NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	96		Excitement	7.0 [409]		MVP	Popeye Jones (TOR): +10.1%
Toronto Raptors	98		Comeback	1.4 [774]		LVP	Shawn Bradley (NJN): -15.8%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kendall Gill	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.01	0.02	0.02	16	53%	0.00	0	0.00	11	55%	-0.07
Tony Massenburg	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed O'Bannon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Caldwell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Kerry Kittles	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04	0.05	0.00	0.09	17	58%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Lloyd Daniels	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Xavier McDaniel	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	11	35%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Robert Pack	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	23	49%	-0.02	3	-0.08	9	56%	-0.05
Shawn Bradley	-0.16	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.06	-0.01	11	32%	-0.15	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.04

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Popeye Jones	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.05	-0.01	10	60%	0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Zan Tabak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.04	-0.00	8	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	12	58%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Rogers	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	12	50%	0.07	2	-0.07	2	50%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.11	0.03	-0.05	17	40%	0.03	1	-0.05	11	73%	0.01
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Sharone Wright	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	38%	-0.03	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	0.04	12	61%	0.02	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.4	22.5	16.4	26.6	2.6	40.0	134.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +36.9%

TOR +17.4%

TOR +17.0%

NJN -20.8%

NJN -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	TOR	NBA	NJN	TOR	NBA
this game	15.4	17.2	15.6	107.9	111.4	104.4
season	15.4	16.1		101.7	102.2
opponent	15.0	14.9		105.6	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	13.7	16.7	15.3	16.0	15.4
TOR	18.5	17.6	18.1	14.6	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Massenburg	20	21	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.02	-3	1	-4	14.7	15.6	-0.83	16.8	17.3	-0.52
Ed O'Bannon	5	5	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.06	-6	4	-10	20.2	15.1	5.09	11.4	17.5	-6.11
Lloyd Daniels	29	28	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	0	-2	18.0	14.1	3.92	19.5	16.0	3.49
Adrian Caldwell	13	13	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	3	-8	16.4	15.2	1.16	16.2	17.3	-1.09
Shawn Bradley	75	73	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.37	2	-4	6	15.4	15.3	0.13	17.8	14.1	3.65
Robert Pack	73	73	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.38	1	-3	4	14.5	19.2	-4.70	16.4	21.1	-4.71
Kendall Gill	83	81	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.48	4	-6	10	15.2	17.8	-2.62	17.5	13.3	4.21
Xavier McDaniel	70	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.46	2	-4	6	15.4	15.5	-0.10	16.8	18.5	-1.68
Kerry Kittles	77	77	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.42	-3	1	-4	15.1	17.4	-2.34	17.1	17.7	-0.65

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Popeye Jones	57	59	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.52	0	2	-2	16.8	17.7	-0.90	15.2	15.8	-0.61
Damon Stoudamire	63	65	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.42	1	1	0	16.7	18.4	-1.73	16.0	13.8	2.14
Walt Williams	81	82	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.49	-2	4	-6	17.5	13.7	3.74	15.4	15.3	0.12
Zan Tabak	34	32	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.15	8	-6	14	19.2	15.9	3.38	17.3	14.3	2.95
Doug Christie	73	74	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.44	-4	6	-10	17.2	17.0	0.19	14.9	17.7	-2.81
Marcus Camby	47	48	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.14	5	-3	8	15.5	19.0	-3.49	15.3	15.5	-0.22
John Long	40	39	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.03	7	-5	12	17.9	16.6	1.31	15.3	15.4	-0.11
Carlos Rogers	11	10	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.03	2	0	2	15.4	17.4	-2.05	13.0	15.7	-2.70
Sharone Wright	34	36	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.05	-7	9	-16	17.7	16.8	0.94	14.8	15.8	-0.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.81,0.72,0.81,0.96,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 77, CLE 88	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.79,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.89,0.99,1,1	93.6%
ORL 94, HOU 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.34,0.48,0.57,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.95,0.99,1,1	93.5%
UTA 97, PHI 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.98,0.99,1	93.3%