NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	81		Excitement	6.7 [456]		MVP	Jamal Mashburn (DAL): +13.0%
Dallas Mavericks	92		Comeback	1.4 [771]		LVP	Oliver Miller (DAL): -27.0%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yinka Dare	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Xavier McDaniel	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khalid Reeves	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	9	55%	0.02	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Shawn Bradley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	8	50%	0.05	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Kerry Kittles	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	12	37%	-0.01	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ed O'Bannon	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	3	33%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	9	35%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Jayson Williams	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	18	44%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.03	-0.11	0.02	16	62%	0.06	6	-0.23	5	100%	0.04

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.07	-0.01	16	57%	0.13	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
George McCloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.00	5	70%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.05	0.03	10	70%	0.13	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.01	12	67%	0.14	3	-0.11	6	67%	0.01
A.C. Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	100%	0.10	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Eric Montross	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	7	25%	-0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Oliver Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.11	-0.14	0.02	10	30%	-0.15	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	24.2	15.7	26.2	1.7	25.3	120.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +39.2%

DAL +2.1%

NJN -1.1%

DAL +6.5%

DAL +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	DAL	NBA	NJN	DAL	NBA
this game	17.5	16.8	15.6	95.3	110.8	104.4
season	15.4	15.9		101.7	99.1
opponent	15.7	14.9		105.5	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	18.0	17.0	16.3	18.8	17.5
DAL	16.2	17.4	15.6	18.1	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ed O'Bannon	53	50	0.23	-0.73	0.95	-0.01	8	-19	27	18.3	16.1	2.18	17.4	15.9	1.42
Yinka Dare	20	19	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.08	7	-18	25	17.8	17.4	0.48	17.7	16.5	1.15
Xavier McDaniel	5	4	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-7	3	13.8	17.7	-3.91	18.5	16.7	1.79
Tony Massenburg	32	31	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.08	-7	-4	-3	18.6	16.8	1.78	16.9	16.7	0.12
Kerry Kittles	79	77	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.14	-7	-4	-3	17.6	15.7	1.95	16.4	22.0	-5.61
Shawn Bradley	47	47	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.20	-9	-2	-7	16.9	18.2	-1.22	16.9	16.6	0.28
Khalid Reeves	65	63	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.21	-11	0	-11	16.6	20.3	-3.75	16.3	18.2	-1.85
Kendall Gill	72	72	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.30	-12	1	-13	17.6	16.8	0.75	16.6	17.9	-1.28
Jayson Williams	52	52	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.08	-20	9	-29	17.4	17.6	-0.20	17.0	16.4	0.60

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
A.C. Green	53	54	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.17	22	-11	33	16.2	17.9	-1.68	17.0	18.3	-1.22
George McCloud	26	26	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.19	16	-5	21	17.9	16.3	1.64	18.2	17.2	1.08
Derek Harper	61	63	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.23	12	-1	13	16.7	17.1	-0.46	18.0	15.9	2.12
Oliver Miller	48	49	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.14	8	3	5	17.2	16.3	0.93	17.5	17.5	0.02
Michael Finley	34	35	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.22	4	7	-3	18.3	15.8	2.49	18.0	17.1	0.93
Eric Montross	32	32	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.03	2	9	-7	16.2	17.1	-0.89	17.1	17.7	-0.57
Jim Jackson	71	72	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.10	6	5	1	16.2	20.3	-4.14	16.7	21.6	-4.88
Jamal Mashburn	57	59	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.01	-5	16	-21	16.3	17.9	-1.64	17.2	18.2	-1.08
Chris Gatling	33	35	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	0.02	-10	21	-31	17.7	16.2	1.55	18.5	16.8	1.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.75,0.62,0.63,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.84,0.89,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 87, DEN 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.76,0.62,0.52,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.55,0.79,0.9,1,1	93.8%
PHX 102, ORL 111	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.41,0.47,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.94,0.98,1	92.8%
PHI 103, BOS 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.72,0.8,0.93,0.94,1,1	92.7%