NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	96		Excitement	7.9 [285]		MVP	Tim Thomas (NYK): +14.7%
Portland Trail Blazers	103		Comeback	1.3 [976]		LVP	Sebastian Telfair (POR): -15.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.22,0.15	0.14	0.01	0.00	20	70%	0.19	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.05
Stephon Marbury	0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.06	-0.00	15	54%	0.08	0	0.00	9	78%	0.02
Michael Sweetney	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	9	58%	0.04	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Malik Rose	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04	0.01	-0.05	0.00	10	62%	0.04	2	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Jamal Crawford	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	12	36%	-0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Jerome Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	12	30%	-0.11	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.05	-0.01	9	74%	0.17	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Joel Przybilla	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.05	-0.01	6	69%	0.10	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.04
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.06	-0.00	9	59%	0.09	2	-0.06	9	67%	0.02
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.03	0.02	17	62%	0.07	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Darius Miles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	11	46%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Viktor Khryapa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	14	47%	-0.02	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.03
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.06	0.01	7	43%	-0.01	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.7	1.8	28.3	15.6	28.0	1.8	36.1	132.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +36.4%

NYK -14.3%

POR +32.2%

NYK -2.2%

NYK -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	POR	NBA	NYK	POR	NBA
this game	15.7	16.1	15.5	104.3	115.7	104.0
season	15.8	15.8		103.9	101.2
opponent	15.6	15.3		105.4	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.6	17.7	13.9	16.1	15.7
POR	15.0	15.0	14.9	20.1	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Sweetney	40	41	0.15	-0.65	0.81	-0.05	7	-14	21	15.6	15.8	-0.20	15.3	16.8	-1.52
Jerome Williams	28	26	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-6	5	16.1	15.6	0.53	18.2	15.2	2.92
Trevor Ariza	27	26	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-4	1	16.1	15.6	0.47	17.3	15.6	1.72
Maurice Taylor	9	9	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-2	-3	18.0	15.5	2.51	13.8	16.3	-2.57
Tim Thomas	61	60	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.25	-4	-3	-1	15.6	16.1	-0.49	15.3	17.7	-2.32
Jamal Crawford	82	81	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.29	-3	-4	1	15.7	16.1	-0.40	15.9	17.9	-1.96
Stephon Marbury	86	82	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.31	-5	-2	-3	15.5	19.2	-3.67	16.2	15.3	0.87
Kurt Thomas	69	67	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.29	-6	-1	-5	15.6	16.1	-0.52	15.7	17.1	-1.39
Malik Rose	58	53	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.27	-15	8	-23	15.9	15.5	0.38	17.0	14.8	2.16

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Stoudamire	65	67	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.31	11	-4	15	16.0	16.2	-0.16	15.5	16.4	-0.96
Darius Miles	51	52	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.22	12	-5	17	17.0	14.9	2.04	15.6	16.0	-0.42
Ruben Patterson	59	63	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.28	7	0	7	16.3	15.7	0.64	15.6	16.0	-0.33
Joel Przybilla	68	68	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.41	0	7	-7	16.4	15.1	1.24	15.8	15.6	0.21
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	71	75	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.03	7	0	7	14.9	20.7	-5.81	15.6	16.5	-0.90
Sebastian Telfair	65	65	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.12	0	7	-7	15.8	17.0	-1.19	16.4	14.1	2.30
Travis Outlaw	45	46	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.06	1	6	-5	16.8	15.3	1.48	15.4	16.1	-0.65
Viktor Khryapa	21	24	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.05	-3	10	-13	16.0	16.1	-0.18	16.3	15.5	0.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.69,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.68,0.85,0.84,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 97, DET 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.7,0.75,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.47,0.59,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.84,1	94.3%
LAC 106, MIN 112	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.48,0.42,0.59,0.65,0.61,0.75,0.83,0.91,0.91,1	92.9%
PHI 86, CLE 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.63,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.71,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.68,0.73,1	92.7%