NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	84		Excitement	5.1 [823]		MVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): +20.3%
Atlanta Hawks	98		Comeback	1.8 [1091]		LVP	Jawad Williams (CLE): -12.5%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.14	0.03	-0.00	16	66%	0.17	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Ryan Hollins	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.00	3	100%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamario Moon	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
JJ Hickson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	10	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	20	43%	0.04	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Daniel Gibson	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	12	46%	-0.02	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jawad Williams	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	6	17%	-0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.13	0.08	0.01	17	64%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.02	0.01	11	74%	0.13	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.05	-0.04	13	64%	0.17	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.05	0.03	14	55%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	8	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	8	39%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	0.03	7	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.6	31.2	15.8	22.8	1.8	23.3	124.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +41.3%

CLE -7.0%

ATL +5.1%

ATL +9.9%

ATL +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ATL	NBA	CLE	ATL	NBA
this game	16.6	16.3	15.5	95.5	112.6	105.7
season	15.1	16.5		100.8	104.0
opponent	15.5	15.4		105.1	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.8	16.0	16.7	17.2	16.6
ATL	16.7	12.8	16.8	19.7	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Hollins	10	10	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.02	1	-15	16	17.1	16.6	0.51	14.6	16.5	-1.88
Jamario Moon	11	9	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.04	-6	-8	2	16.5	16.7	-0.22	10.7	16.9	-6.24
Mo Williams	60	61	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.14	-2	-12	10	16.9	16.1	0.85	17.0	14.4	2.63
Jawad Williams	23	21	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.05	-9	-5	-4	15.2	17.2	-2.00	13.3	17.2	-3.86
Daniel Gibson	73	75	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.13	-4	-10	6	16.6	16.9	-0.34	16.8	13.2	3.59
Antawn Jamison	73	72	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.11	-5	-9	4	16.3	18.1	-1.79	16.5	15.0	1.53
Ramon Sessions	28	26	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.05	-12	-2	-10	16.1	16.9	-0.85	14.4	17.0	-2.63
JJ Hickson	28	27	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.02	-12	-2	-10	16.1	16.9	-0.85	15.3	16.7	-1.46
Anthony Parker	69	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.14	-9	-5	-4	17.2	14.5	2.71	17.3	12.1	5.24
Anderson Varejao	65	65	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.11	-12	-2	-10	17.2	15.2	2.00	16.6	15.1	1.51

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Smith	76	77	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.06	14	0	14	16.4	15.1	1.34	17.0	14.0	3.03
Maurice Evans	29	30	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.01	14	0	14	15.1	16.9	-1.79	16.2	16.9	-0.63
Marvin Williams	73	73	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.12	8	6	2	16.5	15.1	1.42	16.9	15.4	1.50
Zaza Pachulia	35	36	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.08	9	5	4	15.1	17.1	-2.02	15.6	17.4	-1.75
Jeff Teague	34	36	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.01	12	2	10	14.3	17.5	-3.19	15.8	17.2	-1.38
Al Horford	67	67	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.07	6	8	-2	16.4	15.8	0.60	16.6	16.8	-0.21
Joe Johnson	64	65	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.04	6	8	-2	16.7	15.0	1.78	16.7	16.6	0.05
Mike Bibby	53	52	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	12	-10	17.5	14.3	3.19	17.2	15.8	1.38
Jason Collins	4	4	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	15	-16	18.2	16.2	2.08	17.7	16.6	1.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.87,0.8,0.84,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 95, DAL 115	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.83,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
MEM 84, GSW 97	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.76,0.85,0.89,0.96,0.95,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
TOR 98, IND 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.62,0.67,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.5%