NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	90		Excitement	5.7 [657]		MVP	Shandon Anderson (NYK): +9.4%
Los Angeles Lakers	98		Comeback	1.9 [827]		LVP	Antonio McDyess (NYK): -16.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shandon Anderson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.00	-0.00	19	62%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Othella Harrington	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.03	0.04	19	62%	0.04	4	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	9	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	-0.06	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	12	59%	0.07	5	-0.13	3	100%	0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	4	0%	-0.09	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	13	35%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.15	-0.02	-0.01	6	28%	-0.09	3	-0.07	6	50%	-0.03

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	7	67%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	10	65%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.03
Karl Malone	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.02	15	59%	0.09	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Horace Grant	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	6	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Devean George	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	16	52%	0.01	3	-0.09	8	87%	0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.17	0.01	-0.01	15	40%	-0.10	2	-0.04	15	53%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.5	31.4	18.6	29.2	0.2	32.4	138.3
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +21.4%

LAL +13.4%

NYK -13.3%

LAL +26.7%

LAL +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	LAL	NBA	NYK	LAL	NBA
this game	15.0	14.5	15.7	92.8	100.0	100.5
season	15.5	15.4		98.6	102.8
opponent	15.6	15.8		99.0	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.4	16.5	14.7	14.5	15.0
LAL	14.4	12.9	17.2	13.8	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	47	49	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.20	9	-17	26	16.1	14.0	2.04	16.0	13.0	2.98
Michael Doleac	21	19	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.13	2	-10	12	11.8	15.9	-4.09	12.6	15.0	-2.36
Frank Williams	4	3	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.06	-6	-2	-4	16.7	14.9	1.81	14.0	14.5	-0.55
Keith Van Horn	78	79	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.33	7	-15	22	15.1	14.8	0.21	14.5	14.7	-0.26
Othella Harrington	6	7	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.04	-7	-1	-6	18.0	14.8	3.19	16.7	14.4	2.35
Howard Eisley	64	67	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.24	-1	-7	6	14.6	15.8	-1.22	13.5	16.8	-3.38
Dikembe Mutombo	66	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.17	-4	-4	0	15.6	13.8	1.72	15.1	13.4	1.72
Charlie Ward	44	43	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-9	1	-10	14.7	15.3	-0.60	15.3	14.0	1.29
Clar. Weatherspoon	19	19	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.09	-16	8	-24	15.7	14.8	0.90	13.8	14.7	-0.92
Shandon Anderson	93	95	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.33	-2	-6	4	14.9	16.7	-1.81	14.5	14.0	0.55
Antonio McDyess	43	43	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.07	-13	5	-18	14.7	15.2	-0.52	13.8	15.1	-1.28

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryon Russell	58	59	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.12	18	-10	28	13.4	16.1	-2.74	15.1	14.8	0.32
Kobe Bryant	84	82	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.22	10	-2	12	14.5	14.9	-0.38	15.3	13.5	1.83
Shaquille O'Neal	78	77	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.21	6	2	4	15.1	12.2	2.93	15.5	12.9	2.60
Derek Fisher	42	43	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	-3	14	14.6	14.5	0.11	14.8	15.2	-0.35
Slava Medvedenko	36	35	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.02	13	-5	18	13.4	15.2	-1.76	15.0	15.0	0.03
Horace Grant	12	13	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	6	-4	13.8	14.6	-0.79	12.9	15.3	-2.41
Gary Payton	70	69	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.26	-5	13	-18	14.6	14.5	0.09	14.8	15.5	-0.74
Karl Malone	70	69	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.26	-5	13	-18	14.6	14.5	0.09	14.8	15.5	-0.74
Devean George	40	38	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.15	-10	18	-28	16.1	13.4	2.74	14.8	15.1	-0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 81, UTA 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.82,0.76,0.71,0.83,0.79,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.66,0.76,0.88,0.74,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1	94.6%
MEM 88, NYK 108	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.73,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.84,0.85,0.8,0.88,0.87,0.84,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
CHI 81, IND 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1	94.2%