NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	107		Excitement	8.2 [246]		MVP	Paul George (OKC): +31.9%
Oklahoma City Thunder	112		Comeback	2.6 [508]		LVP	Raymond Felton (OKC): -14.0%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.24	0.15	0.07	-0.02	18	58%	0.28	1	-0.03	14	86%	0.03
Eric Gordon	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.14	0.01	0.13	-0.01	13	65%	0.28	6	-0.14	5	100%	0.07
Trevor Ariza	0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06	0.10	-0.02	0.02	16	59%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Clint Capela	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.01	14	59%	0.04	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.16
Briante Weber	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.04	-0.08	-0.01	7	65%	0.05	2	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Nene	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	7	35%	0.00	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
PJ Tucker	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.35,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.09	0.22	-0.01	15	71%	0.43	5	-0.11	4	100%	0.05
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.18,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.24	0.24	0.03	0.17	-0.05	24	55%	0.41	5	-0.17	8	87%	0.05
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.16	0.05	0.02	12	77%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steven Adams	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.01	0.02	9	79%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Andre Roberson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	4	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.06
Josh Huestis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	56%	0.05	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Alex Abrines	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	5	20%	-0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	3.0	28.7	13.7	24.6	3.4	34.4	132.8
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +48.3%

OKC +5.5%

HOU -0.0%

HOU -3.6%

HOU -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	OKC	NBA	HOU	OKC	NBA
this game	15.2	14.8	14.7	111.5	116.7	107.5
season	14.6	14.2		112.8	109.4
opponent	15.3	14.8		106.1	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.8	14.3	17.4	15.8	15.2
OKC	14.4	13.9	16.1	14.8	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Briante Weber	35	35	0.10	-0.60	0.71	0.07	1	-6	7	14.8	15.5	-0.65	15.5	14.4	1.10
Nene	31	29	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.02	-5	0	-5	14.7	15.5	-0.73	13.8	15.2	-1.39
Ryan Anderson	61	62	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.18	0	-5	5	15.4	15.0	0.33	14.6	15.1	-0.51
Eric Gordon	77	78	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-6	7	14.6	17.9	-3.38	14.4	16.4	-2.00
Trevor Ariza	84	84	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.32	-2	-3	1	15.5	13.6	1.89	15.0	12.8	2.20
Clint Capela	59	59	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.45	-3	-2	-1	15.7	14.5	1.18	14.8	14.6	0.18
James Harden	75	75	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.38	-7	2	-9	15.6	13.9	1.71	15.0	14.0	0.91
PJ Tucker	58	58	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.29	-10	5	-15	15.2	15.3	-0.04	14.8	14.7	0.08

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Russell Westbrook	73	74	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.42	11	-6	17	14.3	16.1	-1.74	15.9	13.2	2.67
Steven Adams	76	76	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.41	9	-4	13	14.6	15.3	-0.74	15.7	13.4	2.26
Carmelo Anthony	64	64	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.48	5	0	5	14.4	15.5	-1.11	15.5	14.8	0.64
Andre Roberson	54	54	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.20	14	-9	23	14.7	14.8	-0.04	16.3	13.9	2.33
Paul George	86	84	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.33	4	1	3	14.5	17.2	-2.72	15.1	16.1	-0.96
Jerami Grant	36	36	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	3	-1	15.6	14.3	1.32	14.7	15.6	-0.92
Alex Abrines	7	7	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.01	1	4	-3	15.1	14.7	0.41	11.6	15.5	-3.96
Patrick Patterson	20	20	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	-0.06	-4	9	-13	15.3	14.6	0.74	13.4	15.7	-2.26
Raymond Felton	31	30	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.06	-6	11	-17	15.4	14.5	0.88	13.5	16.0	-2.53
Josh Huestis	33	35	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.04	-11	16	-27	15.6	14.3	1.33	15.1	15.3	-0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.44,0.47,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.73,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.84,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 93, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.5,0.45,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.41,0.45,0.52,0.6,0.44,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.68,0.9,0.84,0.98,1	93.1%
NYK 81, TOR 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.57,0.48,0.43,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.9,0.99,1,1,1	92.3%
PHX 76, CHH 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.52,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.6,0.69,0.79,0.98,1,1	92.3%