NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	92		Excitement	7.8 [307]		MVP	Eddie Griffin (MIN): +39.6%
Minnesota Timberwolves	98		Comeback	5.8 [349]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (MIN): -29.6%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Earl Boykins	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.33	0.11	0.21	-0.01	11	70%	0.33	0	0.00	5	100%	0.07
Carmelo Anthony	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.12	0.01	0.08	-0.02	15	58%	0.18	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Marcus Camby	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.09	0.02	14	50%	0.09	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Bryon Russell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.04	-0.00	15	48%	0.04	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
DerMarr Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	5	58%	0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Nene	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.18	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18	-0.07	-0.12	-0.01	12	40%	-0.11	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.18,0.27,0.4,0.4	0.40	0.09	0.31	0.00	5	91%	0.40	0	0.00	1	100%	0.02
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2	0.20	0.07	0.13	0.01	12	75%	0.28	3	-0.08	8	100%	0.07
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.06	-0.00	7	71%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	6	57%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.07	-0.00	4	70%	0.13	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.05
John Thomas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	0.01	-0.13	0.00	15	56%	-0.06	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.10	-0.07	0.00	9	41%	-0.08	3	-0.10	4	25%	-0.07
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.11	-0.19	-0.01	11	21%	-0.30	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	1.6	30.1	15.5	27.4	2.3	37.9	137.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +0.1%

MIN +20.7%

MIN +31.3%

DEN -0.7%

DEN -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	MIN	NBA	DEN	MIN	NBA
this game	15.3	16.9	15.5	102.2	110.1	104.0
season	14.8	15.8		103.8	106.2
opponent	15.9	15.6		104.6	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	14.4	15.7	12.7	19.2	15.3
MIN	16.3	17.7	16.1	17.7	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Buckner	62	62	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.13	9	-15	24	15.4	15.2	0.14	16.5	17.7	-1.13
Nene	39	40	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.09	-1	-5	4	15.1	15.5	-0.37	17.0	16.8	0.22
DerMarr Johnson	20	17	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.08	-7	1	-8	14.6	15.5	-0.85	17.1	16.8	0.30
Bryon Russell	8	8	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.08	-9	3	-12	19.6	14.9	4.73	18.2	16.7	1.51
Carmelo Anthony	74	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.43	2	-8	10	14.2	20.6	-6.39	16.6	18.0	-1.37
Kenyon Martin	81	80	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.45	1	-7	8	15.3	15.4	-0.15	16.7	18.7	-1.99
Earl Boykins	41	41	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.11	-12	6	-18	16.1	14.6	1.49	17.7	16.2	1.50
Andre Miller	67	69	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.47	-2	-4	2	15.7	14.1	1.64	16.8	17.1	-0.29
Marcus Camby	58	55	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.28	-11	5	-16	15.4	15.1	0.39	17.0	16.7	0.32

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Latrell Sprewell	70	71	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.35	12	-6	18	16.6	17.8	-1.16	15.7	13.8	1.86
Eddie Griffin	15	15	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.42	9	-3	12	17.9	16.7	1.19	21.5	14.1	7.39
Kevin Garnett	75	77	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.46	5	1	4	16.7	17.6	-0.82	15.3	15.2	0.09
Anthony Carter	47	49	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.04	14	-8	22	16.4	17.4	-0.91	17.7	12.5	5.14
Troy Hudson	44	43	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.37	-4	10	-14	17.9	15.9	2.00	13.7	16.8	-3.18
Wally Szczerbiak	75	75	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.33	-3	9	-12	16.9	16.6	0.36	15.3	15.5	-0.19
Michael Olowokandi	33	34	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.17	11	-5	16	17.2	16.7	0.58	14.2	16.0	-1.73
Trenton Hassell	50	51	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.07	-7	13	-20	16.3	17.6	-1.27	14.0	17.0	-2.94
Fred Hoiberg	33	34	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.12	-2	8	-10	17.1	16.8	0.29	13.5	16.4	-2.91
John Thomas	3	1	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.05	-5	11	-16	14.7	17.0	-2.29	16.0	15.3	0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.79,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.54,0.43,0.34,0.38,0.27,0.21,0.19,0.33,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 79, NJN 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.25,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.32,0.73,1	90.5%
SEA 91, LAC 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.8,0.73,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.68,0.59,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.35,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.67,0.77,1	90.2%
HOU 97, CHH 102	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.9,0.9,1	89.7%