inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 97 Excitement7.1 [407] MVPDerrick Coleman (CHH): +18.5%
Charlotte Hornets 102 Comeback2.8 [628] LVPMatt Bullard (HOU): -16.3%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kenny Thomas0.090,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.090.060.030.011567%0.163-0.0700%0.00
Cuttino Mobley0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.070.030.050.021550%0.0700.0000%0.00
Carlos Rogers0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.030.00560%0.0500.0000%0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.020.04-0.01743%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Shandon Anderson0.000,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00550%0.0000.002100%0.01
Bryce Drew0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.000.00267%0.0000.0020%-0.04
Walt Williams-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.01750%0.042-0.08475%-0.00
Steve Francis-0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.090.02-0.110.012056%-0.003-0.09367%-0.00
Matt Bullard-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16-0.00-0.130.03750%-0.091-0.0700%0.00

Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Derrick Coleman0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.18,0.180.180.110.07-0.002271%0.355-0.161100%0.01
David Wesley0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.140.140.080.080.021175%0.182-0.046100%0.03
Elden Campbell0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.050.08-0.001164%0.151-0.0200%0.00
Anthony Mason0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.06-0.01-0.00867%0.0600.002100%0.01
Dale Ellis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Chucky Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.02-0.001142%-0.0400.002100%0.02
Baron Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.09-0.02-0.00517%-0.071-0.032100%0.02
Eddie Jones0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.14-0.02-0.011330%-0.102-0.06475%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.22.725.718.022.12.835.2128.7
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHH +13.5%
CHH +20.1%
CHH +8.0%
CHH +4.4%
CHH +4.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUCHHNBAHOUCHHNBA
this game16.615.615.2109.0113.3101.7
season15.414.9102.4101.5
opponent15.114.699.2103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU16.116.217.216.816.6
CHH15.216.516.314.515.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Carlos Rogers36370.16-0.660.830.054-91316.516.6-0.1516.914.72.25
Walt Williams44450.06-0.560.620.031-6716.616.50.1015.815.50.27
Shandon Anderson5051-0.03-0.470.44-0.00-1-4316.516.7-0.2315.615.60.06
Bryce Drew1212-0.03-0.470.43-0.030-5514.017.0-2.9617.415.32.07
Matt Bullard3838-0.42-0.08-0.33-0.39-1-4316.716.50.2615.515.7-0.17
Steve Francis8484-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.30-50-516.518.4-1.9515.714.80.85
Cuttino Mobley4445-0.530.03-0.55-0.41-4-1-316.916.20.6415.515.8-0.27
Kenny Thomas8485-0.610.11-0.72-0.32-105-1516.812.04.8315.320.4-5.06
Hakeem Olajuwon5353-0.660.16-0.83-0.40-94-1316.616.50.1514.716.9-2.25

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Derrick Coleman78770.60-0.100.710.3110-51515.218.6-3.4216.715.70.94
Anthony Mason79770.59-0.090.690.426-1715.616.0-0.4316.715.51.23
David Wesley63610.58-0.080.660.4641315.116.9-1.7616.516.6-0.12
Elden Campbell71710.330.170.160.3305-515.814.81.0616.716.10.56
Eddie Jones72730.330.170.160.2432115.018.2-3.1816.218.1-1.83
Dale Ellis15140.070.43-0.360.0123-117.915.22.7716.716.50.18
Baron Davis30300.020.48-0.46-0.0114-317.114.92.2217.416.21.21
Chucky Brown4242-0.030.53-0.56-0.00-16-716.215.11.0715.817.2-1.38


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.9,0.9,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 93, DET 1000.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.31,0.35,0.53,0.69,0.79,0.9,0.74,192.0%
SEA 91, LAC 960.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.8,0.73,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.68,0.59,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.35,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.67,0.77,191.6%
HOU 105, VAN 1100.5,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.43,0.29,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.47,0.53,0.64,0.78,0.87,191.5%