NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	92		Excitement	5.8 [630]		MVP	Tracy Murray (WAS): +27.8%
Washington Bullets	105		Comeback	1.9 [1138]		LVP	Rod Strickland (WAS): -17.4%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.01	11	73%	0.10	2	-0.07	11	73%	-0.00
Steve Hamer	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Hawkins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	150%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	11	61%	0.04	3	-0.05	6	50%	-0.03
Dee Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brett Szabo	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marty Conlon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	7	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Alton Lister	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	13	50%	0.00	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Todd Day	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	14	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	17	38%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Washington Bullets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.18	0.09	-0.01	14	77%	0.28	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Chris Webber	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.02	0.04	18	65%	0.12	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.04
Harvey Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Legler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Ashraf Amaya	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	9	53%	0.04	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Juwan Howard	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.02	14	57%	0.03	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	4	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gheorghe Muresan	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.08	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-0.01	10	33%	-0.06	4	-0.12	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.6	27.0	15.0	26.0	0.2	24.9	119.1
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +43.0%

BOS -0.1%

WAS +3.1%

BOS -6.0%

WAS +10.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	WAS	NBA	BOS	WAS	NBA
this game	15.5	15.3	15.6	98.9	111.7	104.4
season	14.8	14.8		101.8	104.3
opponent	15.8	14.7		103.3	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.7	16.4	14.8	17.1	15.5
WAS	15.7	14.2	16.5	14.9	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alton Lister	4	4	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.06	6	-19	25	17.0	15.4	1.60	27.0	14.8	12.19
Steve Hamer	13	16	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.19	2	-15	17	18.0	15.1	2.94	16.2	15.2	1.03
Marty Conlon	57	55	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.17	-11	-2	-9	15.5	15.4	0.09	14.9	16.0	-1.15
Michael Hawkins	14	15	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.09	-2	-11	9	15.2	15.5	-0.30	15.7	15.3	0.48
Brett Szabo	17	18	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.11	-2	-11	9	13.5	15.9	-2.38	17.8	14.7	3.10
Dee Brown	14	13	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.10	-11	-2	-9	20.3	14.6	5.67	11.5	15.9	-4.40
Rick Fox	65	66	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.01	-8	-5	-3	15.1	16.4	-1.37	15.6	14.7	0.83
Eric Williams	70	70	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.21	-1	-12	11	14.8	17.5	-2.72	15.7	14.2	1.45
David Wesley	76	77	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	-3	-7	15.4	16.0	-0.64	15.4	15.2	0.12
Antoine Walker	81	81	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.11	-11	-2	-9	15.0	18.6	-3.57	14.9	18.3	-3.46
Todd Day	54	55	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.07	-17	4	-21	16.4	14.2	2.14	14.6	16.4	-1.80

Washington Bullets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Calbert Cheaney	70	71	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.04	17	-4	21	14.9	16.5	-1.63	15.8	14.3	1.57
Tracy Murray	59	58	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.04	17	-4	21	14.3	17.0	-2.71	16.3	14.1	2.18
Chris Webber	70	70	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.01	14	-1	15	14.2	18.5	-4.26	15.8	14.3	1.50
Juwan Howard	77	76	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.03	13	0	13	15.5	14.6	0.91	15.1	17.1	-1.94
Chris Whitney	25	24	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.07	14	-1	15	13.9	15.8	-1.92	17.5	14.8	2.79
Harvey Grant	30	28	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.05	4	9	-5	16.3	14.9	1.42	15.5	15.4	0.09
Rod Strickland	69	69	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.19	-1	14	-15	15.8	13.9	1.92	14.8	17.5	-2.79
Jaren Jackson	19	19	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	15	-17	15.8	15.2	0.64	14.5	15.7	-1.19
Tim Legler	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	14	-15	19.5	15.0	4.45	11.2	15.7	-4.52
Ben Wallace	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	16	-19	18.8	15.1	3.67	9.5	15.7	-6.24
Ashraf Amaya	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	16	-19	19.2	15.2	4.09	9.5	15.7	-6.24
Gheorghe Muresan	36	37	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.11	-4	17	-21	16.9	14.4	2.48	15.8	15.2	0.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.67,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.77,0.87,0.83,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.66,0.78,0.79,0.7,0.78,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 84, GSW 97	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.76,0.85,0.89,0.96,0.95,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
CHI 81, IND 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1	93.8%
POR 104, ORL 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.51,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1	93.6%