NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	89		Excitement	6.4 [494]		MVP	Vlade Divac (CHH): +17.5%
Charlotte Hornets	96		Comeback	7.3 [202]		LVP	Antonio Davis (IND): -23.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Best	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.01	0.05	-0.03	17	49%	0.12	1	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Dale Davis	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.00	9	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.04
Jalen Rose	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	7	73%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Chris Mullin	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	9	70%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Miller	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.01	14	56%	0.01	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Derrick McKey	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	6	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Austin Croshere	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.19	-0.05	-0.01	11	0%	-0.19	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.16	-0.10	-0.02	10	27%	-0.14	2	-0.09	6	50%	-0.02

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.08	0.01	9	81%	0.20	1	-0.02	9	67%	-0.01
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.00	10	68%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
B.J. Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	18	49%	0.06	3	-0.07	5	40%	-0.02
Bobby Phills	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	10	41%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	16	51%	0.03	3	-0.09	3	67%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	-0.00	-0.02	8	30%	-0.05	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.4	26.3	14.8	26.0	1.7	33.3	125.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +46.5%

IND -6.7%

CHH +4.7%

CHH +2.0%

CHH +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHH	NBA	IND	CHH	NBA
this game	16.4	15.5	15.6	98.9	105.5	102.5
season	16.0	15.7		105.3	104.0
opponent	15.9	16.1		102.6	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.3	13.9	19.5	16.1	16.4
CHH	15.7	14.3	13.2	19.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Rose	28	29	0.22	-0.72	0.93	-0.11	11	-18	29	14.6	17.1	-2.49	16.1	15.2	0.93
Austin Croshere	17	17	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.12	5	-12	17	15.5	16.6	-1.09	15.6	15.4	0.21
Travis Best	57	58	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.33	12	-19	31	15.3	18.1	-2.79	15.6	15.2	0.36
Derrick McKey	61	61	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.24	4	-11	15	16.6	15.9	0.63	14.9	16.7	-1.88
Dale Davis	61	63	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.27	-3	-4	1	15.8	17.4	-1.61	16.5	13.1	3.37
Chris Mullin	57	57	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.10	-11	4	-15	16.4	16.3	0.04	15.0	16.3	-1.26
Mark Jackson	33	33	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.04	-19	12	-31	18.1	15.3	2.79	15.2	15.6	-0.36
Reggie Miller	73	74	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.17	-12	5	-17	16.6	15.5	1.09	15.4	15.6	-0.21
Antonio Davis	63	63	-0.81	0.31	-1.11	-0.16	-22	15	-37	17.4	13.9	3.52	15.2	16.1	-0.97

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Wesley	72	71	0.96	-0.46	1.42	0.17	27	-20	47	15.8	14.2	1.60	17.1	13.6	3.45
Glen Rice	86	85	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.20	17	-10	27	15.8	9.4	6.43	16.8	9.2	7.58
Anthony Mason	84	82	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.28	11	-4	15	15.6	14.4	1.13	16.6	13.9	2.72
Bobby Phills	61	62	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.09	8	-1	9	16.1	14.3	1.80	16.0	17.2	-1.19
Dell Curry	30	28	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.20	-1	8	-9	14.3	16.1	-1.80	17.2	16.0	1.19
Matt Geiger	50	51	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.09	2	5	-3	14.5	16.7	-2.16	16.9	15.7	1.17
Vlade Divac	53	52	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.31	-9	16	-25	15.7	15.2	0.50	14.8	18.5	-3.71
B.J. Armstrong	13	14	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.17	-13	20	-33	13.6	15.8	-2.17	12.9	17.0	-4.06
Vernon Maxwell	6	5	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.04	-7	14	-21	15.5	15.5	0.03	15.6	16.4	-0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.33,0.22,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.7,0.6,0.67,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.91,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 83, MIL 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.34,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.91,1,1,1,1,1	93.0%
DEN 92, NOH 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.27,0.2,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.52,0.68,0.81,0.74,0.7,0.53,0.53,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.98,1	92.3%
MIL 101, BOS 112	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.3,0.4,0.31,0.28,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.69,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.46,0.57,0.48,0.43,0.58,0.79,0.76,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1	92.1%