NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	85		Excitement	7.7 [300]		MVP	Marco Belinelli (CHI): +23.4%
Chicago Bulls	93		Comeback	1.6 [507]		LVP	Raymond Felton (NYK): -29.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kurt Thomas	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.06	0.01	4	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.00	4	58%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.08
James White	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	56%	0.05	2	-0.05	9	67%	-0.01
Rasheed Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	7	43%	0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.07,-0.14,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	-0.02	-0.09	14	44%	0.12	5	-0.16	6	83%	0.02
Pablo Prigioni	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.29	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.21,-0.26,-0.21,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.09	-0.16	0.04	30	39%	-0.25	2	-0.04	9	89%	0.05

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marco Belinelli	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.15	0.09	0.00	15	69%	0.23	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.04	0.16	-0.03	20	50%	0.23	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.08	0.00	3	100%	0.18	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Nazr Mohammed	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	11	50%	0.05	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.06	0.02	15	41%	-0.06	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21	-0.21	-0.15	-0.06	-0.00	7	56%	0.12	9	-0.33	4	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.4	31.9	14.8	25.0	1.8	36.0	133.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +73.8%

NYK -6.0%

CHI +0.7%

NYK -21.4%

CHI +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHI	NBA	NYK	CHI	NBA
this game	15.4	14.9	15.4	89.5	97.9	104.1
season	16.2	16.6		107.9	101.7
opponent	15.2	15.5		102.3	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.0	15.1	17.7	15.1	15.4
CHI	14.8	13.7	17.4	14.3	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James White	22	24	0.27	-0.77	1.04	-0.02	10	-18	28	14.2	15.8	-1.53	17.2	14.2	3.01
Pablo Prigioni	20	21	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.02	4	-12	16	15.8	15.3	0.57	14.3	15.1	-0.75
Kurt Thomas	29	29	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.02	3	-11	14	16.3	15.0	1.36	17.2	13.9	3.25
Ronnie Brewer	32	31	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.04	0	-8	8	15.9	15.2	0.72	15.3	14.7	0.60
Rasheed Wallace	34	34	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.08	-5	-3	-2	14.8	15.8	-0.99	13.4	15.8	-2.39
Steve Novak	63	64	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.24	-4	-4	0	14.5	17.2	-2.65	14.4	16.1	-1.71
Tyson Chandler	70	70	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.38	-7	-1	-6	15.8	14.3	1.47	15.4	13.7	1.68
J.R. Smith	72	71	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.19	-14	6	-20	15.2	16.0	-0.79	14.3	16.8	-2.51
Raymond Felton	75	74	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.29	-12	4	-16	15.3	15.8	-0.57	15.1	14.3	0.75
Jason Kidd	58	57	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.25	-15	7	-22	16.2	14.1	2.12	14.4	15.7	-1.32

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marco Belinelli	89	89	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.25	11	-3	14	14.9	15.5	-0.62	15.4	14.7	0.78
Luol Deng	92	93	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.21	12	-4	16	14.9	16.7	-1.81	15.4	14.5	0.92
Joakim Noah	88	87	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.32	7	1	6	14.9	14.6	0.37	15.3	16.6	-1.34
Nate Robinson	59	59	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.30	3	5	-2	14.8	15.2	-0.40	15.9	14.5	1.40
Jimmy Butler	42	41	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.31	-1	9	-10	15.4	14.5	0.92	15.0	15.7	-0.66
Taj Gibson	26	26	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	5	-2	12.6	15.8	-3.22	14.2	15.9	-1.66
Kirk Hinrich	30	31	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.08	5	3	2	14.7	15.0	-0.32	14.1	16.0	-1.98
Marquis Teague	6	5	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	8	-8	17.5	14.7	2.76	17.4	15.3	2.11
Nazr Mohammed	1	3	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	6	-4	6.0	15.0	-9.01	19.7	15.3	4.41
Carlos Boozer	42	41	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	10	-12	16.2	13.9	2.33	16.3	14.7	1.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.7,0.6,0.75,0.93,0.89,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 103, BOS 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.72,0.8,0.93,0.94,1,1	92.8%
DET 90, GSW 92	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.45,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.52,0.53,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.92,1	92.8%
NOK 100, SAC 110	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.72,0.74,0.68,0.5,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.62,0.75,0.84,0.98,1,1	92.8%