NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	107		Excitement	8.5 [206]		MVP	Richaun Holmes (PHI): +29.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	104		Comeback	1.6 [332]		LVP	JJ Redick (PHI): -15.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Clarkson	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.10	0.06	-0.03	11	73%	0.22	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.16,0.28,0.28,0.19	-0.01	0.20	-0.00	15	48%	0.30	2	-0.11	3	67%	-0.03
Brandon Ingram	0.17	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,0.17	-0.06	0.23	-0.01	21	40%	0.25	2	-0.08	10	50%	-0.06
Larry Nance Jr.	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	7	69%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Hart	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andrew Bogut	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	2	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	12	45%	0.02	0	0.00	5	20%	-0.09
Corey Brewer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	7	21%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lonzo Ball	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.11	0.00	-0.12	-0.00	11	45%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	9	55%	0.03	4	-0.15	2	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.27,0.36,0.34,0.29	0.29	0.09	0.18	-0.03	8	65%	0.29	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.04
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.14	0.06	-0.00	12	73%	0.21	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Joel Embiid	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.1,0.09	0.09	0.16	-0.04	0.02	17	75%	0.31	4	-0.22	10	90%	0.10
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	9	67%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	14	40%	-0.02	4	-0.11	2	0%	-0.03
JJ Redick	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.03	-0.12	0.00	13	52%	0.06	4	-0.21	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.7	33.1	13.5	26.5	3.4	38.0	143.5
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +25.3%

PHI -24.1%

LAL +17.6%

LAL +23.6%

LAL +7.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	PHI	NBA	LAL	PHI	NBA
this game	15.2	13.9	14.7	109.2	104.0	107.5
season	13.7	13.9		105.7	108.1
opponent	14.7	14.8		103.8	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.8	13.6	15.1	17.5	15.2
PHI	15.8	13.6	13.2	13.0	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	76	78	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.36	7	-4	11	14.7	17.0	-2.30	14.3	12.5	1.78
Lonzo Ball	77	80	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.34	7	-4	11	14.9	16.4	-1.55	14.2	12.5	1.68
Larry Nance Jr.	44	44	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.31	6	-3	9	15.0	15.4	-0.31	15.2	12.9	2.31
Brandon Ingram	77	77	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.33	5	-2	7	15.0	16.0	-1.06	14.8	11.0	3.81
Julius Randle	63	64	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.47	-5	8	-13	15.0	15.6	-0.60	12.7	16.0	-3.25
Brook Lopez	38	40	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.02	5	-2	7	15.2	15.2	-0.09	15.6	12.8	2.81
Kyle Kuzma	39	39	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	1	1	16.1	14.6	1.48	12.9	14.5	-1.67
Josh Hart	20	21	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	5	-7	15.7	15.1	0.61	11.5	14.5	-3.00
Corey Brewer	1	2	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.01	0	3	-3	23.0	15.1	7.87	5.0	14.1	-9.07
Jordan Clarkson	30	30	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	5	-7	15.8	15.0	0.84	13.7	14.0	-0.27
Andrew Bogut	25	25	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.14	-8	11	-19	16.6	14.7	1.91	11.4	14.7	-3.27

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerryd Bayless	61	60	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.21	4	-7	11	13.9	13.9	-0.01	15.9	14.2	1.73
Joel Embiid	75	75	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.56	14	-17	31	13.5	15.1	-1.64	15.6	13.8	1.81
Richaun Holmes	48	45	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.36	7	-10	17	11.9	15.7	-3.75	16.6	14.1	2.48
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	28	26	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.03	-8	5	-13	13.3	14.1	-0.84	13.4	15.9	-2.44
Amir Johnson	20	20	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.13	-14	11	-25	15.2	13.5	1.70	13.5	15.6	-2.09
Ben Simmons	87	86	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.54	9	-12	21	14.2	11.8	2.35	15.6	12.3	3.28
T.J. McConnell	39	37	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.04	-15	12	-27	14.2	13.7	0.52	13.1	16.5	-3.43
JJ Redick	68	67	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.16	-10	7	-17	14.5	12.7	1.81	15.2	15.3	-0.16
Robert Covington	74	74	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	-1	-1	14.4	12.5	1.88	15.1	15.4	-0.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.33,0.26,0.3,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.17,0.24,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.23,0.14,0.24,0.27,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 82, TOR 75	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.31,0.36,0.15,0.04,0	93.0%
SEA 107, GSW 105	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.23,0.22,0.23,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.26,0.15,0.19,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.25,0.28,0.38,0.54,0.17,0.08,0	92.9%
OKC 107, LAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.35,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.23,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.19,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.18,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.39,0.32,0.37,0.15,0.16,0	92.7%