NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	107		Excitement	7.9 [230]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): +28.1%
Golden State Warriors	105		Comeback	1.6 [642]		LVP	Antawn Jamison (GSW): -16.5%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.28	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0.28	-0.01	0.29	-0.00	11	62%	0.37	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Gary Payton	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.15,0.17,0.17	0.05	0.10	-0.01	18	60%	0.22	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Patrick Ewing	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	7	71%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Brent Barry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.02	0.12	-0.15	-0.00	11	92%	0.13	4	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Shammond Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.05	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Ruben Patterson	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	11	56%	0.01	2	-0.09	5	60%	-0.02
Vin Baker	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	8	42%	0.00	4	-0.11	3	67%	-0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.13	0.13	0.14	-0.02	-0.00	15	72%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,0.04	0.04	-0.05	0.09	0.01	17	43%	0.07	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.02
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	3	50%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	30%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.09	0.02	18	47%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05
Bob Sura	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.10	0.01	15	50%	-0.06	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-0.15	0.01	23	48%	-0.06	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	19.8	1.6	26.2	16.7	24.3	1.6	30.3	120.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +82.0%

GSW -5.2%

GSW -1.9%

GSW -29.8%

SEA +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	GSW	NBA	SEA	GSW	NBA
this game	14.0	14.2	15.5	104.9	102.9	100.9
season	15.2	15.0		103.8	95.3
opponent	14.9	15.7		104.8	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	12.3	13.7	13.9	16.7	14.0
GSW	13.4	13.5	14.9	15.2	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Ewing	59	60	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.25	13	-11	24	13.3	15.0	-1.70	13.6	15.0	-1.33
Rashard Lewis	80	80	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.35	9	-7	16	13.8	14.8	-0.99	13.3	17.3	-3.98
Brent Barry	81	83	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.34	8	-6	14	13.6	15.7	-2.11	14.3	13.7	0.56
Gary Payton	86	84	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.40	2	0	2	14.4	11.9	2.57	13.6	16.8	-3.20
Ruben Patterson	69	69	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.37	2	0	2	14.3	13.4	0.95	13.5	15.6	-2.04
Jelani McCoy	29	28	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	4	-6	15.1	13.6	1.54	16.3	13.4	2.93
Desmond Mason	17	18	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	4	-6	13.4	14.2	-0.82	16.4	13.7	2.73
Shammond Williams	37	37	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.14	-6	8	-14	14.1	14.0	0.02	15.2	13.6	1.64
Vin Baker	52	51	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.23	-14	16	-30	14.4	13.7	0.70	15.1	13.3	1.84

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adonal Foyle	28	26	0.27	-0.77	1.04	0.12	5	-7	12	16.4	13.4	3.08	12.7	14.5	-1.86
Vonteego Cummings	32	31	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-2	2	16.1	13.3	2.77	13.5	14.3	-0.75
Adam Keefe	6	6	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	1	-4	13.0	14.3	-1.27	18.2	13.8	4.39
Larry Hughes	75	74	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.49	10	-12	22	14.0	14.8	-0.84	14.4	13.2	1.19
Mookie Blaylock	75	77	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.44	3	-5	8	13.7	15.6	-1.90	14.8	11.8	2.97
Chris Mullin	32	33	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.09	-17	15	-32	14.3	14.2	0.12	13.4	14.3	-0.91
Antawn Jamison	87	86	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.38	-1	-1	0	13.6	17.5	-3.91	13.5	16.9	-3.44
Bob Sura	92	91	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.43	-2	0	-2	14.1	15.1	-1.00	13.6	18.0	-4.44
Marc Jackson	83	86	-0.77	0.27	-1.05	-0.63	-5	3	-8	14.1	14.5	-0.34	14.7	10.4	4.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.23,0.22,0.23,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.26,0.15,0.19,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.25,0.28,0.38,0.54,0.17,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 85, HOU 78	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.24,0.39,0.45,0.61,0.45,0.09,0	93.4%
LAL 107, PHI 104	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.33,0.26,0.3,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.17,0.24,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.23,0.14,0.24,0.27,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.16,0	92.9%
ORL 96, MIN 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.38,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.17,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.4,0.55,0.45,0.05,0.05,0	92.7%