NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	96		Excitement	7.4 [373]		MVP	Victor Oladipo (ORL): +18.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves	93		Comeback	1.2 [634]		LVP	Nikola Vucevic (ORL): -19.2%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Victor Oladipo	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.22,0.18,0.18	0.00	0.17	-0.01	11	54%	0.24	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Nicholson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0,0,0,0,0.08	0.04	0.00	-0.04	11	58%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Elfrid Payton	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06	-0.01	0.07	-0.01	13	47%	0.10	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.04
Jason Smith	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Evan Fournier	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.01	7	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	12	46%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19	-0.06	-0.14	-0.01	19	47%	-0.04	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.06	0.00	6	73%	0.17	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.04
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	9	67%	0.09	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.03	-0.02	9	45%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0,0,0.01	0.01	0.12	-0.06	0.06	15	66%	0.05	2	-0.04	11	73%	-0.13
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	5	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	11	43%	-0.01	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.05
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	4	40%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Ricky Rubio	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	5	21%	-0.05	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	-0.00	11	23%	-0.11	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.7	29.0	14.8	25.1	1.8	41.1	138.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +53.3%

MIN -24.1%

ORL +11.8%

ORL +8.9%

ORL +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	MIN	NBA	ORL	MIN	NBA
this game	15.5	14.7	14.9	101.1	96.9	105.1
season	14.6	14.8		103.6	104.8
opponent	15.0	14.9		108.4	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.2	15.0	15.8	17.3	15.5
MIN	15.2	13.3	16.2	14.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elfrid Payton	68	68	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.38	7	-4	11	15.1	16.4	-1.26	15.0	13.9	1.13
Tobias Harris	70	70	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.30	8	-5	13	15.4	15.9	-0.51	14.6	14.8	-0.21
Nikola Vucevic	74	75	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.30	7	-4	11	15.6	15.2	0.34	14.6	14.9	-0.32
Victor Oladipo	54	54	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.35	-2	5	-7	15.8	15.1	0.76	14.4	15.0	-0.65
Andrew Nicholson	60	61	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.41	-5	8	-13	16.4	14.0	2.34	14.4	15.2	-0.81
Channing Frye	34	35	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.04	10	-7	17	14.4	16.1	-1.66	15.2	14.4	0.81
Evan Fournier	57	58	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	0	3	15.1	16.1	-0.91	14.5	14.9	-0.39
Shabazz Napier	12	12	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	5	-7	16.5	15.4	1.14	14.8	14.6	0.20
Aaron Gordon	26	26	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.16	-7	10	-17	15.3	15.6	-0.32	14.8	14.6	0.21
Jason Smith	20	21	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.08	-4	7	-11	16.0	15.4	0.63	14.9	14.6	0.32

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nemanja Bjelica	47	47	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.09	10	-13	23	15.0	14.3	0.76	16.1	15.0	1.11
Shabazz Muhammad	31	32	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.04	0	-3	3	14.8	14.6	0.27	16.3	15.1	1.26
Tayshaun Prince	27	26	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.05	-1	-2	1	14.1	14.9	-0.76	16.0	15.3	0.68
Kevin Martin	46	46	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.10	-3	0	-3	15.5	13.9	1.58	14.7	16.3	-1.57
Gorgui Dieng	57	56	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.37	5	-8	13	14.2	15.4	-1.18	16.5	14.1	2.34
Karl-Anthony Towns	46	46	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.02	-9	6	-15	14.5	14.8	-0.26	14.4	16.5	-2.08
Zach LaVine	56	56	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.39	3	-6	9	14.1	15.5	-1.40	16.2	14.4	1.81
Ricky Rubio	55	53	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	0	-3	14.7	14.6	0.17	15.0	16.1	-1.06
Andrew Wiggins	73	73	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.43	-5	2	-7	14.7	14.7	0.01	15.0	17.1	-2.06
Kevin Garnett	42	40	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.30	-12	9	-21	15.0	14.4	0.65	15.1	15.8	-0.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.38,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.17,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.4,0.55,0.45,0.05,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 88, TOR 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.11,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.25,0.15,0.22,0.12,0.29,0.37,0.17,0.41,0.33,0.45,0.37,0.15,0.02,0	92.8%
SEA 107, GSW 105	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.23,0.22,0.23,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.26,0.15,0.19,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.25,0.28,0.38,0.54,0.17,0.08,0	92.7%
IND 99, CLE 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.22,0.2,0.15,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.19,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.22,0.13,0.18,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.21,0.15,0.13,0	92.6%