inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 94 Excitement8.4 [215] MVPRussell Westbrook (OKC): +24.9%
Oklahoma City Thunder 95 Comeback7.9 [262] LVPWill Barton (DEN): -30.7%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Torrey Craig0.200,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.140.080.015117%0.231-0.03250%-0.01
Trey Lyles0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.120.08-0.001075%0.2000.0000%0.00
Nikola Jokic0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.040.04-0.02959%0.121-0.03475%-0.01
Malik Beasley0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.020.040.00275%0.0700.0000%0.00
Wilson Chandler-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08-0.01-0.060.011043%0.001-0.0810%-0.01
Mason Plumlee-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.05-0.01747%-0.043-0.051100%0.01
Gary Harris-0.140,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,0,0,-0.14-0.06-0.09-0.011747%-0.064-0.09250%-0.02
Jamal Murray-0.180,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.05,-0.180.01-0.190.001145%-0.1800.0000%0.00
Will Barton-0.310,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31-0.16-0.15-0.011519%-0.251-0.052100%0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Russell Westbrook0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.2,0.24,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.14,0.14,0.250.250.130.120.002860%0.353-0.10771%-0.00
Alex Abrines0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.140.060.013137%0.1900.002100%0.01
Andre Roberson0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.010.00667%0.0500.0000%0.00
Jerami Grant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.01-0.00650%0.0300.00450%-0.01
Dakari Johnson0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.06-0.010.024100%0.071-0.0400%0.00
Josh Huestis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.03-0.01437%0.0300.0000%0.00
Patrick Patterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.01425%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Raymond Felton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.04-0.050.00736%-0.051-0.0400%0.00
Carmelo Anthony0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.07-0.07-0.01633%-0.082-0.0500%0.00
Paul George0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.14-0.04-0.011329%-0.083-0.09250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.91.025.314.627.22.427.3121.8
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +14.3%
OKC +26.4%
DEN -9.5%
OKC +11.5%
OKC +7.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENOKCNBADENOKCNBA
this game15.615.914.7102.2104.4107.5
season14.714.2111.2109.4
opponent15.314.7106.1109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN15.616.012.718.015.6
OKC15.016.018.613.915.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Malik Beasley19180.24-0.740.990.047-81514.415.9-1.4617.715.52.27
Will Barton48490.16-0.660.82-0.047-81515.915.20.7614.817.2-2.35
Mason Plumlee4643-0.15-0.350.20-0.03-43-715.215.9-0.6716.415.40.98
Trey Lyles4647-0.17-0.340.17-0.346-71316.614.61.9816.215.60.60
Torrey Craig5958-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.16-32-515.216.3-1.1815.416.8-1.49
Nikola Jokic4748-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.433-4715.615.60.0415.416.4-0.98
Gary Harris7777-0.580.08-0.67-0.44-54-915.714.71.0115.617.8-2.23
Jamal Murray4947-0.700.20-0.91-0.44-98-1715.415.8-0.4516.815.01.83
Wilson Chandler6968-0.710.21-0.92-0.50-76-1315.515.7-0.2216.214.91.32

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Russell Westbrook71710.99-0.491.480.6113-122515.118.8-3.7816.014.21.80
Carmelo Anthony59590.82-0.321.140.5011-102115.915.80.0915.615.50.10
Jerami Grant46470.64-0.140.770.582-1315.816.0-0.1115.515.6-0.09
Paul George75750.62-0.120.740.504-3715.517.9-2.3915.715.10.63
Andre Roberson47470.400.100.310.323-2516.015.80.2515.615.50.13
Alex Abrines24260.180.32-0.150.122-1317.215.41.7214.815.9-1.02
Dakari Johnson3737-0.210.71-0.93-0.10-45-916.615.41.2114.516.3-1.82
Patrick Patterson4041-0.240.74-0.98-0.04-78-1515.216.4-1.1616.614.81.78
Raymond Felton3232-0.240.74-0.99-0.07-67-1315.915.90.0115.615.50.07
Josh Huestis2425-0.450.95-1.39-0.07-1314-2718.215.13.0814.615.9-1.29


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.72,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.56,0.6,0.4,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.39,0.55,0.23,0.58,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 79, NJN 840.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.25,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.32,0.73,191.5%
BOS 104, NYK 1060.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.72,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.18,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.58,189.9%
CHI 106, BKN 1070.5,0.49,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.76,0.65,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.37,0.45,0.58,189.8%