NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	107		Excitement	7.0 [429]		MVP	Hedo Turkoglu (LAC): +7.0%
Los Angeles Clippers	101		Comeback	1.0 [571]		LVP	Blake Griffin (LAC): -16.3%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Adams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	78%	0.07	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Kendrick Perkins	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.1,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.00	24	54%	0.07	1	-0.01	8	75%	-0.04
Reggie Jackson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	8	50%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Serge Ibaka	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	12	54%	0.04	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Nick Collison	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.02,-0.01	-0.06	0.05	0.00	26	43%	0.04	2	-0.05	11	91%	0.05
Caron Butler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	6	29%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	7	56%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	6	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	8	25%	-0.06
Chris Paul	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,0.05,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	17	58%	0.14	4	-0.10	9	67%	-0.04
Reggie Bullock	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	11	48%	0.06	2	-0.12	3	100%	0.03
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	9	39%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	7	27%	-0.05	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	0.05	-0.16	0.05	23	53%	-0.00	3	-0.16	11	73%	-0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.4	3.6	32.3	17.6	30.2	3.4	41.6	160.1
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -6.2%

OKC +16.1%

LAC -0.0%

OKC +39.1%

OKC +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	LAC	NBA	OKC	LAC	NBA
this game	15.1	13.1	15.1	104.9	99.0	105.2
season	14.4	14.3		107.8	111.0
opponent	15.4	15.4		104.3	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.7	12.8	16.2	17.1	15.1
LAC	15.3	12.9	12.6	11.7	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thabo Sefolosha	49	48	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.23	13	-7	20	15.4	14.9	0.48	13.6	12.7	0.88
Russell Westbrook	72	71	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.10	15	-9	24	14.4	16.8	-2.40	13.7	11.8	1.90
Serge Ibaka	61	62	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.22	10	-4	14	15.6	14.4	1.21	13.3	12.8	0.49
Kevin Durant	87	88	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.33	5	1	4	15.2	14.6	0.63	13.0	13.9	-0.88
Kendrick Perkins	46	46	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.21	8	-2	10	15.1	15.2	-0.13	13.4	12.9	0.53
Steven Adams	42	42	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.08	4	2	2	14.6	15.5	-0.92	13.7	12.7	0.97
Nick Collison	27	25	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.07	7	-1	8	14.0	15.5	-1.55	14.3	12.7	1.57
Reggie Jackson	51	51	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.16	-5	11	-16	15.3	14.9	0.39	12.5	13.7	-1.14
Derek Fisher	31	33	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.13	-8	14	-22	16.0	14.8	1.19	12.0	13.6	-1.58
Caron Butler	44	44	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	0.22	-19	25	-44	15.6	14.8	0.88	11.6	14.3	-2.69

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hedo Turkoglu	27	26	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.12	5	-11	16	11.9	13.5	-1.59	14.8	15.3	-0.49
Glen Davis	24	23	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-6	6	13.2	13.1	0.14	17.2	14.5	2.69
Reggie Bullock	26	27	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.13	2	-8	10	13.1	13.1	0.02	14.3	15.4	-1.09
Jared Dudley	14	14	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-3	0	14.1	12.9	1.13	16.1	15.0	1.17
Darren Collison	60	60	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.32	3	-9	12	12.9	13.4	-0.52	16.3	13.5	2.78
Matt Barnes	62	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.21	-5	-1	-4	12.9	13.4	-0.58	15.3	15.0	0.31
JJ Redick	60	61	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.11	-9	3	-12	13.3	12.8	0.53	13.7	17.2	-3.48
DeAndre Jordan	70	70	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.13	-10	4	-14	13.6	12.0	1.60	14.7	16.2	-1.48
Chris Paul	85	85	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.24	-7	1	-8	13.0	13.5	-0.45	15.0	15.8	-0.75
Blake Griffin	82	83	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.32	-6	0	-6	13.1	13.1	-0.00	15.4	14.0	1.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.35,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.23,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.19,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.18,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.39,0.32,0.37,0.15,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 107, PHI 104	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.33,0.26,0.3,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.17,0.24,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.23,0.14,0.24,0.27,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.16,0	92.7%
DEN 108, MEM 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.36,0.21,0.23,0.29,0.25,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.21,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.28,0.09,0.17,0	92.0%
DET 76, PHI 66	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.21,0.22,0.27,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.23,0.2,0.1,0.02,0,0	91.9%