inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Portland Trail Blazers 104 Excitement5.8 [634] MVPJJ Redick (ORL): +13.7%
Orlando Magic 110 Comeback2.5 [294] LVPDamian Lillard (POR): -33.7%


Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luke Babbitt0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.060.040.003100%0.1100.0000%0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge0.080,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.120.010.042158%0.0800.001100%0.00
JJ Hickson0.070,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.010.01685%0.122-0.051100%0.01
Joel Freeland0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.020.00467%0.091-0.0410%-0.02
Meyers Leonard0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.012100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Nicolas Batum0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.030.040.010.021270%0.155-0.123100%0.02
Wesley Matthews0.030,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.11-0.030.061265%0.0300.00250%-0.01
Will Barton0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.000.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Nolan Smith0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.060.000.062100%-0.0000.002100%0.00
Victor Claver-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.01367%0.052-0.0600%0.00
Damian Lillard-0.340,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.26,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34-0.28-0.08-0.021612%-0.244-0.102100%0.01

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
JJ Redick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.140.140.150.020.031379%0.212-0.072100%0.01
Arron Afflalo0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.030.05-0.021250%0.1000.00475%-0.00
Nikola Vucevic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.030.050.011265%0.143-0.07250%-0.01
E'Twaun Moore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.03-0.02450%0.0500.0000%0.00
Kyle O'Quinn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.02-0.00554%0.0500.00333%-0.04
DeQuan Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Andrew Nicholson0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.010.02964%0.062-0.044100%0.02
Ish Smith00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gustavo Ayon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0-0.000.030.010.041452%0.021-0.0230%-0.03
Maurice Harkless0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.010.01540%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.140.01-0.041828%-0.062-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.62.730.815.823.21.832.0127.9
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +18.9%
POR -2.9%
ORL +20.2%
ORL +12.8%
ORL +0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPORORLNBAPORORLNBA
this game14.915.915.4110.6118.3104.1
season15.815.5104.3100.3
opponent15.315.3107.7107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
POR14.315.616.413.314.9
ORL17.813.216.416.715.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Joel Freeland19190.00-0.500.50-0.3211-172814.415.0-0.6616.015.90.11
Victor Claver2726-0.03-0.470.44-0.268-142214.115.2-1.1517.415.32.04
Meyers Leonard1615-0.14-0.360.22-0.08-2-4216.014.71.3315.915.9-0.06
Nolan Smith1614-0.18-0.320.14-0.12-2-4215.614.80.8115.116.1-0.91
Will Barton1515-0.18-0.320.13-0.12-2-4215.514.80.7613.116.4-3.32
Luke Babbitt1920-0.19-0.310.11-0.11-3-3013.815.2-1.3215.216.1-0.91
Wesley Matthews6968-0.23-0.270.03-0.12-4-2-214.914.80.0716.514.32.18
LaMarcus Aldridge7371-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.05-93-1215.313.51.7616.314.71.55
Damian Lillard7879-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.20-4-2-214.815.6-0.8116.115.10.91
JJ Hickson6161-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.08-93-1214.615.4-0.7715.716.3-0.61
Nicolas Batum7777-0.550.05-0.61-0.14-148-2215.014.20.8015.418.2-2.75

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gustavo Ayon62630.490.010.470.258-21015.616.6-1.0514.715.2-0.45
JJ Redick54550.390.110.270.0312-61816.115.60.5114.914.9-0.05
Nikola Vucevic59600.360.140.23-0.0213-72015.915.90.0514.715.2-0.49
Jameer Nelson74730.360.140.220.128-21016.414.02.4114.616.0-1.42
Arron Afflalo62630.320.180.150.2142215.516.6-1.1015.014.70.23
Andrew Nicholson44440.260.240.020.1442216.315.60.7215.114.70.41
E'Twaun Moore18200.220.28-0.060.1915-414.816.2-1.4116.714.42.29
DeQuan Jones10110.160.34-0.190.1315-415.216.0-0.8016.514.71.87
Maurice Harkless60590.150.35-0.210.29-511-1616.215.40.8514.515.5-0.99
Ish Smith11-0.070.57-0.640.02-39-120.016.1-16.092.015.0-13.03
Kyle O'Quinn2121-0.130.63-0.760.25-1319-3216.115.90.2315.414.80.63


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.51,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 82, CHA 940.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.75,0.76,0.88,0.92,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.1%
PHI 81, UTA 890.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.82,0.76,0.71,0.83,0.79,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.66,0.76,0.88,0.74,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,194.3%
DET 102, MIA 1090.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.9,0.81,0.82,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,194.3%