NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	82		Excitement	6.9 [440]		MVP	Elton Brand (CHI): +17.1%
Chicago Bulls	89		Comeback	2.1 [372]		LVP	Isaiah Rider (ATL): -26.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bimbo Coles	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	5	70%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.03	0.00	15	48%	0.05	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	7	71%	0.05	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Jason Terry	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	11	55%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.06	0.02	9	56%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Crawford	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	8	12%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	14	33%	-0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.04
Isaiah Rider	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.15	-0.12	0.00	13	34%	-0.13	4	-0.14	3	67%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.09	0.00	23	57%	0.17	0	0.00	8	87%	0.05
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.10	-0.01	8	61%	0.14	0	0.00	7	86%	0.11
Corey Benjamin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Perdue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Anstey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	7	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	0.02	0.05	9	45%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	-0.02
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	9	28%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	6	21%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	15	31%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.07	0.02	9	39%	-0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.4	29.5	16.4	22.4	1.8	37.2	132.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +0.2%

CHI +15.7%

CHI +12.3%

CHI +21.9%

ATL -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CHI	NBA	ATL	CHI	NBA
this game	15.6	17.8	15.2	94.3	103.5	101.7
season	15.4	16.5		99.3	91.8
opponent	14.9	15.2		102.3	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.8	15.5	15.3	16.8	15.6
CHI	15.2	16.5	19.9	20.1	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alan Henderson	55	54	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.04	-1	-6	5	15.9	14.9	0.97	17.4	18.4	-1.04
Bimbo Coles	18	18	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.05	-1	-6	5	13.7	16.0	-2.31	15.7	18.3	-2.64
Jim Jackson	64	62	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.04	-5	-2	-3	14.8	17.7	-2.86	16.7	20.5	-3.81
Chris Crawford	31	33	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.16	-2	-5	3	15.6	15.5	0.04	15.6	19.1	-3.54
LaPhonso Ellis	48	48	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.31	2	-9	11	15.3	15.8	-0.49	19.7	15.3	4.37
Isaiah Rider	46	45	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.13	-6	-1	-5	15.2	16.0	-0.85	19.2	16.2	2.94
Jason Terry	69	68	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.25	-6	-1	-5	16.0	13.7	2.31	18.3	15.7	2.64
Dikembe Mutombo	73	72	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.26	-7	0	-7	15.6	15.2	0.40	16.6	23.8	-7.20
Lorenzen Wright	31	30	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.25	-9	2	-11	17.2	14.6	2.60	20.7	16.2	4.47

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Hoiberg	64	64	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.31	19	-12	31	17.0	19.8	-2.77	16.3	13.4	2.94
Randy Brown	55	55	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.39	5	2	3	17.7	17.9	-0.18	15.9	14.9	1.07
Elton Brand	67	67	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.34	5	2	3	18.0	16.9	1.11	16.7	11.5	5.20
Dickey Simpkins	61	61	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.26	7	0	7	16.2	21.5	-5.31	16.1	14.3	1.72
Chris Carr	49	50	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.18	4	3	1	18.3	17.0	1.28	14.8	16.6	-1.81
Michael Ruffin	6	6	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.03	3	4	-1	29.7	16.9	12.80	17.0	15.4	1.56
Chris Anstey	19	20	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.04	2	5	-3	16.9	18.0	-1.11	11.5	16.7	-5.20
Matt Maloney	31	32	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.10	2	5	-3	17.9	17.7	0.18	14.9	15.9	-1.07
Hersey Hawkins	54	55	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.07	-5	12	-17	17.8	17.7	0.16	15.4	15.9	-0.51
Will Perdue	19	20	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	10	-13	18.9	17.4	1.53	13.5	16.1	-2.60
Corey Benjamin	5	5	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.03	-4	11	-15	20.8	17.6	3.23	15.4	15.6	-0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 81, TOR 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.57,0.48,0.43,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.9,0.99,1,1,1	94.0%
POR 65, NJN 78	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	93.3%
UTA 97, PHI 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.98,0.99,1	92.7%