NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	88		Excitement	4.4 [942]		MVP	Chris Duhon (NYK): +11.3%
New York Knicks	108		Comeback	2.8 [723]		LVP	Marc Gasol (MEM): -11.2%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0.10	0,0,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.15	0.01	0.06	8	90%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Rudy Gay	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	17	53%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Hamed Haddadi	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Darrell Arthur	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	11	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Kyle Lowry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	3	45%	-0.00	3	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
O.J. Mayo	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	14	37%	-0.01	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Marko Jaric	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	4	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Darius Miles	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	2	67%	-0.01	5	-0.08	2	0%	-0.03
Marc Gasol	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	8	33%	-0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.01	0.01	8	75%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.02	0.02	7	78%	0.12	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.00	0.04	5	79%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	0.01	0.06	9	73%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
David Lee	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	11	61%	0.09	4	-0.08	9	78%	0.02
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Roberson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	9	44%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	15	50%	0.04	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	8	31%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.7	31.3	16.6	24.8	1.8	32.2	136.9
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +29.2%

NYK +12.9%

NYK +2.0%

NYK +6.1%

MEM -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	NYK	NBA	MEM	NYK	NBA
this game	16.8	14.4	15.5	94.6	117.4	106.4
season	16.1	13.8		101.7	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.3		109.1	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.3	18.1	17.3	15.5	16.8
NYK	13.0	13.2	17.0	14.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Gasol	47	46	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.09	4	-24	28	18.5	15.0	3.55	13.6	15.1	-1.48
O.J. Mayo	55	54	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-23	26	17.6	15.6	1.98	14.6	14.0	0.63
Hamed Haddadi	5	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-17	14	13.6	16.9	-3.33	17.2	14.2	2.99
Darrell Arthur	58	57	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.21	7	-27	34	16.8	16.6	0.20	13.9	15.1	-1.16
Mike Conley	59	59	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.18	3	-23	26	17.4	15.6	1.84	13.8	15.4	-1.60
Rudy Gay	66	65	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.05	-5	-15	10	18.1	13.5	4.56	13.6	16.1	-2.52
Hakim Warrick	40	40	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.11	-17	-3	-14	15.6	17.6	-1.98	15.1	13.8	1.25
Kyle Lowry	34	33	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.27	-23	3	-26	15.6	17.4	-1.84	15.4	13.8	1.60
Quinton Ross	31	30	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.19	-22	2	-24	14.5	17.9	-3.35	15.9	13.6	2.27
Darius Miles	33	33	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.22	-24	4	-28	15.5	17.4	-1.87	15.0	14.0	1.03
Marko Jaric	37	37	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.17	-23	3	-26	15.4	17.6	-2.19	13.8	14.7	-0.89

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Harrington	61	63	0.82	-0.32	1.14	-0.23	36	-16	52	13.7	15.7	-2.02	16.7	16.9	-0.27
Nate Robinson	56	58	0.64	-0.14	0.77	-0.30	32	-12	44	15.0	13.3	1.70	16.5	17.1	-0.63
Tim Thomas	43	44	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.23	23	-3	26	15.3	13.6	1.75	16.0	17.4	-1.39
Danilo Gallinari	31	33	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.20	22	-2	24	14.6	14.2	0.42	16.6	16.8	-0.18
David Lee	69	69	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.03	7	13	-6	13.8	16.1	-2.29	17.0	16.0	1.07
Chris Duhon	63	64	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.09	3	17	-14	14.2	14.8	-0.62	16.7	16.8	-0.11
Quentin Richardson	49	49	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	24	-28	14.1	14.7	-0.57	17.6	15.8	1.82
Malik Rose	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	20	-20	15.2	14.3	0.92	12.2	17.0	-4.71
Anthony Roberson	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	20	-20	15.2	14.3	0.92	12.2	17.0	-4.71
Wilson Chandler	43	41	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.14	-5	25	-30	15.2	13.7	1.53	17.5	16.2	1.36
Jared Jeffries	37	36	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.20	-14	34	-48	13.8	14.8	-0.98	16.8	16.7	0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.73,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.84,0.85,0.8,0.88,0.87,0.84,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 88, PHX 107	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.37,0.4,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.77,0.77,0.79,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
NOH 84, DET 105	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.66,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
NYK 90, LAL 98	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	94.3%