NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	101		Excitement	7.7 [302]		MVP	Tim Thomas (MIL): +10.6%
Boston Celtics	112		Comeback	5.2 [320]		LVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): -26.9%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.05	-0.00	7	72%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Ray Allen	0.09	0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.01	-0.01	20	65%	0.15	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Vinny Del Negro	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.04	0.03	5	80%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.03	0.00	9	58%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Darvin Ham	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	5	58%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Robert Traylor	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	5	50%	-0.05	3	-0.06	4	25%	-0.06
Sam Cassell	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.16	-0.04	-0.01	16	39%	-0.07	5	-0.13	4	50%	-0.02
Glenn Robinson	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.16	-0.11	-0.00	16	29%	-0.14	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	5	92%	0.11	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.05	0.04	14	59%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.03	0.01	20	62%	0.16	4	-0.12	8	100%	0.07
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	17	43%	0.02	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	38%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	13	38%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	3	30%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.21,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.15	-0.01	-0.00	10	33%	-0.03	4	-0.14	4	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.4	25.7	15.4	31.5	2.4	27.5	130.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL -3.6%

BOS +14.0%

BOS +37.4%

MIL -2.6%

BOS +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	BOS	NBA	MIL	BOS	NBA
this game	13.5	14.8	15.2	99.0	110.9	101.7
season	14.9	14.7		105.5	102.4
opponent	15.1	15.4		103.3	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	12.5	12.8	13.4	15.9	13.5
BOS	15.2	14.4	13.8	16.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vinny Del Negro	40	40	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.20	13	-24	37	13.5	13.6	-0.12	15.6	14.3	1.23
Rafer Alston	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-12	13	13.0	13.6	-0.56	13.0	14.9	-1.87
Glenn Robinson	83	83	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.08	-4	-7	3	13.0	15.9	-2.95	15.0	14.0	1.01
Ray Allen	86	86	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	-5	-1	12.9	16.8	-3.87	14.7	15.5	-0.75
Scott Williams	46	46	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.29	1	-12	13	13.8	13.3	0.47	14.7	14.9	-0.25
Robert Traylor	38	38	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	-1	-9	14.0	13.3	0.76	14.2	15.2	-1.04
Darvin Ham	84	81	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	-10	-1	-9	13.7	12.7	1.07	14.8	14.8	-0.02
Tim Thomas	55	55	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.17	-10	-1	-9	13.5	13.6	-0.01	15.1	14.5	0.65
Sam Cassell	76	74	-0.95	0.45	-1.41	-0.07	-30	19	-49	14.3	11.4	2.90	14.6	15.4	-0.84

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antoine Walker	94	93	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.12	17	-6	23	15.1	11.6	3.50	13.8	11.0	2.80
Kenny Anderson	64	65	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.27	7	4	3	14.9	14.7	0.16	14.0	12.7	1.37
Calbert Cheaney	35	36	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.09	10	1	9	14.8	14.8	-0.05	13.6	13.5	0.01
Paul Pierce	60	61	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.25	3	8	-5	15.7	13.6	2.06	14.1	12.7	1.45
Tony Battie	47	48	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.29	1	10	-9	14.0	15.5	-1.48	13.7	13.4	0.38
Adrian Griffin	58	57	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	0	11	14.8	14.9	-0.05	13.9	13.1	0.78
Vitaly Potapenko	51	53	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.03	8	3	5	14.8	14.8	-0.02	13.3	13.8	-0.44
Doug Overton	28	27	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.09	6	5	1	14.5	15.0	-0.51	12.2	14.0	-1.80
Eric Williams	40	41	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.11	-6	17	-23	14.4	15.1	-0.67	12.6	14.2	-1.65
Danny Fortson	17	17	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.02	-3	14	-17	16.4	14.5	1.83	13.8	13.5	0.26
Walter McCarty	11	12	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.12	1	10	-9	11.5	15.2	-3.69	10.5	14.0	-3.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.3,0.4,0.31,0.28,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.69,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.46,0.57,0.48,0.43,0.58,0.79,0.76,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 86, CHI 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.63,0.48,0.52,0.7,0.66,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.81,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1	92.6%
IND 89, CHH 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.33,0.22,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.7,0.6,0.67,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.91,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.98,1	92.1%
BOS 88, MIA 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.31,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.37,0.27,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.47,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.85,0.99,1,1,1	91.9%