NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	84		Excitement	8.2 [198]		MVP	Kenny Anderson (POR): +34.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	88		Comeback	2.9 [442]		LVP	Eddie Jones (LAL): -23.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Byron Scott	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.09	0.00	4	87%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0.12	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.02	0.11	0.02	13	54%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Kersey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	62%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Sean Rooks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	4	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nick Van Exel	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	0.00	-0.00	12	46%	0.09	5	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	9	40%	0.01	2	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.13,-0.13	0.04	-0.16	0.00	23	57%	-0.13	0	0.00	14	29%	-0.25
Eddie Jones	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24	-0.18	-0.07	-0.01	6	19%	-0.13	4	-0.11	4	75%	0.03

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.06,0.34	0.34	-0.01	0.35	-0.00	13	50%	0.36	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.04
Mitchell Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.02	9	52%	0.04	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	0	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Dontonio Wingfield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	7	69%	0.07	4	-0.13	2	0%	-0.06
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	0.01	-0.09	0.02	18	56%	-0.02	2	-0.07	7	100%	0.04
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	7	33%	-0.10	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.04
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	13	42%	-0.13	1	-0.02	14	79%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	1.6	31.5	15.0	23.5	1.7	30.5	132.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL -15.8%

POR +38.9%

POR +10.6%

POR +14.3%

POR +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	POR	NBA	LAL	POR	NBA
this game	15.3	16.4	15.6	92.3	96.7	104.4
season	15.3	15.5		105.8	105.2
opponent	15.5	15.7		101.6	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	12.8	15.7	15.0	18.1	15.3
POR	16.0	13.6	19.2	17.1	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	43	45	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.04	7	-11	18	15.3	15.2	0.07	15.2	17.5	-2.34
Travis Knight	21	22	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.09	5	-9	14	15.4	15.2	0.21	16.6	16.3	0.33
Corie Blount	10	10	-0.00	-0.49	0.49	-0.00	0	-4	4	14.5	15.4	-0.86	16.7	16.3	0.35
Derek Fisher	8	8	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-1	-2	15.7	15.2	0.53	14.2	16.6	-2.34
Jerome Kersey	45	45	-0.05	-0.44	0.39	0.06	-4	0	-4	14.7	15.8	-1.14	15.8	16.9	-1.07
Sean Rooks	11	10	-0.07	-0.42	0.35	-0.01	-2	-2	0	16.5	15.1	1.46	15.3	16.5	-1.22
Byron Scott	44	43	-0.36	-0.13	-0.23	-0.36	0	-4	4	15.4	15.2	0.19	16.8	16.0	0.77
Elden Campbell	60	58	-0.40	-0.09	-0.31	-0.23	-6	2	-8	15.5	14.8	0.69	16.6	15.9	0.70
Nick Van Exel	83	83	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.42	-1	-3	2	15.2	15.7	-0.53	16.6	14.2	2.34
Eddie Jones	57	58	-0.58	0.09	-0.67	-0.41	-6	2	-8	15.4	15.1	0.28	16.3	16.5	-0.16
Shaquille O'Neal	73	73	-0.72	0.23	-0.95	-0.43	-10	6	-16	15.1	15.8	-0.71	17.1	13.6	3.53

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Dudley	70	74	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.40	9	-5	14	16.5	16.0	0.50	15.6	13.8	1.77
Arvydas Sabonis	69	67	0.63	-0.14	0.77	0.34	10	-6	16	16.8	15.2	1.59	15.6	14.2	1.38
Kenny Anderson	77	78	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.38	8	-4	12	16.4	16.4	-0.05	14.6	19.0	-4.36
Isaiah Rider	78	77	0.57	-0.08	0.65	0.37	7	-3	10	16.4	16.1	0.36	15.9	12.0	3.86
Dontonio Wingfield	50	49	0.53	-0.04	0.57	0.38	5	-1	6	15.6	17.4	-1.83	16.4	14.0	2.39
Mitchell Butler	15	14	-0.01	0.50	-0.51	0.05	-2	6	-8	13.9	16.9	-3.01	16.9	15.0	1.97
Clifford Robinson	3	2	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	4	-4	18.0	16.3	1.67	10.5	15.4	-4.87
Jermaine O'Neal	11	12	-0.12	0.61	-0.73	0.06	-6	10	-16	14.7	16.6	-1.89	11.8	15.8	-3.95
Aaron McKie	27	27	-0.20	0.69	-0.89	0.01	-7	11	-18	16.3	16.4	-0.18	15.4	15.2	0.15
Gary Trent	55	55	-0.22	0.71	-0.93	-0.10	-4	8	-12	17.4	14.8	2.66	13.9	17.4	-3.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.66,0.57,0.42,0.32,0.3,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.36,0.45,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 95, LAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.41,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.58,1	91.6%
SEA 91, LAC 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.8,0.73,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.68,0.59,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.35,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.67,0.77,1	91.5%
UTA 94, DAL 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.62,0.58,0.67,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.78,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.73,1	91.5%