inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 79 Excitement8.0 [252] MVPJason Collins (NJN): +12.0%
New Jersey Nets 84 Comeback6.4 [500] LVPCaron Butler (MIA): -26.6%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rasual Butler0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.09-0.030.001262%0.0600.0000%0.00
LaPhonso Ellis-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Vladimir Stepania-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.010.00367%0.052-0.0700%0.00
Mike James-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Eddie House-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04-0.00-0.04-0.001342%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Anthony Carter-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Sean Marks-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.010.00333%0.002-0.0600%0.00
Travis Best-0.090,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.09-0.04-0.040.02947%-0.042-0.051100%0.01
Malik Allen-0.130,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13-0.04-0.090.00557%-0.092-0.04450%-0.07
Brian Grant-0.140,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.14,-0.14-0.02-0.12-0.00965%-0.034-0.11250%-0.01
Caron Butler-0.270,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.15,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.27-0.17-0.11-0.011641%-0.145-0.13967%-0.02

New Jersey Nets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Collins0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.12,0.120.12-0.000.12-0.01454%0.1200.005100%0.05
Chris Childs00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rodney Rogers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.01450%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Brian Scalabrine0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Richard Jefferson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.021447%-0.011-0.02887%0.00
Aaron Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.00267%0.032-0.062100%0.01
Jason Kidd0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1-0.10-0.04-0.040.02675%0.055-0.15450%-0.04
Lucious Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14-0.14-0.10-0.05-0.01625%-0.043-0.1000%0.00
Kenyon Martin0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.15,-0.08,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22-0.22-0.05-0.160.002249%-0.201-0.021346%-0.13
Kerry Kittles0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23-0.23-0.11-0.11-0.001330%-0.211-0.024100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.11.826.115.426.62.334.3130.7
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NJN +5.0%
NJN +17.2%
NJN +17.7%
NJN +7.9%
NJN +2.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIANJNNBAMIANJNNBA
this game16.215.115.585.991.3101.6
season16.315.094.6101.1
opponent15.915.996.1100.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA15.816.017.116.016.2
NJN14.214.616.415.315.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sean Marks26250.34-0.841.170.0410-152515.016.7-1.6316.114.71.40
Vladimir Stepania35370.07-0.570.65-0.013-81118.215.03.2215.614.70.92
Eddie House6870-0.05-0.450.40-0.174-91315.917.0-1.0715.214.80.43
Mike James2119-0.06-0.440.370.05-4-1-316.816.00.7814.415.3-0.92
Anthony Carter1918-0.09-0.410.33-0.03-2-3114.416.7-2.3214.815.2-0.33
LaPhonso Ellis1414-0.19-0.310.130.08-94-1313.716.7-2.9413.615.4-1.72
Malik Allen4343-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.370-5518.314.43.8915.414.80.60
Rasual Butler4037-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.33-3-2-115.616.7-1.0314.215.7-1.47
Travis Best5355-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.33-4-1-316.416.00.3615.414.60.84
Caron Butler7778-0.530.03-0.55-0.26-94-1316.614.32.2415.314.21.04
Brian Grant6464-0.750.25-1.00-0.43-116-1715.218.5-3.3514.716.0-1.35

New Jersey Nets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Kidd73750.80-0.301.090.3615-102514.616.9-2.3315.817.9-2.13
Kenyon Martin73730.74-0.240.990.3912-71914.517.3-2.7316.415.40.99
Jason Collins58580.61-0.110.720.417-2914.815.6-0.8716.715.41.31
Richard Jefferson78790.54-0.040.580.4823-115.115.10.0316.017.3-1.28
Kerry Kittles63610.390.110.290.3614-315.314.70.5515.517.6-2.07
Rodney Rogers18180.090.41-0.320.0032115.115.1-0.0516.816.10.71
Chris Childs99-0.030.53-0.570.08-49-1315.215.10.1418.815.92.85
Lucious Harris4141-0.040.54-0.59-0.0405-515.514.70.7916.715.80.90
Aaron Williams3232-0.220.72-0.95-0.11-49-1315.814.71.1416.216.20.02
Brian Scalabrine1514-0.370.87-1.24-0.16-712-1917.914.63.3115.416.3-0.92


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.25,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.32,0.73,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 94, OKC 950.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.72,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.56,0.6,0.4,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.39,0.55,0.23,0.58,191.5%
MIN 89, ATL 900.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.52,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.41,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.54,0.61,0.71,0.55,0.71,190.6%
DEN 92, MIN 980.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.79,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.54,0.43,0.34,0.38,0.27,0.21,0.19,0.33,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.91,190.5%