NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	91		Excitement	7.8 [288]		MVP	Corey Maggette (LAC): +28.3%
Los Angeles Clippers	96		Comeback	2.9 [469]		LVP	Ray Allen (SEA): -17.2%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Wilcox	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	6	93%	0.16	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Rashard Lewis	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09	0.00	0.08	-0.00	17	48%	0.12	1	-0.03	10	90%	0.08
Johan Petro	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.04	0.00	0	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Damien Wilkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	75%	0.05	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	10	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.07,-0.06	0.07	-0.14	-0.00	10	70%	0.11	3	-0.17	7	71%	-0.03
Nick Collison	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12	-0.01	-0.10	0.01	6	50%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.31,-0.17	-0.12	-0.06	-0.01	22	41%	-0.05	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.28	0.28	0.06	0.21	-0.01	13	58%	0.30	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.07
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	0.00	7	57%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.01	12	46%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	14	46%	0.03	0	0.00	11	73%	0.01
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	10	59%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Daniel Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	16	48%	0.06	2	-0.11	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	2.5	26.4	15.7	23.7	2.7	35.2	132.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +30.6%

LAC +3.3%

SEA -7.0%

LAC +21.3%

LAC +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	LAC	NBA	SEA	LAC	NBA
this game	16.0	16.6	15.4	103.4	107.9	104.5
season	15.4	15.7		105.5	103.3
opponent	15.4	15.4		103.6	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	13.6	16.0	16.8	17.6	16.0
LAC	17.0	16.7	15.9	16.7	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Ridnour	57	59	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-5	5	15.2	17.4	-2.24	15.9	17.8	-1.85
Johan Petro	22	23	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-4	3	16.6	15.7	0.89	16.6	16.6	0.05
Damien Wilkins	20	20	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.04	-1	-4	3	14.2	16.5	-2.22	17.3	16.3	1.00
Rashard Lewis	78	78	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.31	-4	-1	-3	16.4	12.9	3.46	16.5	17.0	-0.49
Ray Allen	74	74	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.40	-1	-4	3	16.1	15.1	0.98	16.9	14.9	1.97
Nick Collison	67	67	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.28	-5	0	-5	16.3	15.0	1.21	17.3	14.5	2.75
Chris Wilcox	65	66	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.42	-2	-3	1	15.6	16.9	-1.22	16.2	17.7	-1.51
Earl Watson	57	58	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.37	-11	6	-17	16.4	15.2	1.19	16.2	17.2	-0.95

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cuttino Mobley	57	56	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.41	7	-2	9	16.4	17.0	-0.62	16.5	15.1	1.42
Elton Brand	78	76	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.34	6	-1	7	16.6	16.6	-0.07	16.3	13.7	2.66
Chris Kaman	56	56	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.33	6	-1	7	16.3	17.0	-0.68	16.1	15.7	0.34
Corey Maggette	65	64	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.29	4	1	3	16.2	17.7	-1.55	15.1	18.4	-3.31
Quinton Ross	63	63	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.32	2	3	-1	16.7	16.2	0.48	16.1	15.7	0.34
Sam Cassell	63	61	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.11	5	0	5	16.7	16.2	0.48	16.3	15.1	1.23
Daniel Ewing	23	24	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	6	-7	17.1	16.4	0.69	16.2	15.9	0.28
Tim Thomas	40	40	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	9	-13	17.2	16.1	1.14	15.0	16.8	-1.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.8,0.73,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.68,0.59,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.35,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.67,0.77,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 105, VAN 110	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.43,0.29,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.47,0.53,0.64,0.78,0.87,1	91.8%
HOU 97, CHH 102	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.9,0.9,1	91.6%
LAL 84, POR 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.66,0.57,0.42,0.32,0.3,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.36,0.45,0.58,1	91.5%