NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	106		Excitement	8.0 [277]		MVP	Jimmy Butler (MIN): +45.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves	112		Comeback	2.0 [899]		LVP	Wesley Johnson (LAC): -27.1%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Rivers	0.27	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.27	0.25	0.04	0.02	14	86%	0.37	3	-0.10	7	71%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.07	0.12	-0.00	5	71%	0.18	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
DeAndre Jordan	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.05	0.00	8	89%	0.21	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.02
Lou Williams	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.11	0.10	0.03	0.03	14	72%	0.24	4	-0.13	4	100%	0.03
Jawun Evans	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.00	2	67%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jamil Wilson	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Willie Reed	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
C.J. Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	62%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sindarius Thornwell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Dekker	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Wesley Johnson	-0.27	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.21	-0.08	-0.01	10	10%	-0.14	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.45	0.45	0.18	0.27	0.01	20	62%	0.48	1	-0.03	13	85%	0.01
Taj Gibson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.13	0.09	0.01	9	77%	0.24	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.07
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.10	-0.00	12	50%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	83%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	10	41%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	7	43%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.01	0.00	15	35%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	13	54%	0.03	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.7	25.3	15.4	29.6	2.4	33.6	134.5
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -26.1%

MIN +15.3%

MIN +33.0%

MIN +25.9%

MIN +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MIN	NBA	LAC	MIN	NBA
this game	14.2	17.3	14.7	116.5	121.7	107.5
season	14.2	15.3		109.2	111.8
opponent	14.4	14.6		110.2	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.2	14.4	14.3	12.7	14.2
MIN	15.4	16.9	19.0	17.8	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Montrezl Harrell	27	26	0.26	-0.76	1.01	0.11	5	-11	16	11.9	15.1	-3.21	16.5	17.6	-1.02
Jawun Evans	27	28	0.21	-0.71	0.93	0.07	5	-11	16	11.9	15.2	-3.32	17.2	17.3	-0.08
Sindarius Thornwell	28	28	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.12	2	-8	10	12.0	15.2	-3.21	17.8	17.0	0.74
Sam Dekker	32	32	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.04	0	-6	6	13.3	14.7	-1.40	17.2	17.3	-0.13
C.J. Williams	23	24	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.03	0	-6	6	16.0	13.6	2.43	17.7	17.1	0.59
Willie Reed	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-6	6	13.9	14.2	-0.36	15.0	17.5	-2.46
Jamil Wilson	52	53	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.46	-1	-5	4	14.8	13.4	1.40	17.6	16.8	0.83
Lou Williams	68	68	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.35	-6	0	-6	13.6	16.0	-2.43	17.1	17.7	-0.59
Wesley Johnson	62	63	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.34	-10	4	-14	15.2	12.1	3.06	17.1	17.7	-0.56
Austin Rivers	66	66	-0.78	0.28	-1.05	-0.45	-11	5	-16	15.1	11.8	3.24	17.3	17.2	0.06
DeAndre Jordan	63	65	-0.80	0.30	-1.09	-0.39	-14	8	-22	15.3	11.8	3.47	17.5	16.7	0.86

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jimmy Butler	75	74	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.31	12	-6	18	17.2	17.4	-0.17	14.8	11.4	3.41
Jeff Teague	64	62	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.39	9	-3	12	18.2	15.2	2.96	15.0	12.4	2.60
Andrew Wiggins	72	71	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.43	7	-1	8	17.5	16.6	0.86	14.3	13.8	0.43
Karl-Anthony Towns	71	70	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.25	12	-6	18	17.1	17.7	-0.57	15.0	11.6	3.40
Taj Gibson	74	73	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.42	5	1	4	17.5	16.2	1.37	14.3	13.7	0.58
Tyus Jones	28	29	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.06	-3	9	-12	15.2	18.2	-2.96	12.4	15.0	-2.60
Gorgui Dieng	39	39	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.02	-7	13	-20	17.0	17.5	-0.47	12.6	15.4	-2.84
Jamal Crawford	37	37	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	-0.14	-5	11	-16	17.0	17.5	-0.50	12.7	15.2	-2.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.48,0.42,0.59,0.65,0.61,0.75,0.83,0.91,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 96, POR 103	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.69,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.68,0.85,0.84,0.84,1	92.9%
PHX 102, ORL 111	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.41,0.47,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.94,0.98,1	92.8%
SAS 93, WAS 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.68,0.79,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.59,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.66,0.86,0.79,0.94,1,1	92.8%