NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	77		Excitement	6.0 [588]		MVP	Daniel Gibson (CLE): +19.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	88		Comeback	1.4 [694]		LVP	LeBron James (CLE): -9.0%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.05	-0.01	10	60%	0.14	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
P.J. Brown	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.06	0.00	4	100%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	2	37%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Leon Powe	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rajon Rondo	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	0.02	14	50%	0.05	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.05
Glen Davis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	2	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.04
Kevin Garnett	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.03	-0.09	0.03	13	52%	-0.07	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	17	36%	-0.09	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sam Cassell	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	5	29%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.08	0.11	-0.01	9	64%	0.19	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.00	6	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.02	0.04	8	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	11	64%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	0.00	10	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	8	37%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.18,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	20	44%	0.02	4	-0.11	8	62%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	3.7	37.0	18.8	26.2	3.5	33.4	149.2
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +48.0%

BOS -13.3%

CLE +16.7%

BOS -2.4%

CLE +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CLE	NBA	BOS	CLE	NBA
this game	15.6	18.5	15.4	90.6	104.8	105.7
season	15.6	16.4		108.0	104.0
opponent	15.2	15.9		104.1	98.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.5	15.3	18.6	14.3	15.6
CLE	16.8	16.0	19.3	22.8	18.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendrick Perkins	34	35	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.04	4	-15	19	15.4	15.7	-0.34	18.0	18.9	-0.93
Glen Davis	8	8	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.06	-2	-9	7	14.7	15.7	-0.93	21.6	18.2	3.44
Leon Powe	11	10	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-6	1	16.6	15.4	1.20	17.6	18.6	-1.04
Sam Cassell	24	25	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.05	-6	-5	-1	15.1	15.8	-0.70	20.3	17.7	2.57
Rajon Rondo	61	59	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-6	1	15.8	15.1	0.70	17.7	20.3	-2.57
Ray Allen	69	69	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.15	-5	-6	1	15.3	16.8	-1.51	18.3	19.7	-1.41
Kevin Garnett	71	71	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.12	-7	-4	-3	15.4	16.4	-1.01	18.4	19.2	-0.85
Paul Pierce	74	72	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.18	-6	-5	-1	15.0	19.4	-4.34	18.9	16.0	2.93
P.J. Brown	39	39	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.24	-5	-6	1	16.7	14.7	1.99	18.7	18.3	0.38
James Posey	34	32	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.07	-18	7	-25	16.6	14.9	1.62	18.2	18.7	-0.42

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	75	77	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.21	15	-4	19	18.7	16.6	2.19	16.1	10.5	5.62
Anderson Varejao	43	43	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.20	15	-4	19	19.1	17.9	1.19	16.2	15.0	1.26
Joe Smith	41	42	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.14	17	-6	23	19.3	17.8	1.53	16.0	15.2	0.77
Daniel Gibson	45	49	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.07	19	-8	27	19.5	17.4	2.06	15.5	15.7	-0.14
Delonte West	53	53	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	5	1	17.5	20.2	-2.67	15.7	15.3	0.39
Sasha Pavlovic	23	22	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.06	1	10	-9	16.7	19.2	-2.44	15.0	15.8	-0.79
Wally Szczerbiak	56	55	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.14	-6	17	-23	19.1	17.4	1.73	14.8	17.1	-2.34
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	42	42	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	15	-19	18.1	18.9	-0.83	15.5	15.7	-0.17
Ben Wallace	42	42	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.06	-8	19	-27	17.6	19.5	-1.88	15.0	16.2	-1.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.79,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.89,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 81, LAC 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.8,0.93,0.98,1,1	93.8%
NJN 96, TOR 98	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.81,0.72,0.81,0.96,0.97,1,1	93.6%
SEA 91, MIL 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.67,0.81,0.89,0.99,0.98,1	93.3%