NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	102		Excitement	7.6 [326]		MVP	Hedo Turkoglu (ORL): +26.0%
Orlando Magic	111		Comeback	1.4 [888]		LVP	Kurt Thomas (PHX): -8.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0.10	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.03	0.01	21	59%	0.15	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Raja Bell	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.06	-0.01	10	45%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eddie House	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.02	6	67%	0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.02	6	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Leandro Barbosa	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.04	-0.00	13	54%	0.05	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Steve Nash	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01	0.07	-0.07	0.01	15	63%	0.10	2	-0.11	5	40%	-0.05
Boris Diaw	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	7	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Burke	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	5	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Kurt Thomas	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	6	36%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.19,0.14,0.1,0.16,0.27,0.27,0.2,0.27,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.15	0.12	0.01	17	79%	0.42	4	-0.16	4	100%	0.02
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.02	0.01	7	71%	0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.01	12	59%	0.16	2	-0.06	13	62%	-0.09
Travis Diener	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	5	60%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	6	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Terence Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	0.03	12	52%	0.07	3	-0.13	5	100%	0.01
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	11	38%	-0.00	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.4	26.0	16.0	26.1	2.6	36.5	136.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +36.8%

ORL +19.1%

ORL +7.1%

PHX -11.7%

PHX -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	ORL	NBA	PHX	ORL	NBA
this game	14.7	17.3	15.6	113.3	123.3	104.4
season	13.8	16.4		110.2	104.4
opponent	15.7	16.1		105.9	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	18.1	14.4	13.5	13.3	14.7
ORL	17.0	18.4	15.9	18.0	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Jones	40	39	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.01	2	-11	13	13.2	15.9	-2.75	18.2	16.6	1.60
Pat Burke	12	12	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-8	7	16.0	14.5	1.50	14.8	17.7	-2.85
Boris Diaw	33	36	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.03	-4	-5	1	15.0	14.5	0.47	18.3	16.6	1.63
Leandro Barbosa	69	70	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.36	2	-11	13	14.2	16.4	-2.25	16.9	18.5	-1.61
Eddie House	31	30	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	3	-15	14.7	14.7	0.01	18.3	16.8	1.50
Steve Nash	69	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.22	-6	-3	-3	14.6	15.0	-0.33	17.3	17.4	-0.11
Shawn Marion	88	88	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.28	-4	-5	1	14.7	16.5	-1.84	16.9	37.0	-20.15
Kurt Thomas	45	43	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.16	-9	0	-9	16.0	13.4	2.56	17.1	17.4	-0.31
Raja Bell	63	63	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.15	-13	4	-17	15.1	13.9	1.21	17.3	17.2	0.11

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Battie	61	60	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.39	7	2	5	17.1	17.7	-0.63	15.5	13.1	2.45
Keyon Dooling	53	52	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.35	7	2	5	15.7	19.6	-3.94	13.0	17.0	-4.03
Steve Francis	54	56	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.09	14	-5	19	18.4	15.7	2.68	16.3	12.0	4.29
Hedo Turkoglu	79	79	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.27	5	4	1	16.8	21.0	-4.22	15.1	12.2	2.87
Dwight Howard	71	71	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.22	0	9	-9	17.5	16.6	0.91	15.4	12.1	3.36
Terence Morris	16	16	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.02	5	4	1	18.8	17.0	1.84	15.5	14.5	0.97
Pat Garrity	26	26	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	6	-3	19.4	16.5	2.93	13.0	15.4	-2.44
DeShawn Stevenson	56	56	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.06	3	6	-3	16.6	18.5	-1.88	14.6	14.9	-0.29
Travis Diener	34	34	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	8	-7	18.1	16.8	1.36	12.0	16.3	-4.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.41,0.47,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.94,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 81, DAL 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.75,0.62,0.63,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.84,0.89,0.99,1	92.8%
LAC 106, MIN 112	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.48,0.42,0.59,0.65,0.61,0.75,0.83,0.91,0.91,1	92.8%
PHI 103, BOS 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.72,0.8,0.93,0.94,1,1	92.8%