inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 83 Excitement6.3 [331] MVPRay Allen (MIL): +23.6%
Milwaukee Bucks 99 Comeback6.1 [189] LVPAntoine Walker (BOS): -19.5%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Greg Minor0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.06-0.01-0.024112%0.112-0.0400%0.00
Walter McCarty0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.030.00425%0.0000.0000%0.00
Popeye Jones-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Kenny Anderson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.04-0.030.02687%0.083-0.094100%0.02
Dana Barros-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.04-0.05950%-0.043-0.00250%-0.02
Bruce Bowen-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.01217%-0.0500.00250%-0.02
Paul Pierce-0.070,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.070.01-0.050.03675%0.043-0.1100%0.00
Tony Battie-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.03-0.00825%-0.071-0.0300%0.00
Ron Mercer-0.130,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.09-0.07-0.031934%-0.101-0.0300%0.00
Vitaly Potapenko-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.08-0.06-0.00230%-0.091-0.05650%-0.05
Antoine Walker-0.200,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.1,-0.13,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.14-0.06-0.011542%-0.064-0.13837%-0.10

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ray Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.14,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.240.240.170.100.031287%0.261-0.0200%0.00
Robert Traylor0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.050.04-0.03964%0.1200.00450%-0.02
Tim Thomas0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.08-0.000.03872%0.0500.002100%0.01
Glenn Robinson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.040.021462%0.102-0.05978%0.01
Ervin Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.000.00470%0.0400.00250%-0.02
Michael Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.0220%-0.051-0.0000%0.00
Vinny Del Negro0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.020.00617%-0.081-0.0200%0.00
Haywoode Workman0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.09-0.05-0.02575%0.057-0.17250%-0.00
Dell Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.07-0.07-0.00922%-0.1300.0000%0.00
Chris Gatling0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.10-0.060.00830%-0.141-0.02450%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.31.626.814.728.31.627.3122.6
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +30.3%
MIL +10.1%
BOS -12.2%
MIL +19.8%
MIL +2.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSMILNBABOSMILNBA
this game16.213.915.886.5104.299.6
season15.015.898.1102.4
opponent16.415.8100.9100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS18.016.215.515.516.2
MIL13.313.813.215.113.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Popeye Jones14130.18-0.680.860.064-202412.416.9-4.4714.413.80.57
Dana Barros46470.13-0.630.760.072-182014.617.8-3.2314.912.92.06
Walter McCarty18170.10-0.600.69-0.148-243214.816.6-1.7414.813.71.13
Bruce Bowen30300.08-0.580.660.11-1-151413.817.3-3.5214.913.41.47
Greg Minor38370.07-0.570.64-0.044-202414.617.3-2.7215.612.82.74
Vitaly Potapenko4445-0.09-0.410.320.09-6-10416.416.10.2513.913.9-0.05
Tony Battie5250-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.12-10-6-416.116.4-0.2513.913.90.05
Ron Mercer7371-0.600.10-0.700.02-215-2616.914.32.6213.415.5-2.15
Antoine Walker7475-0.620.12-0.74-0.04-204-2417.213.04.1613.913.9-0.07
Kenny Anderson5048-0.630.13-0.76-0.10-182-2017.814.63.2312.914.9-2.06
Paul Pierce4142-0.710.21-0.91-0.06-226-2818.614.54.1612.115.3-3.18

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Glenn Robinson71720.76-0.261.030.0026-103613.315.5-2.2016.714.91.83
Robert Traylor46480.72-0.220.950.0224-83213.014.7-1.6917.415.12.25
Ray Allen71710.63-0.130.760.0121-52613.016.5-3.5416.316.20.07
Haywoode Workman54530.61-0.110.72-0.1526-103613.015.1-2.1616.615.80.75
Michael Curry34350.110.39-0.280.05214-1215.413.12.3215.816.5-0.66
Tim Thomas45450.100.40-0.310.04214-1212.415.2-2.8417.415.22.25
Dell Curry47480.030.47-0.450.03016-1615.612.33.2815.217.3-2.04
Vinny Del Negro4143-0.110.61-0.720.18-1026-3615.113.02.1615.816.6-0.75
Chris Gatling3938-0.120.62-0.730.00-420-2415.113.02.0915.716.6-0.98
Ervin Johnson2727-0.230.73-0.97-0.03-723-3015.113.41.7514.217.1-2.87


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.34,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.91,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 93, UTA 1020.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.54,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.45,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.53,0.77,0.69,0.88,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,193.0%
IND 89, CHH 960.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.33,0.22,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.7,0.6,0.67,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.91,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.98,193.0%
DEN 92, NOH 980.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.27,0.2,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.52,0.68,0.81,0.74,0.7,0.53,0.53,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.98,192.6%