NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	84		Excitement	5.8 [691]		MVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): +15.8%
Golden State Warriors	97		Comeback	2.3 [1018]		LVP	Mario Chalmers (MEM): -13.4%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarell Martin	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	71%	0.09	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Dillon Brooks	0.05	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.01	6	75%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kobi Simmons	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivan Rabb	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vincent Hunter	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deyonta Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	11	45%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.02	0.02	15	52%	0.05	3	-0.08	10	90%	0.06
Andrew Harrison	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	6	29%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
JaMychal Green	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
James Ennis III	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.13	0.01	-0.02	16	30%	-0.03	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Mario Chalmers	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.05	0.01	9	33%	-0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.18	-0.01	0.02	16	76%	0.22	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.03
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	7	75%	0.13	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.02	-0.01	8	44%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	3	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Damian Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinn Cook	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	7	21%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Bell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.03	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.00
Patrick McCaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	6	21%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.03	0.03	20	49%	-0.02	4	-0.09	5	80%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.4	27.2	16.6	31.2	0.8	29.0	134.5
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +34.5%

GSW +5.2%

GSW +4.1%

GSW +8.7%

MEM -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	GSW	NBA	MEM	GSW	NBA
this game	16.8	15.5	14.7	93.3	110.2	107.5
season	15.4	13.7		103.4	112.6
opponent	15.1	14.6		105.8	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	17.6	15.5	16.3	17.9	16.8
GSW	13.5	17.3	15.0	16.4	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mario Chalmers	50	50	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.14	7	-20	27	16.3	17.4	-1.06	15.7	15.3	0.48
Kobi Simmons	4	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-13	13	22.2	16.6	5.69	13.0	15.7	-2.65
Vincent Hunter	4	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-13	13	22.2	16.6	5.69	13.0	15.7	-2.65
Ivan Rabb	4	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-13	13	22.2	16.6	5.69	13.0	15.7	-2.65
Deyonta Davis	14	13	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	-7	1	19.6	16.3	3.27	16.8	15.3	1.54
James Ennis III	31	30	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	-7	1	17.1	16.6	0.48	14.9	15.9	-0.96
Ben McLemore	45	43	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-10	7	15.2	18.4	-3.22	16.1	15.0	1.05
Dillon Brooks	39	38	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.13	-2	-11	9	16.6	16.9	-0.30	16.4	14.8	1.61
Jarell Martin	38	38	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	-9	5	16.6	17.0	-0.40	15.0	15.9	-0.94
JaMychal Green	47	44	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.08	-11	-2	-9	16.3	17.3	-0.99	15.7	15.4	0.25
Marc Gasol	68	68	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.17	-4	-9	5	15.9	19.6	-3.74	15.5	15.6	-0.15
Andrew Harrison	44	44	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.01	-16	3	-19	18.5	15.2	3.30	14.9	16.1	-1.20
Tyreke Evans	62	60	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.06	-20	7	-27	16.9	16.5	0.40	15.7	15.2	0.42

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Klay Thompson	67	69	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.06	17	-4	21	15.6	15.2	0.45	17.6	14.4	3.17
Omri Casspi	46	48	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.05	15	-2	17	15.4	15.7	-0.34	16.0	17.8	-1.78
David West	34	34	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.05	16	-3	19	16.6	14.8	1.81	17.7	16.3	1.44
Nick Young	45	45	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.10	9	4	5	15.7	15.4	0.32	15.7	18.0	-2.29
Patrick McCaw	54	56	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.01	10	3	7	15.4	15.7	-0.33	16.3	17.7	-1.39
Quinn Cook	34	34	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	10	-7	15.7	15.4	0.33	17.7	16.3	1.39
JaVale McGee	22	24	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	11	-9	14.2	16.0	-1.80	17.7	16.5	1.17
Kevin Durant	61	64	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	11	-9	15.3	16.1	-0.89	16.8	16.7	0.11
Jordan Bell	48	48	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.14	-4	17	-21	15.8	15.2	0.66	17.2	16.4	0.85
Damian Jones	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	16.3	15.5	0.83	16.0	16.8	-0.83
Kevon Looney	26	26	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.06	-3	16	-19	15.0	15.8	-0.81	15.7	17.3	-1.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.76,0.85,0.89,0.96,0.95,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 84, ATL 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.87,0.8,0.84,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1	94.8%
BOS 92, WAS 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.67,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.77,0.87,0.83,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.66,0.78,0.79,0.7,0.78,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.8%
CHI 81, IND 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1	94.5%