NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	104		Excitement	8.4 [160]		MVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): +41.1%
New York Knicks	106		Comeback	8.4 [155]		LVP	Ray Allen (BOS): -13.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Bass	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.07	0.11	-0.02	0.02	13	71%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rajon Rondo	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	19	62%	0.15	5	-0.13	12	75%	-0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	67%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	5	46%	-0.01	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Avery Bradley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	8	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.13,0.06,-0.04,-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	13	47%	-0.04	3	-0.08	6	50%	-0.03
Ray Allen	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.08,-0.13	0.05	-0.18	-0.01	12	71%	0.13	4	-0.26	4	100%	0.04

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.28,0.26,0.38,0.41	0.41	0.17	0.24	-0.00	17	76%	0.68	5	-0.27	15	87%	0.07
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.14	0.07	0.01	11	81%	0.23	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.04
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	2	58%	0.04	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.04
Renaldo Balkman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	0.00	19	47%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Harrellson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	13	35%	-0.01	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Landry Fields	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Henry Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	33.8	3.4	36.9	18.8	30.1	2.8	41.1	166.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +52.8%

NYK +22.2%

BOS -45.5%

NYK +13.8%

NYK +6.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NYK	NBA	BOS	NYK	NBA
this game	14.9	15.6	15.6	110.6	111.6	102.8
season	15.5	14.9		99.4	102.3
opponent	15.7	16.2		100.2	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.0	12.9	13.0	19.9	14.9
NYK	15.0	13.7	15.8	18.9	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine O'Neal	34	35	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.06	5	-7	12	14.6	15.0	-0.42	15.5	15.6	-0.12
E'Twaun Moore	0	1	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-2	2	0.0	14.9	-14.88	0.0	15.8	-15.76
Chris Wilcox	26	27	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.10	-4	2	-6	15.2	14.7	0.48	16.4	15.3	1.14
Avery Bradley	18	19	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.04	-5	3	-8	13.4	15.2	-1.85	15.1	15.7	-0.67
Keyon Dooling	22	21	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.01	-4	2	-6	15.6	14.7	0.98	15.2	15.7	-0.45
Sasha Pavlovic	31	32	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	2	-6	13.6	15.5	-1.85	15.6	15.6	0.01
Marquis Daniels	57	57	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.30	-2	0	-2	15.9	13.4	2.48	15.7	15.4	0.28
Ray Allen	73	75	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.54	6	-8	14	15.1	14.3	0.77	15.7	15.2	0.49
Rajon Rondo	81	82	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.47	3	-5	8	14.6	16.4	-1.74	15.4	16.5	-1.10
Brandon Bass	53	51	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.49	-1	-1	0	15.9	13.6	2.30	16.1	15.0	1.14
Kevin Garnett	75	75	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.53	-4	2	-6	14.2	17.7	-3.51	15.4	16.3	-0.96

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carmelo Anthony	67	67	0.91	-0.41	1.31	0.47	15	-13	28	15.0	17.0	-1.95	14.9	14.9	-0.01
Toney Douglas	65	66	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.40	11	-9	20	16.6	13.4	3.25	16.1	12.1	3.95
Amar'e Stoudemire	71	70	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.53	-3	5	-8	15.5	15.9	-0.38	14.4	16.2	-1.78
Tyson Chandler	71	71	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.58	-5	7	-12	16.2	13.9	2.29	14.6	15.8	-1.25
Landry Fields	69	68	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.61	-11	13	-24	15.7	15.4	0.28	14.2	16.8	-2.61
Josh Harrellson	17	18	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.12	9	-7	16	14.9	15.7	-0.79	16.3	14.5	1.79
Renaldo Balkman	16	13	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.06	4	-2	6	14.7	15.8	-1.01	18.4	14.3	4.06
Jared Jeffries	25	24	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.09	4	-2	6	15.2	15.7	-0.58	14.5	15.0	-0.51
Henry Walker	25	28	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.06	-4	6	-10	16.7	15.2	1.48	15.2	14.8	0.42
Iman Shumpert	49	45	-0.33	0.83	-1.17	-0.04	-10	12	-22	14.4	16.9	-2.52	13.9	15.8	-1.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.72,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.18,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 111, WAS 116	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.79,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.27,0.35,0.34,0.47,0.43,0.57,0.77,1	90.3%
DEN 94, OKC 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.72,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.56,0.6,0.4,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.39,0.55,0.23,0.58,1	89.9%
MIA 79, NJN 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.25,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.32,0.73,1	89.6%