NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	81		Excitement	6.2 [580]		MVP	John Crotty (UTA): +6.6%
Utah Jazz	89		Comeback	2.2 [715]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -20.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Harpring	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	11	73%	0.11	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.04
Samuel Dalembert	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	2	33%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Eric Snow	-0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	11	46%	-0.02	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Speedy Claxton	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	3	10%	-0.09	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.04
Aaron McKie	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.05	0.02	12	44%	-0.08	2	-0.07	8	62%	-0.05
Allen Iverson	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.2,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.21,-0.24,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.24	-0.01	-0.05	25	35%	-0.10	4	-0.10	10	60%	0.05

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Crotty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.02	0.05	9	77%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.05	0.00	7	62%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.06
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	11	45%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	10	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Amaechi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.17	0.05	-0.06	23	36%	-0.03	1	-0.03	10	60%	-0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	9	36%	-0.04	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	10	32%	-0.06	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.0	29.2	15.4	34.5	2.3	32.6	143.1
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +6.9%

UTA +10.3%

UTA +14.3%

UTA +15.5%

UTA +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	UTA	NBA	PHI	UTA	NBA
this game	13.8	16.5	15.6	85.3	93.7	102.3
season	15.9	16.1		99.3	102.9
opponent	15.1	15.6		101.9	98.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.4	15.0	12.5	12.4	13.8
UTA	15.9	16.9	15.8	17.6	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Coleman	28	28	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.09	7	-15	22	15.6	13.0	2.59	15.7	16.9	-1.17
Speedy Claxton	37	36	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.00	3	-11	14	12.2	14.8	-2.52	15.9	16.9	-0.95
Matt Harpring	70	73	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.28	4	-12	16	13.5	14.4	-0.90	16.7	16.0	0.76
Corie Blount	36	37	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.02	-7	-1	-6	13.7	13.8	-0.05	16.0	16.9	-0.88
Samuel Dalembert	25	24	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-11	3	-14	14.7	13.4	1.28	16.9	16.4	0.45
Dikembe Mutombo	61	61	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.22	-6	-2	-4	14.3	12.9	1.40	17.3	15.2	2.12
Allen Iverson	88	88	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.30	-4	-4	0	13.6	16.1	-2.55	16.3	19.1	-2.81
Eric Snow	69	68	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.21	-9	1	-10	14.2	12.5	1.71	16.8	15.8	1.06
Aaron McKie	61	60	-0.74	0.24	-0.97	-0.24	-17	9	-26	13.0	15.1	-2.13	16.4	16.7	-0.24

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	55	54	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.14	17	-9	26	17.3	15.5	1.70	13.1	14.7	-1.68
Bryon Russell	53	53	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.13	15	-7	22	16.3	16.9	-0.57	12.2	15.8	-3.60
John Crotty	58	60	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.12	9	-1	10	17.4	15.2	2.12	13.1	14.9	-1.75
Greg Ostertag	58	57	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.03	12	-4	16	16.4	16.7	-0.27	14.6	12.6	1.96
John Stockton	67	65	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.34	-1	9	-10	16.5	16.5	0.00	14.1	13.0	1.09
Karl Malone	77	77	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.32	-2	10	-12	16.2	18.1	-1.94	13.3	16.0	-2.74
Scott Padgett	35	36	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.00	6	2	4	16.9	16.3	0.64	14.2	13.5	0.62
John Amaechi	1	1	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	8	-8	1.0	16.7	-15.70	3.0	13.9	-10.89
Jarron Collins	6	6	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	10	-12	15.8	16.6	-0.75	19.5	13.4	6.11
DeShawn Stevenson	36	36	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.12	-7	15	-22	16.3	16.7	-0.42	15.7	12.6	3.04
Donyell Marshall	29	30	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.08	-7	15	-22	15.7	16.9	-1.22	14.8	13.3	1.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.82,0.76,0.71,0.83,0.79,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.66,0.76,0.88,0.74,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 91, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.83,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.9,0.86,0.95,0.99,1,1	94.7%
NYK 90, LAL 98	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	94.6%
POR 104, ORL 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.51,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1	94.3%