NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	115		Excitement	8.5 [199]		MVP	Joel Embiid (PHI): +67.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	109		Comeback	1.5 [746]		LVP	Julius Randle (LAL): -31.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Embiid	0.68	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.32,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.68	0.32	0.38	0.02	20	78%	0.73	2	-0.05	19	84%	0.07
Ben Simmons	0.19	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19	0.06	0.12	-0.01	13	60%	0.22	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Robert Covington	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.03	-0.01	9	67%	0.13	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Justin Anderson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	45%	0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Richaun Holmes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dario Saric	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	10	35%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	5	70%	0.06	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	10	45%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.22,-0.23	-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	15	32%	-0.17	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.10	-0.01	18	57%	0.20	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.00	0.10	-0.00	21	43%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	-0.00	-0.03	11	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Ingram	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.04	0.11	-0.05	0.01	18	63%	0.17	2	-0.13	5	80%	-0.02
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.05	12	31%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lonzo Ball	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-0.01	9	11%	-0.14	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.32,-0.32,-0.31,-0.31	-0.31	-0.16	-0.15	0.01	12	27%	-0.22	3	-0.09	6	67%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.7	30.6	14.6	25.0	3.3	37.4	138.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +62.3%

PHI +13.9%

LAL -22.6%

LAL -12.4%

PHI +8.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	LAL	NBA	PHI	LAL	NBA
this game	12.7	14.4	14.7	108.5	101.9	107.5
season	13.9	13.7		108.1	105.7
opponent	14.8	14.7		107.2	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	11.4	11.8	12.8	15.0	12.7
LAL	13.4	14.8	14.9	14.4	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Simmons	87	89	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.26	19	-13	32	12.8	12.2	0.62	14.3	14.6	-0.30
Joel Embiid	76	79	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.17	19	-13	32	13.3	11.0	2.28	13.6	16.5	-2.89
Robert Covington	69	68	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.24	16	-10	26	12.4	13.2	-0.80	14.0	15.0	-1.00
JJ Redick	76	75	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.31	3	3	0	12.4	13.4	-1.02	14.8	13.3	1.50
Dario Saric	74	74	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.32	1	5	-4	13.7	10.3	3.42	13.4	16.6	-3.24
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	52	56	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	5	-4	12.4	12.9	-0.45	15.1	13.5	1.60
Richaun Holmes	9	8	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	9	-12	15.3	12.4	2.91	14.2	14.4	-0.12
T.J. McConnell	50	49	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.12	-8	14	-22	10.9	14.2	-3.35	15.9	13.1	2.83
Amir Johnson	21	20	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.15	-10	16	-26	9.2	13.5	-4.34	17.4	13.7	3.73
Justin Anderson	16	17	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	-0.03	-8	14	-22	16.1	12.1	4.07	11.5	14.9	-3.37

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Brewer	20	20	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-5	4	13.6	14.5	-0.88	16.1	11.9	4.23
Andrew Bogut	42	42	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-4	2	14.7	14.1	0.62	13.4	12.2	1.14
Julius Randle	63	62	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.36	5	-11	16	15.2	13.2	1.93	13.4	11.7	1.69
Brook Lopez	40	38	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.09	-11	5	-16	13.4	14.9	-1.54	11.3	13.4	-2.15
Jordan Clarkson	68	66	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.34	3	-9	12	14.7	13.7	0.98	13.3	11.6	1.68
Brandon Ingram	90	89	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.23	-2	-4	2	14.4	13.9	0.50	12.1	15.7	-3.62
Kyle Kuzma	69	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.25	-4	-2	-2	14.0	15.1	-1.11	12.4	13.2	-0.84
Lonzo Ball	51	51	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.09	-18	12	-30	13.8	14.8	-1.00	12.0	13.3	-1.37
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	92	92	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.45	0	-6	6	14.5	13.7	0.73	12.4	14.3	-1.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.4,0.27,0.24,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.28,0.32,0.41,0.35,0.6,0.39,0.36,0.03,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 103, SEA 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.24,0.27,0.41,0.35,0.47,0.62,0.29,0.22,0.04,0	92.1%
CLE 108, PHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.37,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.48,0.31,0.15,0.02,0	90.7%
NYK 98, MIA 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.22,0.29,0.4,0.31,0.37,0.06,0.13,0	90.5%