NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	87		Excitement	7.1 [368]		MVP	Antonio McDyess (DEN): +18.5%
Denver Nuggets	94		Comeback	1.7 [615]		LVP	Nick Van Exel (DEN): -35.5%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Robinson	0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.01	16	56%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.04	0.00	12	54%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
P.J. Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Elden Campbell	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.01	7	55%	-0.01	1	-0.01	8	75%	-0.01
Otis Thorpe	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lee Nailon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Eldridge Recasner	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	5	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Baron Davis	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24	-0.07	-0.17	0.00	13	44%	-0.24	1	-0.01	8	62%	-0.05
David Wesley	-0.35	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35	-0.19	-0.19	-0.03	18	29%	-0.25	2	-0.09	6	100%	0.02

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,-0.03,0.11,0.16,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.09	0.07	-0.02	23	61%	0.27	1	-0.08	8	62%	-0.02
Mark Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	0.00	6	83%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	4	30%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Voshon Lenard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.04	0.01	13	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	17	56%	0.09	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	3	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
George McCloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.04	0.04	8	44%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.31,-0.31,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36	-0.36	-0.19	-0.18	-0.01	10	9%	-0.24	2	-0.12	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.4	25.6	15.4	24.6	2.3	28.2	122.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +51.7%

CHH -1.0%

DEN +12.0%

CHH -19.0%

DEN +6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	DEN	NBA	CHH	DEN	NBA
this game	16.2	15.7	15.5	96.7	103.3	100.9
season	15.8	15.2		99.7	101.4
opponent	15.2	15.6		104.1	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	19.2	13.3	15.2	17.8	16.2
DEN	14.4	14.9	16.1	17.4	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elden Campbell	29	32	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.08	3	-10	13	16.7	15.9	0.82	17.1	14.9	2.26
Eddie Robinson	59	59	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.13	2	-9	11	14.9	18.5	-3.58	16.4	14.4	1.98
P.J. Brown	59	59	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.25	4	-11	15	14.9	18.5	-3.53	16.8	13.6	3.19
Jamaal Magloire	47	45	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.28	3	-10	13	14.5	18.0	-3.56	15.1	16.2	-1.17
Baron Davis	73	74	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.36	5	-12	17	15.5	19.0	-3.49	16.1	13.7	2.40
David Wesley	72	72	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.31	3	-10	13	15.5	18.8	-3.33	16.1	14.1	1.96
Hersey Hawkins	18	19	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.02	-10	3	-13	18.8	15.5	3.33	14.1	16.1	-1.96
Eldridge Recasner	17	17	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.07	-12	5	-17	19.0	15.5	3.49	13.7	16.1	-2.40
Otis Thorpe	14	14	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.07	-13	6	-19	20.7	15.3	5.39	14.2	15.9	-1.71
Derrick Coleman	31	32	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.04	-11	4	-15	18.5	14.9	3.53	13.6	16.8	-3.19
Lee Nailon	31	32	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.16	-9	2	-11	18.5	14.9	3.58	14.4	16.4	-1.98

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raef LaFrentz	71	72	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.25	17	-10	27	15.7	15.4	0.33	15.7	18.2	-2.50
Nick Van Exel	80	78	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.24	14	-7	21	15.8	14.5	1.37	16.7	12.7	4.04
Antonio McDyess	73	72	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.33	8	-1	9	15.9	14.7	1.24	16.8	13.5	3.33
Voshon Lenard	73	74	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.36	5	2	3	15.4	16.8	-1.46	15.2	20.7	-5.50
James Posey	49	48	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.05	13	-6	19	14.8	16.6	-1.78	15.6	16.8	-1.16
George McCloud	42	42	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.24	-6	13	-19	16.6	14.8	1.78	16.8	15.6	1.16
Keon Clark	10	10	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	10	-13	13.9	15.9	-1.98	19.5	15.7	3.75
Robert Pack	29	28	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.01	-5	12	-17	15.9	15.5	0.40	17.2	15.7	1.57
Mark Strickland	28	26	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	-0.04	-8	15	-23	15.5	15.7	-0.28	14.4	16.9	-2.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.76,0.62,0.52,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.55,0.79,0.9,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 81, DAL 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.75,0.62,0.63,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.84,0.89,0.99,1	93.8%
NJN 79, DAL 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.66,0.79,0.74,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.8,0.79,0.91,1,1	93.8%
WAS 90, MIL 97	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.74,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.64,0.46,0.52,0.38,0.47,0.37,0.31,0.41,0.47,0.38,0.71,0.78,0.92,1	93.1%