		LVP	Jerami Grant (OKC): -15.2%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Smith Jr.	0.52	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07,0.42,0.52	0.05	0.48	0.00	12	61%	0.60	3	-0.08	7	86%	0.03
Harrison Barnes	0.29	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.18	0.12	0.01	15	80%	0.33	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
J.J. Barea	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.05	-0.00	9	67%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.05	0.00	12	54%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Salah Mejri	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	5	64%	0.07	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Maxi Kleber	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	5	64%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Devin Harris	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	8	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dwight Powell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.08	0.01	11	41%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Yogi Ferrell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	7	57%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.33,0.45,0.33	0.33	0.14	0.19	0.00	28	60%	0.39	2	-0.07	7	57%	-0.03
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.02	0.11	-0.01	10	55%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.01
Paul George	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.13	0.13	0.17	-0.04	-0.00	12	71%	0.18	1	-0.05	11	82%	-0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	15	62%	0.17	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.03
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	8	62%	0.11	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Alex Abrines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrance Ferguson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Huestis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	6	17%	-0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	1.7	24.7	14.7	24.5	1.7	37.7	132.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +78.6%

OKC -12.5%

OKC -33.7%

DAL +16.6%

DAL +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	OKC	NBA	DAL	OKC	NBA
this game	16.6	14.0	14.7	123.4	120.2	107.5
season	15.4	14.2		105.3	109.4
opponent	15.3	14.3		106.1	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.9	17.1	15.8	16.6	16.6
OKC	13.8	13.4	13.5	15.4	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Harrison Barnes	65	66	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.45	8	-5	13	16.5	16.8	-0.29	14.3	13.4	0.87
Salah Mejri	42	42	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.30	12	-9	21	16.8	16.4	0.39	15.3	13.1	2.20
Wesley Matthews	68	69	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.35	3	0	3	16.9	15.8	1.14	14.1	13.8	0.28
J.J. Barea	49	49	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.13	9	-6	15	17.0	16.1	0.93	14.5	13.5	1.02
Dennis Smith Jr.	53	53	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.36	0	3	-3	16.7	16.4	0.32	13.8	14.3	-0.44
Yogi Ferrell	51	52	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.38	-8	11	-19	15.9	17.4	-1.43	13.9	14.2	-0.31
Devin Harris	35	33	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.04	2	1	1	15.3	17.4	-2.09	13.1	14.6	-1.47
Dirk Nowitzki	48	46	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.01	-2	5	-7	17.1	16.1	1.00	13.8	14.3	-0.51
Maxi Kleber	29	29	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.02	-2	5	-7	17.0	16.4	0.53	13.8	14.2	-0.36
Dwight Powell	30	31	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.07	-7	10	-17	16.3	16.7	-0.43	13.1	14.5	-1.41

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Patterson	27	27	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.13	1	-4	5	13.8	14.1	-0.37	16.6	16.6	-0.06
Alex Abrines	28	29	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.06	-2	-1	-1	14.7	13.8	0.91	17.1	16.4	0.73
Terrance Ferguson	28	28	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-5	7	14.1	14.0	0.14	15.6	17.0	-1.41
Josh Huestis	38	38	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.01	-2	-1	-1	13.9	14.2	-0.29	17.0	16.3	0.63
Jerami Grant	44	44	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.26	5	-8	13	13.5	14.5	-0.93	15.9	17.2	-1.38
Steven Adams	59	60	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	-2	1	14.2	13.8	0.34	17.2	15.6	1.58
Russell Westbrook	72	73	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.34	0	-3	3	13.7	15.0	-1.31	16.3	17.5	-1.13
Paul George	67	66	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.36	-2	-1	-1	13.9	14.4	-0.51	17.2	15.1	2.07
Carmelo Anthony	62	62	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.47	-8	5	-13	14.4	13.4	1.01	16.4	16.9	-0.52
Raymond Felton	45	43	-0.75	0.25	-1.01	-0.52	-8	5	-13	14.4	13.7	0.77	16.3	16.9	-0.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.41,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.58,0.66,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.64,0.65,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 96, OKC 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.64,0.46,0.53,0.71,0.45,0.02,0	91.1%
MIA 107, SEA 103	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.69,0.65,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.34,0.08,0	91.0%
MEM 98, PHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.56,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.33,0.58,0.74,0.65,0.61,0.62,0.54,0.45,0.27,0	91.0%