NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	87		Excitement	8.2 [222]		MVP	Taj Gibson (CHI): +13.9%
Chicago Bulls	94		Comeback	1.4 [957]		LVP	Ben McLemore (SAC): -20.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	18	53%	0.18	4	-0.15	13	77%	0.01
Reggie Evans	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Quincy Acy	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Travis Outlaw	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	12	46%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Derrick Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02
Ray McCallum	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	17%	-0.03	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	21	51%	0.03	5	-0.15	7	71%	-0.02
Jason Thompson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	8	25%	-0.10	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.08
Ben McLemore	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2	-0.12	-0.09	-0.01	12	25%	-0.11	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.04	-0.01	9	70%	0.20	2	-0.06	9	78%	0.01
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.00	0.02	15	64%	0.17	2	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.01	10	48%	0.08	1	-0.01	5	80%	-0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	11	59%	0.14	3	-0.09	5	100%	0.03
Nazr Mohammed	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	10	41%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	11	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.14	-0.01	-0.02	11	19%	-0.11	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.6	31.7	15.8	25.5	2.4	41.9	143.1
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +42.3%

CHI +16.9%

SAC -39.0%

CHI +29.2%

CHI +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	CHI	NBA	SAC	CHI	NBA
this game	15.7	14.4	15.1	91.6	97.9	105.2
season	15.4	16.3		104.5	101.1
opponent	15.3	14.7		99.6	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.7	15.6	18.6	14.6	15.7
CHI	13.0	15.1	15.7	14.2	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quincy Acy	17	18	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.06	-1	-6	5	18.5	15.2	3.32	16.3	14.0	2.36
Travis Outlaw	13	15	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-3	-1	16.3	15.7	0.65	12.0	14.9	-2.86
Ray McCallum	19	19	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	-1	-5	18.1	15.2	2.95	16.4	13.9	2.43
Derrick Williams	34	36	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-5	3	16.4	15.4	0.94	15.1	14.0	1.11
Reggie Evans	47	47	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	-1	-5	16.5	15.0	1.51	14.8	14.0	0.81
Jason Thompson	46	47	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.35	1	-8	9	15.2	16.2	-1.03	14.6	14.2	0.39
Ben McLemore	74	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.27	-3	-4	1	15.1	17.9	-2.71	13.9	16.2	-2.29
Rudy Gay	63	61	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.19	-6	-1	-5	15.4	16.4	-1.04	14.2	14.8	-0.60
Isaiah Thomas	84	85	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.34	-2	-5	3	15.5	17.4	-1.83	14.4	14.6	-0.25
DeMarcus Cousins	78	78	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.35	-6	-1	-5	15.2	18.5	-3.32	14.0	16.3	-2.36

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joakim Noah	81	82	0.55	-0.04	0.59	0.34	7	0	7	14.5	13.9	0.65	15.4	17.9	-2.52
Taj Gibson	55	52	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.24	9	-2	11	14.3	14.6	-0.34	15.6	15.9	-0.29
Jimmy Butler	79	78	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.28	6	1	5	13.9	16.9	-3.07	15.2	18.4	-3.17
Mike Dunleavy	83	81	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.32	2	5	-3	14.3	15.5	-1.21	16.0	14.6	1.38
Kirk Hinrich	63	64	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.33	1	6	-5	14.5	14.2	0.31	15.7	15.9	-0.23
D.J. Augustin	52	52	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.01	7	0	7	15.3	13.3	1.99	16.2	15.2	0.98
Tony Snell	11	10	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.04	5	2	3	14.6	14.4	0.25	16.7	15.6	1.06
Nazr Mohammed	9	9	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	5	-3	15.4	14.3	1.13	16.1	15.7	0.40
Carlos Boozer	47	47	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.03	-4	11	-15	14.2	14.6	-0.40	16.4	15.1	1.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.43,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.75,0.9,0.98,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 87, POR 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.51,0.43,0.52,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.72,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.73,0.85,0.93,0.98,1,1	93.7%
SAS 90, MIL 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.56,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.7,0.83,0.93,0.93,0.99,1,1	92.9%
NYK 85, CHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.7,0.6,0.75,0.93,0.89,0.98,1	92.6%