NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	108		Excitement	6.7 [523]		MVP	Pau Gasol (SAS): +26.7%
San Antonio Spurs	115		Comeback	4.2 [736]		LVP	Yogi Ferrell (DAL): -19.1%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.09,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.09	0.04	12	79%	0.24	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
J.J. Barea	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.08	0.09	0.00	12	67%	0.19	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	-0.01	0.00	8	81%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.03	0.04	7	69%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	2	125%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	53%	0.01	0	0.00	9	44%	-0.08
Antonius Cleveland	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Salah Mejri	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.03	-0.03	0.08	17	56%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17	-0.08	-0.06	0.04	14	38%	-0.12	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.01
Yogi Ferrell	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.16	-0.04	-0.01	6	0%	-0.13	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.22	0.10	0.05	14	78%	0.27	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Bryn Forbes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.08	0.16	0.00	8	69%	0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.24	0.05	0.08	19	73%	0.21	0	0.00	7	100%	0.03
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.04	0.00	6	86%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.06	0.02	10	46%	0.06	3	-0.05	6	67%	-0.03
Brandon Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	7	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	0.02	10	55%	-0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	28.5	14.4	24.5	1.5	28.6	124.3
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +24.3%

SAS +18.5%

SAS +4.1%

SAS +6.8%

DAL -3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	SAS	NBA	DAL	SAS	NBA
this game	15.0	14.4	14.7	110.2	117.3	107.5
season	15.4	15.5		105.3	106.7
opponent	14.5	14.3		104.1	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.7	13.2	15.1	15.1	15.0
SAS	14.6	15.0	13.7	14.3	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yogi Ferrell	41	44	0.41	-0.91	1.32	-0.15	19	-26	45	13.7	15.9	-2.16	15.4	13.6	1.88
Dwight Powell	41	42	0.37	-0.87	1.25	-0.30	23	-30	53	13.6	16.0	-2.37	15.3	13.7	1.60
Devin Harris	52	51	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.20	10	-17	27	15.1	14.8	0.27	14.6	14.1	0.52
J.J. Barea	45	46	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.22	9	-16	25	14.2	15.7	-1.54	14.6	14.2	0.44
Antonius Cleveland	1	0	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.02	0	-7	7	24.0	14.9	9.10	0.0	14.4	-14.40
Dirk Nowitzki	53	53	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-3	-1	15.1	14.8	0.31	15.1	13.6	1.48
Salah Mejri	32	31	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.11	-7	0	-7	16.0	14.5	1.45	13.4	14.9	-1.48
Maxi Kleber	25	25	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.04	-16	9	-25	17.1	14.3	2.86	14.9	14.2	0.70
Dennis Smith Jr.	59	58	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.14	-20	13	-33	15.2	14.7	0.49	14.1	14.8	-0.64
Harrison Barnes	74	73	-0.84	0.34	-1.18	-0.20	-22	15	-37	15.0	14.8	0.21	13.7	16.4	-2.63
Wesley Matthews	67	67	-0.99	0.49	-1.48	-0.20	-27	20	-47	15.3	14.3	1.07	13.5	16.4	-2.86

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Green	69	69	0.83	-0.33	1.15	0.18	22	-15	37	14.3	14.6	-0.32	15.5	13.7	1.80
Pau Gasol	72	71	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.21	16	-9	25	14.7	13.7	0.96	15.1	14.7	0.45
Kyle Anderson	72	69	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.22	13	-6	19	14.3	14.6	-0.30	14.9	15.2	-0.26
LaMarcus Aldridge	76	78	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.18	14	-7	21	13.9	16.1	-2.24	15.2	14.0	1.18
Tony Parker	29	29	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.03	9	-2	11	16.0	13.7	2.23	14.4	15.2	-0.82
Dejounte Murray	10	9	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.09	3	4	-1	16.4	14.2	2.23	18.7	14.6	4.05
Patty Mills	59	60	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.23	-5	12	-17	13.3	16.1	-2.79	14.7	15.4	-0.70
Joffrey Lauvergne	18	19	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	11	-15	12.6	14.8	-2.19	15.3	14.9	0.34
Davis Bertans	6	7	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.05	-3	10	-13	12.8	14.5	-1.67	11.1	15.3	-4.14
Brandon Paul	9	9	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.01	-3	10	-13	13.6	14.5	-0.93	11.1	15.4	-4.27
Manu Ginobili	32	34	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.03	-5	12	-17	14.7	14.2	0.48	15.6	14.6	1.01
Bryn Forbes	38	36	-0.47	0.97	-1.44	0.17	-22	29	-51	16.3	13.2	3.05	14.3	15.4	-1.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.72,0.58,0.7,0.66,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.92,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 91, ORL 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.98,1	92.5%
DEN 92, NOH 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.27,0.2,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.52,0.68,0.81,0.74,0.7,0.53,0.53,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.98,1	92.0%
BOS 83, MIL 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.34,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.91,1,1,1,1,1	91.6%