inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New York Knicks 81 Excitement7.1 [421] MVPDonyell Marshall (TOR): +26.2%
Toronto Raptors 98 Comeback1.6 [855] LVPTim Thomas (NYK): -21.5%


New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jerome Williams0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.040.080.00861%0.1200.00250%-0.02
Allan Houston0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.010.04-0.011248%0.071-0.031100%0.01
Kurt Thomas0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.010.03-0.01850%0.091-0.0500%0.00
Jamison Brewer-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.0210%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Michael Sweetney-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.001100%0.052-0.0700%0.00
Trevor Ariza-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Nazr Mohammed-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.04-0.021259%0.074-0.12367%-0.01
Stephon Marbury-0.120,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.08-0.020.021538%-0.101-0.02425%-0.06
Jamal Crawford-0.180,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.13-0.07-0.021425%-0.122-0.0600%0.00
Tim Thomas-0.210,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.15-0.08-0.011532%-0.191-0.03875%0.01

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Donyell Marshall0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.260.260.160.130.027106%0.271-0.012100%0.01
Lamond Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.000.08-0.00558%0.141-0.06250%-0.02
Jalen Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.020.060.001465%0.183-0.11989%0.04
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.010.00278%0.0400.005100%0.04
Morris Peterson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.04-0.020.03964%0.021-0.024100%0.02
Milt Palacio0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.00250%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Rafer Alston0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.030.00862%0.043-0.10540%-0.05
Eric Williams0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.0120%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Rafael Araujo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.01-0.0030%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
Chris Bosh0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.16,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.21-0.04-0.041437%-0.095-0.121060%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.32.734.515.023.22.530.2133.3
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +44.1%
TOR +27.3%
NYK -14.5%
NYK -10.1%
TOR +3.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNYKTORNBANYKTORNBA
this game16.015.815.589.0108.9104.0
season15.815.1103.9104.8
opponent15.415.3106.8106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NYK16.016.717.813.816.0
TOR14.015.317.416.815.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Trevor Ariza15140.07-0.570.640.10-1-161514.716.3-1.5419.215.24.04
Jamison Brewer330.04-0.540.580.13-3-14114.316.4-12.0911.016.0-4.97
Michael Sweetney1820-0.09-0.410.33-0.06-1-161515.116.2-1.1417.015.51.54
Jamal Crawford5755-0.15-0.350.190.05-7-10315.017.7-2.6915.316.5-1.17
Tim Thomas6261-0.16-0.340.18-0.13-1-161516.515.01.5014.817.9-3.14
Jerome Williams4441-0.20-0.300.100.12-11-6-516.515.60.8416.615.11.53
Allan Houston4949-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.07-9-8-117.114.72.3816.914.52.41
Nazr Mohammed6968-0.41-0.09-0.320.06-16-1-1516.813.53.3315.616.4-0.81
Kurt Thomas5961-0.580.08-0.67-0.09-170-1715.017.9-2.9115.017.4-2.33
Stephon Marbury7978-0.680.18-0.85-0.12-192-2116.413.52.9115.815.70.06

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lamond Murray37350.450.050.390.09125716.515.31.1715.916.1-0.27
Donyell Marshall52530.420.080.350.04134916.714.52.2015.816.4-0.59
Jalen Rose46470.420.080.330.06125717.514.13.3916.415.70.70
Milt Palacio31320.310.190.130.0889-116.015.70.2615.716.2-0.56
Matt Bonner38400.270.230.030.09611-515.915.70.1215.216.7-1.51
Rafer Alston59600.200.30-0.09-0.0698115.716.0-0.2616.016.0-0.02
Rafael Araujo35340.150.35-0.20-0.05710-314.316.8-2.5216.115.90.20
Morris Peterson51520.150.35-0.21-0.06710-315.016.8-1.8016.016.1-0.05
Chris Bosh58580.120.38-0.26-0.20116515.616.2-0.5516.215.80.37
Eric Williams43440.010.49-0.470.01017-1714.716.8-2.1116.915.21.67


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.57,0.48,0.43,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.9,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 82, CHI 890.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.98,194.0%
UTA 97, PHI 990.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.98,0.99,193.5%
HOU 98, DAL 1070.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.6,0.64,0.55,0.45,0.51,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.4,0.4,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.85,0.93,1,1,193.5%