NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	82		Excitement	7.4 [383]		MVP	Kosta Koufos (SAC): +16.6%
Sacramento Kings	86		Comeback	1.6 [280]		LVP	Jusuf Nurkic (POR): -18.9%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ McCollum	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07	-0.01	0.06	-0.03	15	56%	0.19	4	-0.12	4	75%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.07	0.07	-0.01	-0.01	25	52%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Pat Connaughton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Layman	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Swanigan	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	7	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	7	47%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Ed Davis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	60%	0.07	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.04
Shabazz Napier	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	7	36%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	4	11%	-0.09	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Jusuf Nurkic	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.12	-0.08	-0.02	7	29%	-0.08	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.10	0.00	7	67%	0.17	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	0.00	17	55%	0.16	1	-0.04	6	67%	0.01
Garrett Temple	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	11	61%	0.12	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
George Hill	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	12	56%	0.09	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Frank Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.05	-0.00	6	29%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.04	0.00	5	80%	0.08	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.04	-0.01	8	50%	0.09	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	4	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	8	12%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Skal Labissiere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	0.00	7	19%	-0.10	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	24.5	14.6	26.2	2.3	32.5	125.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +41.9%

POR -5.8%

SAC +11.1%

SAC +3.5%

POR -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	SAC	NBA	POR	SAC	NBA
this game	15.5	15.7	14.7	88.2	93.5	107.5
season	15.2	15.4		107.8	102.9
opponent	14.7	14.3		110.1	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.1	17.9	15.6	14.8	15.5
SAC	16.7	17.2	13.8	15.2	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Harkless	46	46	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.14	9	-13	22	14.3	16.7	-2.38	15.9	15.4	0.52
Pat Connaughton	17	18	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.04	-1	-3	2	18.1	14.9	3.22	13.7	16.1	-2.40
Caleb Swanigan	20	19	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.02	-1	-3	2	14.5	15.8	-1.25	16.2	15.5	0.64
Damian Lillard	75	73	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.37	8	-12	20	14.6	19.1	-4.43	15.3	17.2	-1.90
Jake Layman	8	8	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.06	-7	3	-10	20.1	15.0	5.08	13.4	15.9	-2.49
Ed Davis	43	44	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.36	7	-11	18	14.4	16.4	-1.98	15.4	15.9	-0.47
Meyers Leonard	7	6	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.10	-11	7	-18	25.1	14.7	10.45	11.0	16.0	-4.98
Noah Vonleh	45	44	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.00	-8	4	-12	16.8	14.2	2.55	15.6	15.7	-0.07
CJ McCollum	74	71	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.48	8	-12	20	14.3	20.3	-6.01	16.6	12.4	4.18
Jusuf Nurkic	54	53	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.36	-1	-3	2	14.2	17.2	-3.01	16.7	14.3	2.42
Evan Turner	37	37	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.06	-14	10	-24	18.3	13.6	4.72	14.9	16.2	-1.27
Shabazz Napier	39	41	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.32	-9	5	-14	16.3	14.9	1.33	15.8	15.5	0.28

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kosta Koufos	61	62	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.40	9	-5	14	15.3	16.3	-0.96	16.4	13.7	2.66
Willie Cauley-Stein	60	58	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.38	6	-2	8	14.9	17.0	-2.02	16.4	13.9	2.47
Frank Mason	41	39	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.10	12	-8	20	14.0	17.0	-3.02	18.4	13.4	4.95
Bogdan Bogdanovic	46	44	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.07	11	-7	18	13.9	17.4	-3.43	18.0	13.2	4.86
Buddy Hield	29	30	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	-8	20	15.1	15.9	-0.75	18.2	14.2	4.01
Garrett Temple	58	59	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.33	-7	11	-18	16.1	15.0	1.08	13.9	18.3	-4.38
George Hill	54	55	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.37	-10	14	-24	16.7	14.2	2.46	13.8	17.9	-4.12
De'Aaron Fox	51	54	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.29	-8	12	-20	17.0	14.0	3.02	13.4	18.4	-4.95
Skal Labissiere	32	35	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.00	-2	6	-8	17.0	14.9	2.02	13.9	16.4	-2.47
Zach Randolph	28	29	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.01	-3	7	-10	16.9	15.1	1.83	13.3	16.5	-3.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.67,0.64,0.5,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.94,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 77, CLE 88	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.79,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.89,0.99,1,1	93.1%
NJN 96, TOR 98	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.81,0.72,0.81,0.96,0.97,1,1	92.2%
SAC 87, CHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.43,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.75,0.9,0.98,0.92,1	92.1%