NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	100		Excitement	7.2 [411]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (SAC): +19.2%
Sacramento Kings	110		Comeback	1.4 [900]		LVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): -17.8%

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jackson Vroman	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	-0.01	-0.02	13	58%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.01	0.04	11	64%	0.09	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.04
David West	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.01	14	50%	0.07	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Kirk Snyder	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.00	11	61%	0.07	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.02
J.R. Smith	-0.05	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.07	-0.01	12	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Speedy Claxton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	6	76%	0.15	6	-0.20	5	80%	0.02
Desmond Mason	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	8	28%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.16	0.05	0.02	15	74%	0.21	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.08	-0.00	15	66%	0.23	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.05
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.08	0.01	13	64%	0.23	2	-0.08	10	90%	0.07
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	0.00	4	75%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	10	43%	0.01	3	-0.09	3	67%	0.01
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	2	17%	-0.05	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.03	-0.09	0.05	16	47%	-0.09	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	28.4	15.8	25.0	2.4	36.6	132.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +24.9%

NOK -0.8%

SAC +24.8%

SAC +0.5%

SAC +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOK	SAC	NBA	NOK	SAC	NBA
this game	17.0	14.8	15.6	111.1	120.9	104.4
season	16.3	15.3		101.2	104.7
opponent	15.5	15.3		103.8	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOK	16.2	16.5	18.9	16.8	17.0
SAC	13.1	15.6	16.3	14.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kirk Snyder	7	6	0.18	-0.68	0.87	-0.02	7	-17	24	18.0	16.9	1.06	15.0	14.8	0.20
Jackson Vroman	20	20	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-11	12	17.0	17.0	-0.03	15.5	14.6	0.94
Speedy Claxton	43	43	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-9	8	17.0	17.1	-0.09	14.9	14.7	0.22
Rasual Butler	52	53	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.26	4	-14	18	15.8	18.7	-2.92	14.6	15.1	-0.55
David West	82	84	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-6	-4	-2	17.1	16.0	1.12	14.7	16.0	-1.29
Desmond Mason	38	38	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.06	-14	4	-18	18.7	15.8	2.92	15.1	14.6	0.55
J.R. Smith	59	61	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.17	-10	0	-10	16.7	17.5	-0.80	15.0	14.5	0.52
Chris Paul	71	72	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.18	-16	6	-22	17.2	16.4	0.76	14.6	15.7	-1.10
P.J. Brown	78	78	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.22	-15	5	-20	16.9	17.7	-0.74	14.7	15.3	-0.58

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Bibby	78	77	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.20	13	-3	16	15.0	13.8	1.13	16.9	17.7	-0.78
Peja Stojakovic	79	79	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.16	14	-4	18	14.3	18.2	-3.86	16.9	17.9	-1.01
Brad Miller	77	76	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.17	13	-3	16	14.8	14.9	-0.14	16.9	17.5	-0.57
Bonzi Wells	61	60	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.15	12	-2	14	14.8	14.9	-0.13	16.9	17.2	-0.32
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	78	77	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.12	9	1	8	14.3	17.6	-3.27	16.7	18.7	-1.95
Kenny Thomas	27	27	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	12	-14	16.2	14.2	2.00	18.1	16.6	1.50
Kevin Martin	8	8	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.04	-2	12	-14	17.6	14.5	3.08	17.7	17.0	0.80
Francisco Garcia	28	27	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.06	-4	14	-18	14.5	15.0	-0.45	17.3	16.9	0.44
Jason Hart	19	19	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	13	-16	15.7	14.6	1.10	17.6	16.9	0.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.72,0.74,0.68,0.5,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.62,0.75,0.84,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 85, POR 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.52,0.42,0.53,0.58,0.67,0.68,0.84,0.99,1,1	93.6%
NYK 85, CHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.7,0.6,0.75,0.93,0.89,0.98,1	92.8%
NJN 79, DAL 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.66,0.79,0.74,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.8,0.79,0.91,1,1	92.6%