NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	79		Excitement	7.1 [381]		MVP	Steve Nash (DAL): +27.6%
Dallas Mavericks	88		Comeback	1.4 [828]		LVP	Richard Jefferson (NJN): -22.2%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.05	-0.02	11	52%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Rodney Rogers	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	5	82%	0.11	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Lucious Harris	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.06	-0.00	6	56%	0.10	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Kenyon Martin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	16	56%	0.13	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.10	0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	2	33%	-0.02	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.02
Kerry Kittles	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14	-0.12	-0.04	-0.02	10	27%	-0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2	-0.13	-0.10	-0.02	15	39%	-0.06	4	-0.14	3	67%	-0.01
Richard Jefferson	-0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.16,-0.22,-0.26,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.10	-0.14	-0.01	8	35%	-0.12	2	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.16,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.13	0.15	0.01	16	71%	0.30	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.04	0.13	-0.02	19	53%	0.19	4	-0.08	7	100%	0.04
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	5	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.09	-0.01	17	37%	-0.13	2	-0.06	6	83%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.7	24.1	16.4	24.6	2.6	29.0	123.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +17.1%

DAL +7.4%

NJN -24.2%

DAL +50.3%

NJN -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	DAL	NBA	NJN	DAL	NBA
this game	16.3	16.3	15.5	89.8	98.9	101.6
season	15.0	15.1		101.1	108.6
opponent	15.3	15.9		102.0	96.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.2	17.7	16.3	16.0	16.3
DAL	17.5	15.0	16.5	16.0	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Johnson	18	17	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.00	5	-14	19	15.5	16.5	-0.99	18.0	15.8	2.15
Rodney Rogers	34	35	0.10	-0.60	0.71	0.01	3	-12	15	17.3	15.6	1.65	16.1	16.3	-0.19
Lucious Harris	53	52	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.17	1	-10	11	16.8	15.6	1.18	15.8	16.9	-1.04
Aaron Williams	53	54	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.30	3	-12	15	16.3	16.2	0.14	17.0	15.1	1.98
Jason Collins	35	35	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.06	-12	3	-15	16.2	16.3	-0.14	15.1	17.0	-1.98
Kerry Kittles	43	46	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	2	-13	15.6	16.9	-1.33	16.6	15.9	0.63
Kenyon Martin	76	77	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.26	-7	-2	-5	16.0	17.9	-1.89	16.4	15.5	0.88
Richard Jefferson	58	57	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.23	-13	4	-17	16.1	16.6	-0.53	16.3	16.2	0.16
Jason Kidd	70	72	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.23	-14	5	-19	16.5	15.5	0.99	15.8	18.0	-2.15

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	65	62	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.22	17	-8	25	16.0	17.0	-1.02	16.4	16.0	0.46
Michael Finley	82	81	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.21	11	-2	13	16.4	15.1	1.21	16.2	17.0	-0.78
Dirk Nowitzki	78	78	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.23	10	-1	11	16.3	15.8	0.50	16.2	16.6	-0.36
Eduardo Najera	38	39	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.25	7	2	5	17.4	15.4	1.94	15.9	16.6	-0.65
Raef LaFrentz	44	45	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.33	4	5	-1	16.4	16.1	0.30	16.0	16.6	-0.54
Raja Bell	26	24	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.03	5	4	1	15.4	16.6	-1.23	17.1	16.0	1.10
Shawn Bradley	38	36	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.07	5	4	1	15.9	16.5	-0.63	17.0	15.8	1.26
Adrian Griffin	17	16	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	9	-9	18.9	15.6	3.24	13.4	16.9	-3.48
Walt Williams	17	18	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.01	-5	14	-19	13.0	17.0	-4.03	18.2	15.8	2.44
Nick Van Exel	40	41	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.07	-9	18	-27	16.3	16.2	0.17	16.0	16.5	-0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.66,0.79,0.74,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.8,0.79,0.91,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 87, DEN 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.76,0.62,0.52,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.55,0.79,0.9,1,1	93.8%
GSW 106, SAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.6,0.56,0.68,0.54,0.62,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.67,0.75,0.9,0.84,0.84,1	93.0%
LAC 106, MIN 112	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.48,0.42,0.59,0.65,0.61,0.75,0.83,0.91,0.91,1	92.7%