NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	85		Excitement	6.6 [507]		MVP	Jarrett Jack (POR): +36.8%
Houston Rockets	78		Comeback	1.6 [268]		LVP	Bonzi Wells (HOU): -18.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Jack	0.37	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.18,0.37,0.37	0.16	0.23	0.03	9	88%	0.41	2	-0.04	8	75%	-0.04
Brandon Roy	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.06	0.11	-0.00	20	57%	0.20	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Raef LaFrentz	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Dan Dickau	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Ime Udoka	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	8	45%	0.05	2	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Luke Schenscher	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	12	41%	-0.02	2	-0.04	5	40%	-0.04

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.18	0.18	0.04	0.14	0.00	10	55%	0.18	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	6	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	8	53%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.02	-0.02	13	41%	-0.01	2	-0.03	8	75%	0.00
Luther Head	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.1	-0.10	0.02	-0.11	0.01	16	56%	-0.03	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	0.00	13	29%	-0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.12	-0.07	-0.01	7	25%	-0.10	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.1	2.4	31.4	15.5	25.4	2.5	39.4	137.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +59.9%

HOU -8.5%

HOU -7.9%

POR +3.2%

POR +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	HOU	NBA	POR	HOU	NBA
this game	19.1	15.8	15.4	103.7	94.0	104.5
season	16.7	15.6		103.1	103.6
opponent	15.7	15.4		99.2	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.1	18.4	21.8	20.7	19.1
HOU	16.6	15.9	14.2	16.4	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Roy	64	66	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.29	12	-5	17	18.7	20.8	-2.11	15.9	15.4	0.56
Ime Udoka	51	53	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.19	12	-5	17	18.2	20.7	-2.48	16.5	14.5	2.08
Jamaal Magloire	59	59	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.33	2	5	-3	19.8	17.5	2.24	16.5	14.2	2.29
Jarrett Jack	60	62	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.16	7	0	7	18.7	20.3	-1.62	16.1	15.0	1.13
Raef LaFrentz	46	46	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.01	9	-2	11	18.5	19.9	-1.44	15.6	16.1	-0.52
Travis Outlaw	49	51	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.31	-2	9	-11	19.7	18.3	1.39	15.8	15.8	-0.08
Luke Schenscher	8	7	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	6	-5	19.4	19.1	0.27	15.9	15.8	0.07
Fred Jones	30	30	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	8	-9	19.6	18.9	0.68	14.2	16.7	-2.55
Martell Webster	17	16	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	7	-7	18.4	19.3	-0.99	14.9	16.0	-1.14
Sergio Rodriguez	26	25	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.13	-6	13	-19	21.7	17.9	3.75	14.6	16.3	-1.65

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dikembe Mutombo	25	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-5	3	15.2	16.1	-0.91	21.1	18.3	2.80
Kirk Snyder	37	36	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-6	5	14.6	16.7	-2.12	17.8	20.2	-2.32
Bonzi Wells	35	35	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.25	3	-10	13	16.0	15.6	0.35	21.8	17.1	4.65
Luther Head	67	66	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.22	-4	-3	-1	16.0	14.9	1.06	19.0	19.7	-0.77
Shane Battier	67	65	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.20	-7	0	-7	16.0	14.7	1.29	18.9	19.9	-0.94
Charles Hayes	61	61	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.29	-4	-3	-1	16.1	15.0	1.02	18.6	20.7	-2.12
Juwan Howard	49	50	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.08	-12	5	-17	16.0	15.5	0.45	18.4	20.3	-1.88
Rafer Alston	74	72	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.26	-8	1	-9	15.7	16.2	-0.48	19.1	19.4	-0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.24,0.39,0.45,0.61,0.45,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 107, GSW 105	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.23,0.22,0.23,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.26,0.15,0.19,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.25,0.28,0.38,0.54,0.17,0.08,0	93.4%
HOU 115, OKC 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.5,0.41,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.26,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.31,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.2,0.14,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.12,0.14,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.33,0.31,0.45,0.24,0.04,0	92.8%
ATL 114, BKN 111	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.34,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.38,0.64,0.68,0.27,0	91.9%